Dynamics of the UK natural gas industry: System dynamics modelling and long-term energy policy analysis

We present a dynamic model of the indigenous natural gas industry in the UK. The model has been built using a system dynamics approach. Using the model several scenarios have been analyzed. We found that management of the supply-side policy alone cannot substantially postpone the discovery, production and consumption peak. We also found that the dynamics of the main variables, namely, exploration, production and consumption, are sensitive to initial demand conditions. Postponing the onset of gas price increases can therefore be achieved more effectively through efforts to reduce demand growth. One might expect that a low taxation policy would encourage more exploration and production of gas and thereby stimulate higher consumption rates. Instead, there was no overall net effect on production and consumption in the long term. The depletion effect on cost of exploration acts as counterbalance to low taxation policy. Depletion effect causes cost and thus price to rise further which depress consumption rate. The advances in exploration and production technology can delay the peak of exploration, production and consumption. Technological improvements mean lower cost of exploration and production which pressure down the long-term pattern of price dynamics.     

重庆市天然气价格调整的经济影响

文章分别从天然气价格与可替代能源价格的定量关系、天然气的价格与其消费量的关系、天然气消费量的GDP弹性三个方面分析重庆市天然气价格调整的经济影响,然后给出相应的政策建议.     

重大自然灾害资金筹措及其配置问题研究——源于汶川地震灾害的思考

5·12汶川地震给受灾地区人民生命财产造成了巨大损失,灾难过后,国家迅速筹措各方资金投入应急救灾、安置和灾后重建工作。赈灾筹资渠道应以国家财政角度、金融信贷角度、社会捐赠三方面为主,对赈灾资金筹措必须进行科学管理,完善管理办法。要充分发挥社会舆论监督作用,并从思想上正确认识各种筹资渠道在不同时期的主辅关系和作用,从而适时调整赈灾资金筹措策略和重点,实现赈灾资金筹措与需求的合理匹配。     

Drastic innovations and multiplicity of optimal licensing policies

Considering the licensing of a drastic cost-reducing innovation by an outside innovator in an n-firm Cournot oligopoly, we show that when the innovator uses combinations of fees and royalties, there are either n − 1 or n optimal licensing policies.     

The causal relationship between natural gas consumption and economic growth: evidence from the G7 countries

This article re-examines the nature of the causality between natural gas consumption and economic growth in G7 countries over the period from 1965 to 2011. We employ the Granger causality procedure proposed by Emirmahmutoglu and Kose (2011) which takes into account cross-sectional dependency and heterogeneity across countries. Our overall empirical results support the neutrality hypothesis for the panel while the individual country results confirm the same result with the exception of the case of UK, where the conservation hypothesis is confirmed, showing that GDP causes natural gas consumption in the country. These results make policies that promote the consumption of natural gas risk-free with regard to their effects to the economic growth and development levels.     

分布式能源站的能源综合利用及噪音治理

分析了广州大学城分布式能源站（简称大学城能源站）一期项目采用2×78Mw燃气-蒸汽联合循环机组的能源利用效率状况;介绍了大学城能源站能源综合利用的成效与噪音环境治理的措施,并对天然气分布式能源系统发展方向提出了合理化建议。该项目可为我国分布式能源发展积累经验,为合理利用天然气资源、提高能源利用效率及智能电网建设支撑提供示范和推动作用。