物流活动效率化探索

着重分析了供应链物流体系如何能够降低无效的物流活动，从而实现物流活动有效的效率化以及建构供应链物流体系的要素。     

Empirical Analysis of the Market Effects of China＇s Listed—— Company＇s Dividend Policy ——Empirical Evidences from Shanghai Stock Exchange from 2004 to 2005

Dividend policy is one of the three core contents of financial management in listed companies. On one hand, it is the extension of financial and investment activities; on the other hand, appropriate dividend policy can not only set up a good company reputation, but also arouse enthusiasm of many investors to continue invest in this company, consequently acquire long and stable development opportunities and conditions. In this paper, the author has put forward some suggestions in order to solve the problems which existing in Chinese listed companies＇ dividend policies based on the result of positive test. Firstly, optimize the structure of equity title and perfect the corporate governance. Secondly, to establish wholesome shareholder protection mechanism, and also it is important measure for investors, especially medium and small investors to protect their rights and interests. According to the present situation of Chinese stock market, the authors consider we can protect the shareholder＇s benefits by carrying out cumulative vote system, establishing hortative derive lawsuit system, perfecting civil compensation system and establishing shareholder voting removing system and so on. Thirdly, the establishment of listed companies＇ dividend policy and the release of message should be standardized for the sake of good relationship of melon-cutting and corporation＇s refinancing plan. Finally, listed companies＇ dividend policy can be optimized by modifying and perfecting stock dividend distribution mode of accounting management, perfecting exit mechanism of listed companies.     

减免农业税的长期效应与中国农业发展的对策

本文利用一个基本的内生增长模型,在均衡框架下对农业税减免政策的长期经济效应进行分析,得出农业税减免政策不影响经济增长率,只对农业部门的收入水平有着一次性影响的结论。本文提出,提高农村居民的教育水平和大幅增加非农就业机会,才是解决中国农业发展问题的根本对策。     

Joint-Product Export Smuggling and Export Tax Policy

The effect of smuggling on tax revenue collection and the revenue-maximizing tax rate is an unresolved issue in the smuggling literature. Clandestine and joint-product smuggling models arrive at different conclusions concerning smuggling's effect on tax revenue collection and the revenue-maximizing tax rate. Clandestine (joint-product) smuggling is consistent with the assumption that legal and illegal trade are substitutable (complementary) activities for the exporting firm. The effect of smuggling on the tax rate and tax revenue is shown to be dependent on whether smuggling and legal trade are assumed to be complementary or substitutable activities.     

属性重要程度的测量方法及比较研究

属性重要程度的测量对于数据库的压缩和综合评价都是非常重要的。属性重要程度的测量根据数据库形式的不同有不同方法：粗糙集理论、信息增益技术；在单向有序列联资料下的以秩效应为标准的测量方法和改进的秩和法。改进的秩和法不仅分析了属性的重要程度，而且其结果还可以进行多方面的统计分析。具有较高的实用价值。     

我国反通货紧缩政策的成效与思考

论文回顾了我国近几年来反通货紧缩货币政策的成效 ,剖析了影响货币政策成效的制约因素 ,并提出了减税、扩大政府支出、降息等政策主张。     

External Dependent Economy and Structural Real Estate Bubbles in China

This study explores the relationship between external dependent economic structure, surplus monetary liquidity and real estate bubbles in China. Employing monthly data from 28 Chinese provinces over the period 2004-2005, we test whether real estate bubbles are caused by structural surplus monetary liquidity, ccontrolling other possible factors. Our empirical findings show that the growth of private savings in the banking sector, as an index of surplus monetary liquidity, ferments real estate bubbles regardless of the different development level across the 28 provinces.     

KCV与LC之间的内在机理分析

本文从客户满意、感知效果等概念的定义入手,首先推导出客户满意、顾客感知效果和关键客户价值三者之间的函数表达式,然后运用“顾客感知服务质量”理论和“效益背反”定律探讨客户满意、感知效果、物流服务水平和物流成本四者之间的变动关系。在此基础上,通过逻辑关系推理,探讨得知关键客户价值与物流成本之间的内在波动关系。     

Rational panics and stock market crashes

This paper offers an explanation for stock market crashes which focuses on the role of rational but uninformed traders. We show that uninformed traders can precipitate a price crash because as prices decline, they surmise that informed traders received negative information, which leads them to reduce their demand for assets and drive the price of stocks even lower. The model yields several implications, such as that crashes can occur even when the fundamentals are strong, and that the magnitude of the crash depends on the fraction of uninformed investors and the amount of unsophisticated passive investing present in the market.     

Detecting long‐run relationships in regional house prices in the UK

Recent developments in the analysis of cointegration in the presence of asymmetric adjustment are extended and applied to data on regional house prices in the UK. This extension is found to have a dramatic impact upon the results derived. In contrast to recent studies employing standard methods, allowance for the possibility of asymmetric behaviour results in the detection of a large number of long‐run relationships between house prices in different regions. A consistent pattern of asymmetric adjustment is observed, with reversion to equilibrium occurring more rapidly (slowly) when house prices in the South of England decrease (increase) relative to other regions. While the results derived support the existence of a ripple effect underlying the observed movements in regional house prices, the extent of cointegration uncovered casts doubt upon the recently proposed notion of weak segmentation in the UK housing market.