低信噪比下互相关时延估计器的FPGA实现

在时延估计算法中,相关法是一种经典的算法。时域互相关法可用来进行整数倍和非整数倍采样周期的时延估计,即使是在极低的信噪比（SNR）条件下,利用较多的数据也能获得准确和稳定的估计结果。为提高时延估计分辨率,给出了一种采用sinc函数对信号进行非整数倍采样周期延时的相关估计算法,通过仿真比较了未插值、两倍插值法和sinc函数延时法的估计精度和计算量,证明sinc函数延时法性能最优。基于现场可编程逻辑门阵列（FPGA）实现的改进型互相关时延估计器能够实现在低信噪比下时延差的准确估计。     

一种确定建设项目风险预备费的新方法——风险分析估算法(ERA)

由于建设项目存在不确定因素，因此需要进行风险预备费的估算，本文根据国外和香港的一些文献资料介绍了风险分析估算法（ERA），它是一种根据项目进程，随着风险的逐步明朗化来具体识别项目不确定因素并结算风险费用的有效方法，对公共设施建设项目成功运用ERA法能够防止过度考虑风险和过高估算风险预备费。     

Gamma-minimax estimation of a multivariate normal mean

Summary The mean vector of a multivariate normal distribution is to be estimated. A class Γ of priors is considered which consists of all priors whose vector of first moments and matrix of second moments satisfy some given restrictions. The Γ-minimax estimator under arbitrary squared error loss is characterized. The characterization follows from an application of a result of Browder and Karamardian published in Ichiishi (1983) which is a special version of a minimax inequality due to Ky Fan (1972). In particular, it is shown that within the set of all estimators a linear estimator is Γ-minimax. The authors would like to thank the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft for financial support.     

Improved estimation of the covariance matrix of stock returns with an application to portfolio selection

This paper proposes to estimate the covariance matrix of stock returns by an optimally weighted average of two existing estimators: the sample covariance matrix and single-index covariance matrix. This method is generally known as shrinkage, and it is standard in decision theory and in empirical Bayesian statistics. Our shrinkage estimator can be seen as a way to account for extra-market covariance without having to specify an arbitrary multifactor structure. For NYSE and AMEX stock returns from 1972 to 1995, it can be used to select portfolios with significantly lower out-of-sample variance than a set of existing estimators, including multifactor models.     

Estimation of variances in orthogonal finite discrete spectrum linear regression models

The Invariant Quadratic Estimators, the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) and Restricted Maximum Likelihood Estimator (REML) of variances in an orthogonal Finite Discrete Spectrum Linear Regression Model (FDSLRM) are derived and the problems of unbiasedness and consistency of these estimators are investigated.Acknowledgement. The research was supported by the grants 1/0272/03, 1/0264/03 and 2/4026/04 of the Slovak Scientific Grant Agency VEGA.     

Aggregation of Nonparametric Estimators for Volatility Matrix

An aggregated method of nonparametric estimators based on time-domainand state-domain estimators is proposed and studied. To attenuatethe curse of dimensionality, we propose a factor modeling strategy.We first investigate the asymptotic behavior of nonparametricestimators of the volatility matrix in the time domain and inthe state domain. Asymptotic normality is separately establishedfor nonparametric estimators in the time domain and state domain.These two estimators are asymptotically independent. Hence,they can be combined, through a dynamic weighting scheme, toimprove the efficiency of volatility matrix estimation. Theoptimal dynamic weights are derived, and it is shown that theaggregated estimator uniformly dominates volatility matrix estimatorsusing time-domain or state-domain smoothing alone. A simulationstudy, based on an essentially affine model for the term structure,is conducted, and it demonstrates convincingly that the newlyproposed procedure outperforms both time- and state-domain estimators.Empirical studies further endorse the advantages of our aggregatedmethod.     

A Stability Approach to Mean‐Variance Optimization

I jointly treat two critical issues in the application of mean‐variance portfolios, that is, estimation risk and portfolio instability. I find that theory‐based portfolio strategies, which are known to outperform naive diversification () in the absence of transaction costs, heavily underperform it under transaction costs. This is because they are highly unstable over time. I propose a generic method to stabilize any given portfolio strategy while maintaining or improving its efficiency. My empirical analysis confirms that the new method leads to stable and efficient portfolios that offer equal or lower turnover than and larger Sharpe ratio, even under high transaction costs.     

Location-specific stock market indices: an exploration

This article develops an alternative location-specific stock market index driven by investors’ ‘attachment’ towards investment at a specific location. We evaluate the performance of hypothetical stock market indices that track companies based on their state of registration, taking the US stock market as our case. Using annual data since 1980 we present raw, risk-adjusted and value-weighted state portfolios’ returns to study the extent to which stock market performance varies by state-level demographics and economic factors. A dynamic panel data estimation – with and without spatial spillover effects – is employed to establish a strong association between stock price performance and the state-level (or geography-weighted) factors. We find that spatial effects are strong and that the ‘spatial attachment’ of companies in interaction with the various location-specific variables imparts an overarching influence on stock-price performance. Comparison of model performances further supports our claims.     

基于块稀疏度与自适应迭代的压缩感知方法

针对分块压缩感知算法在平滑块效应时损失了大量的细节纹理信息,从而影响图像的重构效果问题,提出了一种基于块稀疏信号的压缩感知重构算法。该算法先采用块稀疏度估计对信号的稀疏性做初步估计,通过对块稀疏度进行估算初始化阶段长,运用块矩阵与残差信号最匹配原则来选取支撑块,再运用自适应迭代计算实现对块稀疏信号的重构,较好地解决了浪费存储资源和计算量大的问题。实验结果表明,相比常用压缩感知方法,所提算法能明显减少运算时间,且能有效提高图像重构效果。