奎德政策分析理论述评

本文从政策分析及其必要性、政策分析的要素、政策分析的过程以及政策分析与政治因素的关系等诸方面对美国著名政策分析专家奎德的政策分析理论进行了系统的归纳和阐释，最后并对其理论作了简要的评价。     

CET-4测试目标评析

从测试理论，测试实践和改进措施三方面评析了CET－4测试目标，认为其信度和效度各有高低的一面，提高CET－4通过率的根本出路在于英语水平的提高。     

新疆城镇居民国内潜在出游力的地区差异分析

本文在分析潜在出游力的影响因素基础上,用主成份分析法简化影响因素的结构,得出了收入水平、交通通讯水平与消费水平是影响各地区城镇居民潜在出游力的基本因素。并通过综合评价法来描述新疆各地州市城镇居民潜在出游力的差异状况,从而为旅游企业开展客源市场提供可靠依据。     

The Association between Disclosure,Distress, and Failure

The quality of corporate disclosures has drawn increasing levels of criticism from Congress and the SEC. A subject of particularly intense scrutiny and action is the Management’s Discussion and Analysis (MD&A). This narrative, intended to provide an inside perspective on the reported results of the firm, is particularly important when attempting to evaluate the investment prospects of the marginal or poorly performing firm. However, managers may restrict the information content of the disclosure, raising potential concerns about ethical behavior. In this study, we employ a proprietary instrument to measure the quality of MD&A disclosures for a sample of firms entering financial distress. We evaluate the disclosure behavior of these firms in an effort to determine whether changes in the disclosure appear to be motivated primarily by economic or ethical concerns. We find, on average, that firms increase disclosure quality in the year of initial distress. However, sustained increases in disclosure quality are limited to firms that subsequently recover from the distress. The results suggest that observed changes in disclosure are driven primarily by economic considerations, rather than ethical ones, especially in good economic times.     

我国省际体育文化产业竞争力评价与提升研究——基于31省市数据的实证分析

本研究构建一个由产业效益、成本控制、市场占有和可持续发展四个维度构成的体育文化产业竞争力指标体系,运用因子分析法测算了各项指标权重,对全国31个省区体育文化产业竞争力进行排名,结果表明:从整体态势来看,我国体育文化产业竞争力水平存在明显的区域差异,呈"东高西低"趋势;从聚类分析来看,可以将我国31个省区分为三个集团:第一集团(山东、广东、北京、江苏、上海和浙江),第二集团(山西、安徽、江西、河北、陕西、黑龙江、云南、天津、内蒙古、吉林、广西、新疆、湖南、重庆、辽宁、河南、福建、湖北、四川),第三集团(青海、宁夏、西藏、海南、贵州、甘肃)。     

简述杜邦分析体系的应用

在财务管理领域,杜邦财务分析体系,是一种非常优秀的财务管理工具。其中比较突出的特点,就是从净资产收益率出发,通过分析各主要财务比率指标间的内在有机联系,从而对企业的财务状况及经济效益做出综合全面的评价。不过在金融资本运作模式不断创新的今天,市场环境的变化深刻,杜邦财务分析体系日趋露出不足之处,使得传统的杜邦分析体系已不能完全满足对企业财务进行准确分析的要求。改进后的杜邦分析体系,在某些方面弥补了传统杜邦分析体系的不足。     

出口对我国经济影响的制度性差异分析

关于出口对中国经济的影响,国内已经有大量的实证研究,但大都没有考虑制度性因素的影响。本文在通过定性和定量两种方法确定了我国出口贸易转折点的基础上,运用传统的宏观经济分析和计量模型,对不同制度下出口对我国经济的影响作了分析。     

Corporate Demography and Empirical Industrial Organization: A Critical Appraisal

The emerging field of corporate demography views corporations and industries in a similar way to human or animal individuals and groups. In spite of a surprisingly large overlap of subject matter with economics, corporate demography is not well-known by, nor easily accessible to economists. An extremely useful recent book, The Demography of Corporations and Industries, by Glenn R. Carroll and Michael T. Hannan (2000) should change that. This review essay critically examines corporate demography from an economic viewpoint. The very different view of competition in corporate demography gets particular attention.     

Using stated response choice data to enrich revealed preference discrete choice models

There is growing interest in exploring the view that both revealed preference (RP) and stated preference (SP) data have useful information and that their integration will enrich the overall explanatory power of RP choice models. These two types of data have been independently used in the estimation of a wide variety of discrete choice applications in marketing. In order to combine the two data sources, each with independent choice outcomes, allowance must be made for their different scaling properties. The approach uses a full information maximum likelihood estimation procedure of the hierarchical logit form to obtain suitable scaling parameters to make one or more data sets comparable. We illustrate the advantages of the dual data strategy by comparing the results with those obtained from models estimated independently with RP and SP data. Data collected as part of a study of high speed rail is used to estimate a set of illustrative mode choice models.     

外商直接投资行业分布对中国能源消费影响的实证分析

运用指数因素分析法将中国各行业能源消费指数分解为外商直接投资（FDI）数量效应、FDI行业分布效应和投资能源强度效应，拟揭示FDI行业分布对中国能源消费的影响。研究认为，FDI行业分布对中国能源消费影响较大并呈现加强态势。因此，通过制定合理的产业政策引导FDI的行业分布，可以有效地降低中国能源消费。