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31.
A bilinear multivariate errors-in-variables model is considered. It corresponds to an overdetermined set of linear equations
AXB=C, A∈ℝm×n, B∈ℝp×q, in which the data A, B, C are perturbed by errors. The total least squares estimator is inconsistent in this case.
An adjusted least squares estimator is constructed, which converges to the true value X, as m →∞, q →∞. A small sample modification of the estimator is presented,
which is more stable for small m and q and is asymptotically equivalent to the adjusted least squares estimator. The theoretical
results are confirmed by a simulation study.
Acknowledgements. We thank two anonymous reviewers for their suggestions and corrections.? A. Kukush is supported by a postdoctoral research
fellowship of the Belgian office for Scientific, Technical and Cultural Affairs, promoting Scientific and Technical Collaboration
with Central and Eastern Europe.? S. Van Huffel is a full professor with the Katholieke Universiteit Leuven.? I. Markovsky
is a research assistant with the Katholieke Universiteit Leuven.? This paper presents research results of the Belgian Programme
on Interuniversity Poles of Attraction (IUAP V-22), initiated by the Belgian State, Prime Minister's Office – Federal Office
for Scientific, Technical and Cultural Affairs of the Concerted Research Action (GOA) projects of the Flemish Government MEFISTO-666
(Mathematical Engineering for Information and Communication Systems Technology), of the IDO/99/03 project (K.U. Leuven) “Predictive
computer models for medical classification problems using patient data and expert knowledge”, of the FWO projects G.0078.01,
G.0200.00, and G0.0270.02.? The scientific responsibility is assumed by its authors. 相似文献
32.
郑少贞 《数量经济技术经济研究》2002,19(6):49-51
中国正式加入WTO,标志着中国对外开放进入了一个新的阶段,本文试图在分析国际资本流动的新特点的基础上,从完善市场经济制度和投资环境,引资方式创新,发挥利用外资对结构调整战略的配合作用,以及利用外资与宏观经济目标的相互协调等方面,提出中国利用外资的基本思路。 相似文献
33.
Forecasting residential burglary 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Following the work of Dhiri et al. [Modelling and predicting property crime trends. Home Office Research Study 198 (1999). London: HMSO] at the Home Office predicting recorded burglary and theft for England and Wales to the year 2001, econometric and time series models were constructed for predicting recorded residential burglary to the same date. A comparison between the Home Office econometric predictions and the less alarming econometric predictions made in this paper identified the differences as stemming from the particular set of variables used in the models. However, the Home Office and one of our econometric models adopted an error correction form which appeared to be the main reason why these models predicted increases in burglary. To identify the role of error correction in these models, time series models were built for the purpose of comparison, all of which predicted substantially lower numbers of residential burglaries. The years 1998–2001 appeared to offer an opportunity to test the utility of error correction models in the analysis of criminal behaviour. Subsequent to the forecasting exercise carried out in 1999, recorded outcomes have materialised, which point to the superiority of time series models compared to error correction models for the short-run forecasting of property crime. This result calls into question the concept of a long-run equilibrium relationship for crime. 相似文献
34.
Statistical inference based on the Weibull distribution, a distribution widely used in reliability and survival analysis,
is usually difficult as it often involves numerical computation and approximation. However, this distribution can be transformed
to near-normality by a simple power transformation. Based on this transformation, a prediction interval (PI) for its median
can be easily constructed through an inverse transformation. The procedure for selecting the best power transformation through
minimizing Kullback-Leibler information is described. The property of this transformation-based PI is investigated. Simple
correction factors are also proposed. It is shown that the transformation-based PI with corrections performs well, irrespective
of the sample size and parameter values. Simulation results show that the new PI generally outperforms the existing PI. Numerical
examples are given for illustration. 相似文献
35.
We provide specific qualifications in order that Kuhn–Tucker type Euler equations and transversality conditions at infinity
hold in stochastic equilibrium models with heterogeneous agents and where assets are traded in sequential markets. It is not
assumed that uncertainty is modeled as an event-tree structure or that preferences are necessarily bounded. We also describe
an important class of preferences based on bounded relative risk aversion which yields relevant simplifications. Our results
are used to establish conditions that rule out asset pricing bubbles. Specific examples of economies with bubbles are also
discussed.
Received: 28 January 2002 / Accepted: 19 July 2002
We are grateful to the editor and an anonymous referee for their valuable comments. This research was partially supported
by MURST (Italy), National Group on “Nonlinear Dynamics and Stochastic Models in Economics and Finance”. 相似文献
36.
Received March 5, 2001; revised version received August 5, 2002
Published online: April 30, 2003 相似文献
37.
Bayesian MCMC Mapping of Quantitative Trait Loci in a Half-sib Design: a Graphical Model Perspective
N.A. Sheehan B. Gulbrandtsen M.S. Lund D.A. Sorensen 《Revue internationale de statistique》2002,70(2):241-267
Graphical models provide a powerful and flexible approach to the analysis of complex problems in genetics. While task-specific software may be extremely efficient for any particular analysis, it is often difficult to adapt to new computational challenges. By viewing these genetic applications in a more general framework, many problems can be handled by essentially the same software. This is advantageous in an area where fast methodological development is essential. Once a method has been fully developed and tested, problem-specific software may then be required. The aim of this paper is to illustrate the potential use of a graphical model approach to genetic analyses by taking a very simple and well-understood problem by way of example. 相似文献
38.
The aim of this paper is to provide a connection between concentration and inequality. In particular, we show that the general
entropy inequality indices are, among inequality measures, those consistent with the whole set of Hannah-Kay concentration
indices. We isolate the inequality component underlying concentration measures, obtaining an explicit additive decomposition
of the change in concentration into the change in its two components, i.e., inequality and the number of firms. This relationship
proves to be valid for the whole set of Hannah-Kay concentration indices, and embodies as particular cases some others previously
found in the literature.
We are particularly grateful to Emilio Cerdá for helpful comments on the mathematical formulation of the paper. The second
author also acknowledges support through the European Commission Project #ERBCHRXCT980248. 相似文献
39.
We investigate the investment decisions of Italian state-owned enterprises (SOEs) across budget constraint regimes and carry out a natural experiment that exploits a regime switch in 1987. Drawing on the theory of capital market imperfections, we apply an empirical framework for investment analysis to a panel of manufacturing SOEs in competitive industries. We identify parallels between SOEs and widely held, quoted companies afflicted by agency problems, managerial discretion, and overinvestment. We argue that, in the case of SOEs, the soft budget regime increases managerial discretion, facilitates collusion with vote-seeking politicians, and results in wasteful investment. Consistent with our predictions, we find that the regime switch disciplines SOE's investment behavior. Following a hardening of the budget constraint, managers lose discretion to indulge in collusion and overinvestment. J. Comp. Econ., June 2002 30(4), pp. 787–811. London School of Economics and Political Science, Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE, United Kingdom; and CERIS–CNR, Institute for Economic Research on Firms and Growth, National Research Council, Via Avogadro, 8, 10121 Turin, Italy. © 2002 Association for Comparative Economic Studies. Published by Elsevier Science (USA). All rights reserved.Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: E32, G31, G32, L32, M40. 相似文献
40.
Juan A. Lafuente 《Spanish Economic Review》2002,4(3):201-220
This paper analyses the intraday lead-lag relationships between returns and volatilities in the Ibex 35 spot and futures
markets. Using hourly data, we jointly analyze the interactions between markets, estimating a bivariate error correction model
with GARCH perturbations which captures stochastically the presence of an intraday U-shaped curve for both spot and futures market volatility. Our findings show a bidirectional causal relationship between market
volatilities, with a positive feedback. This two-way transmission of volatility is consistent with market prices evolving
according to a long-run equilibrium relationship, and shocks affecting both markets in the same direction. Our empirical results
also support a unidirectional cross interaction from futures to spot market returns. This pattern suggests that the futures
market leads the spot market in order to incorporate the arrival of new information. 相似文献