关于证券市场投资者风险偏好的实证研究

根据显现偏好理论,投资者的投资行为显现了其内在的风险偏好。在本文中,采用均衡分析方法,以中国证券市场中的指数序列为样本,综合期望收益、方差,自相关系数等统计量,准确反映证券组合的投资价值,揭示市场中投资者作为一个整体所具有的风险偏好和投资组合无差异曲线的形式。     

Indifference,indecision, and coin-flipping

This article operationalizes a non-empty relation as implied if strict preference and indifference jointly do not completely order the choice set. Specifically, indecision is operationalized as a positive preference for delegating choice to a least predictable device.     

Indifference pricing with uncertainty averse preferences

We consider the indifference valuation of an uncertain monetary payoff from the perspective of an uncertainty averse decision maker. We study how the indifference valuation depends on the decision maker’s attitudes toward uncertainty. We obtain a characterization of comparative uncertainty aversion and various characterizations of increasing, decreasing, and constant uncertainty aversion.     

资源税促进煤炭企业能源节约的经济学分析

当今国家大力提倡节能减排,它的落实,离不开相应的财税政策。本文从资源税着手,来讨论一下资源税对节能的激励作用。促进社会节能,务必首先增加人们对能源的珍惜程度。所以本文首先引入社会珍惜度函数。通过珍惜度无差异曲线得出不同的资源分配状况会对人们珍惜能源起到不同的效果。合理的资源分配可以促使人们节约能源。然后再从企业的利润函数着手,分析资源税的征收能否调整社会的资源分配。在税负转嫁不明显的情况下,我们得出了肯定的回答。最后再次从社会珍惜度函数入手对制定合理的资源税税率初步提出了数学模型。本文的结论是:在合理的财税政策下,节能便会水到渠成。     

Principle of equivalent utility and universal variable life insurance pricing

In this paper we study the pricing problem for a class of universal variable life (UVL) insurance products, using the idea of principle of equivalent utility. As the main features of UVL products we allow the (death) benefit to depend on certain indices or assets that are not necessarily tradable (e.g., pension plans), and we also consider the “multiple decrement” cases in which various status of the insured are allowed and the benefit varies in accordance with the status. Following the general theory of indifference pricing, we formulate the pricing problem as stochastic control problems, and derive the corresponding HJB equations for the value functions. In the case of exponential utilities, we show that the prices can be expressed explicitly in terms of the global, bounded solutions of a class of semilinear parabolic PDEs with exponential growth. In the case of general insurance models where multiple decrements and random time benefit payments are all allowed, we show that the price should be determined by the solutions to a system of HJB equations, each component corresponds to the value function of an optimization problem with the particular status of the insurer.     

Indifference and incompleteness distinguished by rational trade

We use an agent's strict preferences to define indifference and incompleteness relations that identify the sequences of trades that are rational to undertake. If an agent makes sequences of trades of options labeled indifferent, the agent will never be led to an inferior outcome, but trades of options where no preference judgments obtain can lead to diminished welfare. For one-shot choices, in contrast, there can be no behavioral distinction between indifference and incompleteness. Applications include: an isomorphism for incomplete preferences that indicates when weak and strict preferences contain interchangeable information, a characterization of the (possibly incomplete) preference relations consistent with a one-shot choice function, and an equivalent definition of incompleteness that relies on the philosophical theory of incommensurability.     

A fixed sample size selection procedure for negative binomial populations

Summary A fixed sample size procedure for selecting the ‘best’ ofk negative binomial populations is developed. Selection is made in such a way that the probability of correct selection is at leastP* whenever the distance between the probabilities of success is at leastδ*. The exponentr is assumed to be known and the same for all populations. Extensive computer calculations* were employed to obtain the exact least favorable configuration. The smallest sample sizes needed to meet specifications (P*,δ*) are tabulated forr=1 (1)5;δ*=0.05 (0.05) 0.55 andP*=0.75, 0.80, 0.90, 0.95, 0.98, 0.99 involvingk=3 (1) 6, 8, 10 populations. All the computations were carried out on the Alabama Supercomputer. Part of this work was completed when the authors were at the Department of Statistics, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, OK 74078.