外汇储备增长对我国物价影响的实证分析

2007年以来,我国物价水平出现持续攀升的势头。2008年1～4月份,居民消费价格水平同比上涨8.2%。与物价上涨相对应的是我国外汇储备水平创出了历史新高,截至2008年6月末,我国外汇储备余额达1.8万亿美元。那么,外汇储备增长与物价上涨之间有没有直接的联系?本文从短期和长期两个视角,理论和实证相结合探讨了我国外汇储备增长对物价上涨的影响及其作用机制。     

Emic and etic interpretations of engagement with a consumer-to-consumer online auction site

This paper provides emic and etic interpretations of engagement with a consumer-to-consumer (C2C) online auction site, based on in-depth interviews with buyers. The study exposes three misconceptions about online C2C auctions; that the interaction between parties occurs exclusively online, that the relation between buyers and sellers is purely transactional in nature, and that the interaction between buyers and sellers does not lead to ongoing business relationships. The paper reveals the utilitarian, hedonic and social benefits that are the bases of engagement with the auction site. Social benefits materialize for auction buyers during offline exchanges. The paper also reveals marketer incentives and structural disincentives for consumers' ongoing use of the auction site.     

Japanese economy and the its exchange rate from 1985 to 2010

The paper tries to analyze the interaction between Japanese exchange rate and its domestic economy from 1985 to 2010. By employing the Mundell-Fluming model, the paper is designed to shed light on the factors that determined the exchange rate and the impact of the exchange rate on the economy, the theoretical result of the model will be enhanced with the help of graphs and statistical numbers, by the end of the paper; it concludes the important policy implication for the monetary policy and exchange rate policy.     

服务出口与实际汇率动态关系分析:基于美国数据的考察

基于代表性家庭追求效用最大化,文中构建了一个由外国实际收入、汇率水平、货物出口以及经GARCH(1,1)模型估计所得条件方差作为汇率风险代理变量组成的服务出口方程.采用自回归分布滞后估计方程参数,并将汇率变动影响货物出口进而传导至服务出口的间接效应纳入分析框架.估计结果显示,汇率水平变动与服务出口之间存在负相关关系,而...     

我国外汇储备增长过快的深层次原因及其优化路径分析

通常而言,国际收支的顺差是外汇储备的主要来源,是导致外汇储备过快增长的直接原因,其实国际收支顺差背后的一些深层次问题是导致我国外汇储备增长更为根本的原因。通过对这些深层次原因的全面剖析,提出了抑制我国外汇储备过快增长的对策性建议。     

金融危机以来我国沿海港口货物吞吐量影响因素研究——兼论我国经济由外需拉动向内需驱动转型的一个证据

通过建立基于贸易引力模型的我国沿海港口货物吞吐量影响因素的VAR模型,分别考察了交通运输业固定投资、人民币汇率、世界经济状况和国内经济状况对我国沿海港口货物吞吐量的影响,并以金融危机以来的数据作为样本对该模型进行了实证检验。由脉冲响应和方差分解分析发现:世界经济发展状况对我国沿海港口货物吞吐量的影响最大,且世界经济的复苏将显著提高沿海港口货物吞吐量;交通运输业固定投资在经过一个滞后期后,也会对沿海港口货物吞吐量起到积极的作用;人民币汇率对我国沿海港口货物吞吐量的影响不可忽略,且汇率上升(即本币贬值)将提高沿海港口货物吞吐量;而国内经济发展状况则与我国沿海港口货物吞吐量之间并不存在显著的确定关系,这或表明我国经济的发展方式正由外需拉动向内需驱动转型。     

Resident perceptions of the impacts of P2P accommodation: Implications for neighbourhoods

Although a research base is beginning to emerge in relation to the peer-to-peer accommodation phenomenon, the voices of residents are seldom heard in this scholarly literature. This study uses Social Exchange Theory to examine resident perceptions regarding the impact of P2P accommodation growth, and specifically Airbnb, on their neighbourhood. Fifty-one semi-structured interviews were employed to illuminate understanding of how resident perceptions are formed in relation to the exchange relationship with Airbnb guests. Findings reveal a dominance of negative perceptions of socio-economic and environmental impacts. The study also contributes a typology of residents, based on their perceptions and behaviour towards associated impacts, which may guide policymakers and practitioners towards the adoption of an anthropocentric approach on P2P accommodation. The study concludes with a discussion of theoretical and practical implications.     

澳洲多元文化共融对义乌的启示

随着国际贸易的不断发展,义乌多元文化交流格局已形成,且现阶段义乌在政治管理、经济、文化教育生活等多元文化交流活动中取得了一系列的成就,但毫不借鉴外国多元文化政策的宝贵经验仅凭自身不断摸索涌现出来的不和谐因素也是不能忽视的。澳洲政府所推行的一系列多元文化政策在澳洲获得了成功实践且蜚声国际,这对义乌多元文化建设借鉴意义重大。     

国际金融危机背景下我国外汇储备管理思考

我国外汇储备规模庞大,结构上过度集中于美元和美元资产.这不仅面临美元贬值的汇率风险,还面临美国国债、机构债等产品的市场价值下跌的收益风险以及外汇储备的货币错配风险等.鉴于国际金融危机还可能进一步加深,我国外汇储备管理一方面要扩大内需,主动控制外汇储备规模的快速增长,减少对外汇储备管理所带来的压力.另一方面,在既定的外汇储备规模下,要中长期努力实现币种多元化,渐进地增量减持美元资产,多元化合理利用外汇储备,发挥国家外汇储备的积极作用,进而提出人民币国际化是最终解决中国外汇储备管理问题的长期策略.     

我国汇率制度的现状分析及改革策略

本文首先阐述了我国目前采取固定钉住汇率制度的原因,然后结合我国经济发展的走势对固定钉住汇率制的缺陷和管理浮动汇率制的优势进行了分析,得出了有管理的浮动汇率制度才是我国汇率制度的最佳选择。最后笔者对我国汇率制度实现由固定向浮动转变的政策建议。