我国商业银行利率敏感性缺口分析

金融自由化的迅猛发展使得中国银行业正面临着严峻的利率风险,识别和衡量利率风险并提升国内商业银行的利率风险管理能力,是我国商业银行利率风险管理面临的迫切问题。本文针对目前我国商业银行在利率市场化进程中所表现出来的特征,以中国工商银行为例通过利率敏感性缺口的方法实证分析我国商业银行目前所处的风险状态,并给出利率风险的防范和规避措施。     

基于博弈论视角的新型农村合作医疗中供给诱导需求和供需合谋问题探析

利用贝叶斯博弈模型分析在新型农村合作医疗制度中医疗机构和农民之间的博弈,分析引发医疗服务供给诱导需求的原因,以及由于道德风险引发的医疗机构和农民之间的合谋,并且提出建立第三方购买机制等若干建议,以控制医疗费用不合理地快速增长.     

AN AXIOMATIZATION OF QUANTILES ON THE DOMAIN OF DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONS

In an environment in which the primitive is the space of distribution functions, we characterize the quantile functions by the axioms ordinal covariance, monotonicity with respect to first-order stochastic dominance, and upper semicontinuity. We show how to characterize the VaR in a similar manner.     

教学型工科高校办出特色的几点思考

社会对人才的需求正发生着深刻的变化。如何培养知识、能力、素质协调发展，专博结合的通才，如何缩短人才培养和科研水平与社会经济发展需求的距离，如何培养更多市场需要的工科专业人才，这将有赖于工科院校准确、合理的办学定位，以及具有自己特色改革措施的有效实施。     

基于模具课程的项目教学法的研究与应用

深入分析了工程项目教学法的理论基础、内涵及实施步骤,并以机械专业模具课程为例,在分析模具行业社会需求和课程现状基础上,应用项目驱动教学法对该课程进行教学改革,研究和探索了应用项目教学法进行课程教学改革的具体过程和评价体系,并在机械本科专业试运行,效果良好。     

2011-2012年中国宏观经济分析与预测——复苏放缓、风险上扬与结构刚性冲击下的中国宏观经济

本文通过全面总结2011年中国宏观经济的3大表现,利用中国人民大学宏观经济预测模型,指出2012年中国将面临外部经济放缓、内部房地产市场深度调整、泡沫经济逆转以及金融风险加剧的冲击,但在结构刚性的约束下,政府将全面转变政策定位,从而保证中国经济在加速回落中实现反弹,全年经济增长呈现“前低后缓”的模式.     

Project Management of Production Line Automation: A Comparative Analysis of Project Management in Brazil and Colombia

This article aims to evaluate the production line automation projects developed by Brazilian and Colombian companies from the Project Management perspective, through the analysis of the application degree of PMBOK processes, to understand how formal techniques are being employed in these countries and also to identify improvement opportunities, when necessary. Data were collected through a survey. The similarity index between the ten processes, with the highest application degree in the Brazilian and Colombian samples, was 70%. For the processes with the lowest application degree, the similarity index was 60%. No similar study was found in the literature.     

APPLYING A GENETIC ALGORITHM TO INTERNATIONAL DIVERSIFICATION OF EQUITY PORTFOLIOS: A SOUTH AFRICAN INVESTOR PERSPECTIVE

This paper uses the genetic algorithm (GA) approach to generate a portfolio optimisation scenario of a South African investor who seeks to maximise return from investing in S&P500, FTSE100, NASDAQ, DOWJONES, CAC40 and the DAX from January 1, 2005, to January 31, 2008, but facing exchange rate risk. The GA searches for the optimal solution in the entire set of financial constraints without looking for partial derivatives of the utility function. Whereas most financial problems require a non‐linear and time‐varying model, the GA, with its survival principle of offspring chromosomes, is better suited to this type of problem than local optimisation methods. The performance of the GA is compared with two non‐linear models, namely the quadratic mean‐variance (QMV), which maximises the portfolio mean‐variance, and the quadratic variance minimisation (QVM), which minimises the portfolio variance. The results show that neither the QMV nor the QVM takes into account the domestic investors' risk attitude towards investing in foreign equities and therefore does not provide any international diversification benefits. In addition, the bootstrapping scenario of 10,000 simulations reveals that neither the QMV nor the QVM outperforms the GA in terms of Sharpe ratio and flexibility in dealing with investors' risk attitude towards investing in foreign equities denominated in foreign currencies.     

金融信用法律规制的理论探讨

金融信用交易随着金融业的勃兴而迅速发展,金融信用的发展要求有健全的法律制度,这已成为金融业持续发展的共识。作为规制金融信用的法律制度,其基本价值取向是保障金融信用行为的秩序与安全,这是制度的逻辑起点也是制度建构的基本目标。要实现这个价值目标,就要建立以金融产权法律制度和信用风险控制法律制度为核心的金融信用法律体系,同时还要从司法实践出发以整体主义的思维来推进金融信用的法治化。     

石油企业集团跨国经营财务风险的对策研究

在我国石油企业跨国经营过程中,财务风险的严峻性日益凸显。目前我国石油企业集团跨国经营呈现区域广泛、业务范围复杂等特点,取得了突出的成果,同时面临严峻的石油价格风险、汇率风险、经济和投资风险。有必要从建立财务预警机制、监控海外投资风险、运用金融衍生工具避险等几方面对跨国经营中的财务风险进行有效防范和控制。