Measuring financial risks with copulas

This paper is concerned with the statistical modeling of the dependence structure of multivariate financial data using the concept of copulas. We select some special copulas and identify the type of dependency captured by each one. We fit copulas to daily returns and simulate from the fitted models. We compare the effect of the choice of copula on risk measures and assess the variability of one-step-ahead predictions of portfolio losses. We analyze extreme scenarios and fit extreme value copulas to the block maxima and minima from daily returns. The stress scenarios constructed are compared to those obtained using models from the extreme value theory. We illustrate the usefulness of the copula approach using two stock market indexes.     

磁防垢除垢技术研究与应用新进展

回顾了磁防垢除垢技术的发展历程，介绍了磁防垢除垢技术的作用效果和应用情况，分析了磁防垢除垢技术研究现状和存在的问题，跟踪报道了磁防垢除垢技术研究的新进展。     

关于如何解决电网发展资本金短缺问题的探讨

介绍了国家对建设项目资本金的有关规定及近年来国家电网发展状况,提出了解决电网发展出路的建议。     

The Effects of Oil Price on the Korean Economy: A Global VAR Approach

This article empirically explores the effects of oil price on the Korean economy using a Global VAR model. First, we evaluate the average connectedness of oil price with the Korean domestic variables over the precrisis period. We then investigate the time-varying contribution of oil price to the Korean financial and real sectors during and after the global financial crisis through recursive estimation. It is found that the contribution of oil price becomes very large in the case of real exports, equity prices, and real output, but plays a much less prevalent role in the remaining cases. In the meantime, the time-varying contribution of oil price to the Korean economy has not changed during and after the global financial crisis. Interestingly, we find that the Korean economy is affected mostly by overseas financial conditions in the short-term but it becomes more susceptible to oil price fluctuations in the long run, suggesting that Korea’s reliance on energy imports leaves the economy exposed to volatility in energy prices.     

水平岩层隧道支护体系加固措施及施工工艺研究

合理的设计支护体系及合理的选择施工技术,可以节约支护成本,本隧道水平岩层的设计加固措施及施工工艺研究将为提高水平岩层隧道整体设计与施工技术水平和确保工程质量,提供理论依据和技术保障。     

建筑施工企业工程项目合同管理的法律风险及防范

工程项目是建筑施工企业经营管理的源头和效益的源泉。加强工程项目合同管理,从源头上预防和化解法律风险,杜绝纠纷案件,是提升项目创效水平,实现项目效益的重要环节。本文论述了工程项目合同管理中容易引发的法律风险,以及就如何防范法律风险有针对性的提出了预防措施,对建筑施工企业防范法律风险有着较强的指导意义。     

框架填充墙裂缝原因分析及预防

文章分析了加气块填充墙裂缝的开裂成因,并提出了相应的预防措施。     

加强施工机械设备管理

为了进一步提高劳动生产率、提高企业经济效益,根据施工单位机械设备数量不足、严重老化、技术性和配套性落后等问题,进行分析和探讨解决的方法及措施。     

常熟市道路交叉口设计方案

城市道路交叉路口是保证城市通行能力的要塞。本文通过重置行车道,调整绿信比、设置导流岛等方式试图缓解部分路段目前交叉路口的交通压力。     

试论轨道交通工程安全质量隐患的排查治理

本文介绍了我国目前轨道交通工程的现状以及所发生的事故特点、隐患体系,并对如何建立起有效的排查预防机制进行一定的分析探讨。