China's Auto Industry Steps Forward

Last year,the volume of China's auto trade reached US$66.878 bil- lion,of which imports accounted for US$25.982 billion,a year-on- year increase of 24.45 percent;while ex- ports totaled US$40.896 billion,growing by 45.31 percent.The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers(CAAM) predicts that the number of autos sold in 2008 will break the 1 million barrier for the first time in history,representing an increase of about 20 percent.     

论地勘费基数的优化使用

地勘费基数优化使用是贯彻、落实国务院给予属地化地勘队伍优惠政策的一项重要内容,正确理解地勘费基数的特点是用好用足这项优惠政策的关键.文章认为,地勘费基数有四个最重要的特点应当引起地勘单位各级领导和相关管理人员的高度重视.通过对地勘费特点的归纳分析,提出了管理好、利用好地勘费的建议和措施.     

基于失效风险的建筑物预防维修成本模型优化

建筑物预防性维修成本的最优控制问题,是企业现代化经营管理的一个重要组成部分,直接影响到企业的经济效益。针对承受重复荷载作用的建筑构件,失效概率随服役时间增加而增大的实际情况,提出了失效风险的概念。采用役龄回退因子描述了维修后失效概率降低的程度,在此基础上推算出满足可靠度约束条件,适用于特定时间段非等间隔检测期序列,计算出单位维修周期内的检测次数。通过对维修成本函数的分析,建立了基于等失效风险状态的维修成本优化模型。为房屋物业管理部门进行建筑物的维修和更换决策提供参考依据。     

两个灰距离空间(■d)(■.ρ)

本文在邓聚龙教授提出的层次型灰数和信息型灰数——经典有理灰数的基础上,用近代分析的方法,给出两种灰距离空间(/.d)和(/.p),并结合几何直观将两种灰距离进行了比较。     

基于方程组的新型模糊时序分析

基于线性方程组的模糊时间序列分析是一种新颖的方法,但根据二次规划求得的参数存在两个不可调和的矛盾,即模糊中值序列和模糊距度序列不同时得到很好的拟合。为此文章考虑利用一种新的模糊时间序列分析的方法,即将模糊中值和模糊跨度分别建模。并给出了实例。     

基于区间数多属性决策的项目融资风险评价

项目融资是一种新兴的融资模式,是适用于基础设施项目的一种重要筹资手段。由于项目融资的实现过程是一个存在着很大不确定性的过程,因此投资者必然承担较大的风险。分析了项目融资风险的来源并运用不确定决策理论建立区间数多属性评价模型,对项目融资风险进行定量分析,为投资者在选择项目时进行科学的投资决策提供参考。     

拆分招标的供应商数量研究

许多企业在采购时,常常将整笔业务拆分为两个合同:较大的第一合同和较小的第二合同,通过分批二级价格封闭式招标来选择不同的供应商供货。本文通过建立分批招标模型分析了供应商的投标策略和买方的采购策略,得出了当参加第一合同竞标的供应商数目和第二合同新引入的供应商数目满足一个不等式时,拆分招标的采购成本小于整体招标的采购成本,并且指出了拆分比例对拆分招标的采购成本的影响。     

Blockchain for tracking serial numbers in money exchanges

Money exchange is one of the most common day‐to‐day activities performed by humans in the daily market. This paper presents an approach to money tracking through a blockchain. The proposed approach consists of three main components: serial number localization, serial number recognition, and a blockchain to store all transactions and ownership transfers. The approach was tested with a total of 110 banknotes of different currency types and achieved an average accuracy of 91.17%. We conducted a user study in real‐time with 21 users, and the mean accuracy across all users was 86.42%. Each user gave us feedback on the proposed approach, and most of them welcomed the idea.     

Towards a Routine External Evaluation Protocol for Small Area Estimation

Statistical criteria are needed by which to evaluate the potential success or failure of applications of small area estimation. A necessary step to achieve this is a protocol—a series of steps—by which to assess whether an instance of small area estimation has given satisfactory results or not. Most customary attempts at evaluation of small area techniques have deficiencies. Often, evaluation is not attempted. Every small area study requires an external evaluation. With proper planning, this can be routinely achieved, although at some cost, amounting to some sacrifice of efficiency of global estimates. We propose a Routine External Evaluation Protocol to allow us to judge whether, in a given survey, small area estimation has led to accurate results and sound inference.     

未确知数减法运算的推广

本文是文献[1]定义的未确知数减法运算的推广,且给出了一个新的定义方式.