Exploring the impact of economic integration agreements through extreme bounds analysis

This article provides an empirical strategy guided by the data to estimate the effects of Economic Integration Agreements (EIAs) on trade flows and their transitional dynamics. The strategy uses Extreme Bounds Analysis (EBA) to guide the choice of lags and leads in the effects without researchers' discretion involved. We show that arbitrarily selected year intervals and starting year can result in non-robust estimates of transitional dynamics of the effects of EIAs on trade flows. The empirical strategy follows two steps: EBA first sifts lags and leads of EIAs robustly related to trade flows from candidates, then these are included in the gravity equation to estimate the effects of EIAs on trade. We find that various lags and leads are robustly and positively related to trade flows, and the lag and lead structure depends on the level of integration. Our results show that EIAs have a long-term effect of 63% on trade flows. Under the richer lag and lead structure, deep-integration agreements beyond the level of free trade agreements have a much higher impact on trade flows than free trade agreements do (132% vs 31%). The estimates of effects of EIAs obtained from EBA-based estimation have a smaller contemporaneous effect and larger phased-in effects compared to previous studies relying on the subjective choices of year intervals while similar results are observed with the decomposed EIAs.     

Prioritising alternatives for sustainable end-of-life vehicle disassembly in China using AHP methodology

The projection on Chinese increasing end-of-life vehicle (ELV) volumes indicates that the volume in 2020 will be about threefold that in 2015. The issue of scrapping vehicle upsurge relative to capacity crunches and environmental impacts perplexes Chinese dismantlers and it is intractable and urgent to choose an appropriate dismantling mode. The purpose of this study is to prioritise four potential dismantling modes and provide decision-making reference for dismantlers with a view to such criteria as environmentally sustainable considering constraints involving economy, technique, ecology and flexibility over changing condition. The conducted evaluation by the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) methodology takes sensitive and problematic aspects into account through questionnaires. The whole evaluation process supported by expert preferences, provides a simple and intuitive knowledge to construct arguments for ELV decision-making process. Results show that disassembly line involves the highest global weight of 0.363 and is concluded to be the best compromised ecological alternative.     

内生货币体系下房价波动对货币供求的冲击

在内生货币体系下,房价上涨导致我国内生货币扩张的途径主要有两条:一是基于房地产抵押信贷需求膨胀引致的商业银行内生货币供给的扩张;二是被房价持续上涨及人民币升值预期所吸引的外汇流入导致央行大量基础货币的被动投放。这样会对货币供应量目标有效性带来影响。因此应将房地产市场监测数据列入当前货币供应量调控的参照指标。     

Conceptual niche management of grassroots innovation for sustainability: The case of body disposal practices in the UK

The grassroots has recently been identified as an alternative site for the development of innovations that may contribute to shifts towards more sustainable systems of consumption and production. While the characteristics of these innovations have been elaborated, it remains unclear how these alternative ideas and practices can be purposively supported to populate incumbent systems. This is especially so in light of the difficulty the grassroots face in connecting forcefully with the mainstream.This article will address this issue by outlining an adaptation of conceptual niche management - an approach that focuses on the embedding of guiding principles used to fulfill basic societal needs - that is sensitive to grassroots innovation. The framework will be applied to the current UK body disposal system to illustrate how such transformative sustainability ideas may be capitalised on.     

投资者会听话听音吗??--基于管理层语调视角的实证研究

我国投资者会听话听音吗？文章利用文本分析方法,基于我国上市公司2005－2012年年度业绩说明会上的管理层语调数据对此进行了实证检验。研究发现,投资者对管理层的净正面语调做出了显著的正向反应,尤其是对负面语调做出了显著的负向反应。这表明在我国强调“意会”的语境文化背景下,投资者会听话听音,管理层语调具有信息含量,上市公司的业绩说明会具有其自身的存在价值。文章的研究结果还意味着,“词袋”方法及其构建的管理层语调用词列表在我国儒家文化背景下具有一定的适用性,值得开展进一步的研究。     

企业并购后的和谐整合模式

本文结合和谐管理理论的基本思想,分析了和谐整合的必要性,引入和谐度的概念,并对其设定适应性、明确性、匹配性三个指标,在此基础上提出了企业并购后的和谐整合模式,以期能为企业并购整合提供借鉴。     

核心企业集约的多产品、多级供应链库存控制策略研究

在供应链环境及结构稳定情况下,供应链上的各节点企业,根据需求来调整相应的运作策略。基于多层供应商及供货产品为多品种且集约到一个核心企业的供应链网络,根据该供应链网络供需结构和特点分析了各节点的需求特征,得出了订货提前期为随机条件下的最佳库存费用,并利用各节点服务水平约束下的临界值及库存费用凸函数特性确定了供应链的运作策略。     

国外战略管理研究的新动向

随着科学技术的迅速发展,战略管理的研究也出现了新的趋势。从战略管理理论学派、历史演化、战略选择以及战略管理工具4个方面阐明了国外学者研究的新动向。     

改善民生：精兵简政，势在必行——兼论财政支出的合理性

政府的财政收入主要来自于税收,纳税人的钱只能有两种用处,一是维护国家机器的正常运转;二是改善民生。而且二者是此消彼长,即在财政收入一定的条件下,要想增加社会保障和社会福利,就必须减少行政事业费开支,而达到这一目的的唯一出路就是精兵简政。精兵简政不仅可以节省资金,用来解决民生问题,而且只有精兵简政才能提升军队的战斗力,只有精兵简政才能提高工作效率,只有精兵简政才能减少权力寻租,只有精兵简政才能实现高薪养廉,只有精兵简政才能降低税费收缴,从而有利于增加生产,扩大就业。     

浅析旅游专业实训室规范化管理

实训室是高职教育实践教学的重要场所,也是实现高职教育培养高素质技能型人才目标的必要条件。对于以实践性为主要教学特征的旅游专业来讲,实训室的建设与管理显得尤其重要。本文拟结合我院旅游系各专业的特点,浅谈实训室建设与管理对旅游类高素质技能型人才培养的重要性。