When to accept a sequence of gambles

When is a sequence of gambles, which is initially rejected eventually accepted? The eventual acceptance is defined as a pair property between the utility function and the sequences of gambles. A sequence of gambles is accepted when the gambles follow a large deviation principle and the utility function is non-satiated and bounded from below in a certain way. The number of gambles required for acceptance is computed.     

对改革供电企业变电检修现行管理模式的探讨

提出了重组专业化的变电检修总公司的战略思路,对电网企业与总公司之间发展新型关系进行了探讨,指出以战略思维构筑战略联盟,保持合作联盟,实现共赢与发展.分析虽是对检修体制改革,同时也是对安全生产管理体制的变革,有利于供电企业的安全生产管理.     

试论评估对加快我院改革与建设的作用

开展高职高专院校人才培养工作水平评估,给我院带来了新的发展契机,对加快改革与建设起到了积极地推动作用。通过两年来迎评促建工作的开展,学院的办学指导思想更加明确,全院教职工增强了凝聚力,办学条件得到了改善,师资队伍建设得到了加强,教学改革进一步深化,专业建设迈上了新台阶,学生素质教育结出了累累硕果,学院的办学实力和整体竞争力得到了提高。     

外商直接投资对产业结构升级的作用机制研究

随着知识经济时代的到来,产业结构升级成为现代经济发展中的焦点问题。外商投资起到了促进传统产业转移、新兴产业成长和产业组织结构优化等作用,并且带动了产业的调整和升级。但是,外商投资对于产业结构升级也存在一定的阻碍作用,通过研究外资对产业升级产生的影响,从而制定合理的引资政策具有十分重要的现实意义。     

农村劳动力转移模型:基于中国制度背景的构造

本文在对经典的农村劳动力流动模型进行理论梳理的基础上,引入中国的制度变量,试图构建适合中国制度背景的农村劳动力转移模型,同时,运用经验事实对其作进一步的实证检验,并分析了模型的政策含义。     

Intention of Internet-based Customer Involvement in Product Development： A Conceptual Investigation

The paper develops an extension of Technology Acceptance Model （TAM） and puts forward the TAM-VCE conceptual model to explain the intention of intemet-based customer involvement in new product development （NPD）. The findings will help enterprises design Virtual Customer Environments accepted by customer.     

电力商标分析及评估模型的构建

本文分析了电力商标的实质内涵，总结了电力商标的基本特征，在此基础上对商标的评估模型进行了创新构建，新建模型有两大特点：一是将商标收益分割为两部分计量；二是用强度系数进行了调整强化，为电力商标的评估提供一种新思路。     

Statistical Decision Problems and Bayesian Nonparametric Methods

This paper considers parametric statistical decision problems conducted within a Bayesian nonparametric context. Our work was motivated by the realisation that typical parametric model selection procedures are essentially incoherent. We argue that one solution to this problem is to use a flexible enough model in the first place, a model that will not be checked no matter what data arrive. Ideally, one would use a nonparametric model to describe all the uncertainty about the density function generating the data. However, parametric models are the preferred choice for many statisticians, despite the incoherence involved in model checking, incoherence that is quite often ignored for pragmatic reasons. In this paper we show how coherent parametric inference can be carried out via decision theory and Bayesian nonparametrics. None of the ingredients discussed here are new, but our main point only becomes evident when one sees all priors—even parametric ones—as measures on sets of densities as opposed to measures on finite-dimensional parameter spaces.     

R&D项目投资评估的实物期权方法初探

本文分析了传统的NPV法在R&D项目投资评估中的缺陷,指出R&D项目投资本质上所具有的期权特性。在此基础上引入了实物期权方法,包括Black-Scholes期权定价方法和Geske期权定价模型。     

工程建设PM、CM和PMC三种模式的比较

PM、CM和PMC是三种不同的工程建设模式,产生于不同的历史阶段和市场条件,有着各自的特点和适用范围。文章介绍了三种模式的基本含义及特征,在组织、合同、工作范围以及风险和责任等方面进行了比较研究,并对三种模式的优势和适用条件进行了分析,最后强调在应用时,应根据项目的不同情况和条件来加以选择。