因病致贫与缓冲效应的比较优势

当大病的自付医疗费用支出占家庭非食品支出的比例超过一定门槛值时，灾难性医疗支出发生，会增大因病致贫或返贫的概率。本文基于中国家庭追踪调查数据库（CFPS）2014年数据，利用A-F多维贫困测量方法有效识别贫困家庭，探究因病致贫发生率。大病冲击使贫困发生率增加15%，总财富减少6.9%。我们还发现医疗保险、社会资本及民间借贷对因病致贫都具有缓冲效应。这三种缓冲垫具有各自比较优势：医疗保险对中低收入家庭或中高疾病风险家庭缓冲效应显著；社会资本的缓冲效应只存在中高收入家庭或高风险疾病家庭；民间借贷只对低收入家庭具有缓冲效应。因此，家庭尤其是低收入家庭应合理利用缓冲垫，提高大病冲击的抵御能力，降低因病致贫的发生率。     

特殊塔脚加劲板的放样

塔脚板是铁塔的关键部位,某些荷载大的塔脚板采用加劲板四周围焊成一圈,以目前的放样软件还不能解决该加劲板的放样,只能采用三维绘图解决,不能实现柔性设计,效率低。针对此问题,本文通过点坐标法推导出计算公式,节省放样时间,缩短加工周期。     

卷烟厂车间空气加湿方式的分析

对于卷烟企业而言,生产环境的空气相对湿度是十分重要的参数之一,它直接影响着最终的产品质量。本文通过对等温、等焓加湿中几种常见加湿方式的优缺点进行比较分析,并结合卷烟厂车间生产工艺与负荷特点,提出了适合卷烟企业的加湿方式。     

Mobile diaries – Benchmark against metered measurements: An empirical investigation

Researchers seeking to study the relationships between consumers' communications, attitudes, and behaviors could benefit from monitoring consumers over time, across multiple locations and channels, and in a way that reflects consumers' subjective perceptions. Diaries on smartphones (mobile diaries) can be used as a research tool for such purposes. A mobile diary is a self-report instrument whereby people use their mobile handset to repeatedly report experiences of interest. Mobile diaries are increasingly used in psychology, geography, medicine, and commercial marketing. Yet they have rarely been used for quantitative marketing research, and were not benchmarked against best-practice metrics in marketing.In this study, we aim to set the ground for using mobile diaries in quantitative marketing research. We first lay out the theoretical infrastructure for the usage of mobile diaries, and describe possible respondent reporting concerns, including concerns related to non-reporting, reporting over time, and concerns stemming from individual-level heterogeneity.We demonstrate the potential of mobile diaries, as well as the importance of the various concerns, using a benchmark test case in the context of primetime TV viewing. Our benchmark uses a sample of respondents with both mobile diary viewing reports and Nielsen People Meter (NPM) records. Our analysis reveals that averaging across all conditions, 47.4%–64.7% of the NPM records are reported by the diary. The major sources for mismatch are random time periods without alarms, short viewings, and periodic reporting inactivity (pulsing). Concerns such as a decrease in reporting rates over time (e.g., fatigue), smartphone ownership, and demographic variation across individuals have relatively small effects on reporting likelihood. Analyzing the cases in which diary reports do not have a matching NPM record, we find many of them can be attributed to out-of-home viewing and viewing on non-metered devices. This finding demonstrates how mobile diaries can complement metered measurements. Overall, aggregate diary-based ratings have a 0.90 correlation with NPM ratings.We discuss implications for designing and using mobile diary studies in marketing.     

Stochastic volatility: A tale of co-jumps,non-normality,GMM and high frequency data

In this article we introduce a linear–quadratic volatility model with co-jumps and show how to calibrate this model to a rich dataset. We apply GMM and more specifically match the moments of realized power and multi-power variations, which are obtained from high-frequency stock market data. Our model incorporates two salient features: the setting of simultaneous jumps in both return process and volatility process and the superposition structure of a continuous linear–quadratic volatility process and a Lévy-driven Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process. We compare the quality of fit for several models, and show that our model outperforms the conventional jump diffusion or Bates model. Besides that, we find evidence that the jump sizes are not normally distributed and that our model performs best when the distribution of jump-sizes is only specified through certain (co-) moment conditions. Monte Carlo experiments are employed to confirm this.     

矿泉水瓶再生设计研究

由于500ml左右矿泉水瓶瓶口具有统一的螺纹规格,其次,瓶体的容量也具有接近统一的标准,这就为矿泉水瓶再生设计的开发提供了必要的前提。市场上关于矿泉水瓶的再生设计多利用矿泉水瓶作为盛水的容器,而没有继续探讨其盛放小型垃圾(瓜子壳,纸屑,铅笔屑等)的功能。本文以绿色设计中延长产品生命周期的理念为原则,以联想法、模仿法及组合法等产品设计方法为指导,推出一款全新的使用矿泉水瓶衍生功能的产品,并着重介绍在本设计进行的过程中得出的新的设计方法:系统化条件下的功能衍生法。通过这款设计来说明现有产品衍生出新的功能的可行性,并总结一定的设计经验与设计方法,为以后进行相关设计奠定理论和方法基础。     

新《行政诉讼法》有关判决方式的文本解读

新《行政诉讼法》关于行政诉讼判决方式的修改内容丰富、特色鲜明、亮点颇多,有必要在法治国家的背景下对其深入解读。新《行政诉讼法》的判决方式具有五大亮点,修订后的判决方式彰显了国家治理的法治现代化。对于新《行政诉讼法》有关判决方式的适用我们需要注意四个层面的内容。新《行政诉讼法》对判决方式的修订并不完美,但是瑕不掩瑜,通过这次修法,我国行政审判将会以判决方式的改变作为基点迎来发展的契机。     

山西王家岭煤矿底板奥灰水突水危险性评价

我国是受水害最严重的国家,奥灰水突水是我国很多煤矿在安全生产中急待解决的问题。山西王家岭煤业集团公司王家岭煤矿就面临着开采9号煤层底板奥灰水突水威胁的安全问题。结合王家岭煤矿实际钻孔数据,运用突水系数法、多层叠加抗压强度比值系数法分别对9号煤层进行突水危险性预测,并进行相互对比,根据计算所得结果得出9号煤层底板易发生突水区。     

电源SPD检测中连接线问题的解决方法

在日常SPD检测过程中,经常会遇到SPD两端连接线问题而达不到国家规范要求的情况。本文针对现场检测SPD遇到的问题,分析SPD接线方式对防雷效果的影响,提出解决方法。     

基于模糊的高层建筑施工安全评价研究

在建筑业高速发展的同时,高层建筑也迅速崛起。然而对于高危行业的建筑业,整个生命周期过程中都存在着很多的风险。因为在高层的施工中存在作业面较高,所用的机械设备和安全设施更多,作业周期更长等未知情况。文章中经研究分析确定了影响高层建筑施工安全的重要因素,通过对因素的分析划分构造指标体系,再利用层次分析法对各指标进行权重的确定,最后利用模糊数学原理对它进行评价。结合施工企业实例,利用综合评价模型得出了影响该企业安全施工的重要因素,提供了改进的方向和建议。