Capital account reform and short- and long-run stock price leadership

This paper studies the effect of capital account liberalization policies on the price discovery of cross-listings in Chinese stocks. We construct a non-linear causality framework that decomposes short- and long-run dimensions of price leadership. Our analysis shows that capital account liberalization has had a profound effect on long-run A- and H-price leadership traits. Specifically, increased inward capital movement from Qualified Foreign Institutional Investors strengthens long-term leadership in the mainland A-market. Similarly, increased capital outflow from the Chinese mainland galvanizes long-term price discovery processes in the Hong Kong H-market. We thus offer strong evidence that capital account liberalization promotes stock market efficiency in the long-run. The present study's empirical account also suggests that such capital flows inhibit short-term lead-lag effects.     

贸易自由化、产出结构与产出水平

外资流入劳动密集型产业虽然直接地避免了转轨初期产业结构之存量调整,但这还不是问题的全部,更重要的是,外资流入提高了均衡状态下资本密集型产业的比重,这又起到了避免转轨初期产业结构之存量调整的作用。对于转轨国家来说,资本流入具有增量调整之功效,而产品国际间流动则加剧转轨初期产业结构之存量调整。改革开放以来中国经济的持续高速增长可能得益于大规模的资本流入和产品市场的逐步开放的策略。     

中国与东盟国家果蔬贸易自由化博弈分析

中国与东盟国家在果蔬产品上具有很强的互补性,通过中国-东盟自由贸易区的不断发展,中国与东盟国家果蔬产品贸易自由化在博弈中也取得了很大的发展,本文讨论了中国与东盟国家果蔬贸易的"囚徒困境"和中国充当"智猪博弈"中的大猪的情况,并分析了充当大猪后中国的收益,最后总结中国在进一步博弈中的策略取向。     

利率市场化与中小企业融资约束——-基于中小银行战略布局的视角

本文首先构建了一个贷款定价模型,分析了利率市场化背景下商业的战略转型。然后,基于商业银行的战略转型,在构建利率市场化指数的基础上,利用沪深两市７１８家企业２０００—２０１２年的财务数据作为研究样本,实证检验了利率市场化对于中小企业融资约束的影响。结果显示：利率市场化背景下大银行更倾向于对大银行贷款,而小银行更倾向于对小企业贷款,这与新结构经济学最优金融结构理论相一致。基于利率市场化背景下的商业银行战略转型,中小企业融资约束有所缓解。据此,与总量上的金融发展和金融结构改革相比,强化竞争环境应在中国金融改革中占优先地位。     

Competition policy in Indonesia: Conglomerates versus SMEs1

Since the currency crisis, Indonesia has undergone rapid economic and political changes. However, the IMF‐directed recovery program, such as decentralization, does not seem successful. Despite the improvised legal system, the implementation of the recovery program is very poor. Lack of consensus on the role of conglomerates and the direction of competition policy, has prevented Indonesia from recovery. Anti‐conglomerate sentiment of the post‐Suharto times has given rise to unbalanced competition law and inconsistency among related laws. Treatment of the banking sector including ownership is a critical factor in the recapitalization process. Due to the similarity between Indonesia and Korea, Korean experiences would help Indonesia to establish the principles on competition policy. The separation principle is strongly recommended for Indonesia at the current development stage, and it is urgent to establish a rule‐based, not a discretion‐based, economy. The problems of conglomerates should be resolved through comprehensive competition policies.