The relevance of currency risk in the EMU

We investigate how the elimination of intra-European exchange risk may affect international financial markets using a conditional version of the International CAPM. We estimate the EMU and non-EMU components of aggregate currency risk and document significant exposures to both. The premium for EMU risk is positive and associated with exposure to the French, Italian and Spanish currencies. The premium for non-EMU risk is consistently negative and accounts for most of the aggregate currency premiums. In the 1990s, exposures to EMU risk declined significantly while exposures to non-EMU risk increased. Hence the adoption of the Euro is unlikely to have a large impact on aggregate currency risk premiums.     

Sources of Bank Interest Rate Risk

We investigate bank stocks'sensitivity to changes in interest rates and the factors affecting this sensitivity. We focus on whether the exposure of commercial banks to interest rate risk is conditioned on certain balance sheet and income statement ratios. We find a significantly negative relation between bank stock returns and changes in interest rates over the period 1991–1996. We also find that bank characteristics measured from basic financial statement information explain bank stocks'sensitivity to interest rate changes. These results suggest that bank managers, analysts, and regulators can use this information to assess the relative risk exposure of banks.     

From T-Bills to Stocks: Seasonal Anomalies Revisited

This paper employed eleven data series which consist of stocks, bonds, bills, equity premiums, term premiums, and various default premiums to investigate whether January seasonality reported in existing literature is robust across different states of the economy as this has important trading implications. For the periods 1926–1990, small stocks, small stock premiums, low grade bonds, and default premiums (spread between high grade, low grade and government bonds) reveal January seasonality and that the seasonality is robust across different states of the economy except for low grade bond returns and default premiums. January seasonality for low grade bond returns and low grade bond default premiums are primarily driven by results found during periods of economic expansion. Overall, January seasonality is more evident during the economic expansion periods although the magnitude of default premiums is larger during periods of economic contraction. Furthermore, prior findings of strong summer equity returns are primarily driven by the results found during the periods of economic contraction. It is also found that equity returns are generally higher during periods of economic expansion.     

商业银行资产负债结构与流动性风险控制

流动性风险产生的实质是由于资产、负债的不匹配所导致的。因此,合理调整资产负债结构,能有效地控制流动性风险。     

石家庄市地震危险性评价

本文在分析石家庄市及邻近地区活动性构造及地震活动特征的基础上，运用数理统计的方法，对市区的地震危险性进行了评价。认为未来百年内市区可能发生的最大地震为５级左右，其地震危险性主要来自河北平原地震带的影响。     

浅谈企业信用风险管理

社会主义经济是信用经济,没有信用,就没有秩序,市场经济就不能健康的发展。加强企业信用管理的风险控制是现代企业的一项重要任务。进入WTO标志着中国经济更加开放,国际贸易更加纷繁复杂,在机遇透人的同时,企业也潜伏着越来越大的风险,尤其是企业信用风险。因此强化企业的信用风险管理,建立与完善企业内部信用风险管理体制,仍然是企业面临的一项重要课题,笔者从多方面阐述了企业信用风险形成的原因以及如何建立风险管理机制等问题。     

Var模型与我国的金融风险管理

Var模型作为金融风险量化管理的有效方法，在国际金融界得到了广泛的认同和应用。本文介绍了Var模型的基本思想及Var值估算的三种具体方法，并对Var模型在中国金融风险管理中的应用前景进行了分析和展望。     

浅析计算机审计风险形成及控制

介绍计算机审计风险的形成及其定义,如何减小这一风险的措施。     

全面风险管理框架与内部控制整体框架的比较分析

2004年美国COSO委员会在其1992年发布的《内部控制整体框架》基础上,吸收各方面风险管理研究成果,颁布了《全面风险管理框架》(Enterpris Reisk Management Framework),旨在为各国的企业风险管理提供一个统一术语与概念体系的全面的应用指南。本文首先回顾了《内部控制整体框架》的产生及其贡献与不足,其次阐述了风险管理与内部控制的关系,最后比较分析了《全面风险管理框架》与《全面风险管理框架》的联系与区别,以期对理解、掌握和执行《全面风险管理框架》有所裨益。     

新巴塞尔资本协议解读--兼论WTO条件下我国银行业的风险管理

本文从分析说明新巴塞尔资本协议的内容创新及特点入手,论述了我国银行业特别是四大国有商业银行在WTO条件下新协议的推行对其所产生的风险及其负面影响,并提出了对策建议。