银行监督、企业社会性成本与贷款融资体系

本文从政府机构控股国有企业所造成的企业行为扭曲的角度来研究银行贷款策略组合的微观机制,即银行对国有企业和私营企业进行事前筛选的程度及贷款利率设定,并建立了关于银行贷款融资体系的微观模型和理论框架。首先,将企业社会性成本和银行监督功能(事前筛选)引入债务合同模型,说明国有企业在面临破产做清算决策时会考虑到社会破产成本,从而推导出国有企业的还款机制有别于私营企业,信息不对称条件下银行事前对贷款筛选的激励也会有所不同,并提供了一般性推导和数值解拟合分析;同时,事前筛选存在一定的反转效应,因此需要就监督效率的社会剩余价值进行权衡。     

Is China’s Development Finance a Challenge to the International Order?

China is a major funder of developing country infrastructure, lending $40 billion annually through policy banks. Lending does not favor the belt and road above other regions. China’s lending is indifferent to risk, that is, it is uncorrelated with indices of political stability and rule of law. Some major borrowers with poor governance are beginning to have debt sustainability problems, while other borrowers are in good fiscal shape. Chinese banks have been reluctant to follow global environmental norms but seem to be evolving in that direction. Chinese actions seem more a revision of the global system than a challenge to it.     

商业银行高额利润现象的平抑对策

合理的利润分配是社会经济持续稳定和协调发展的基础。目前,商业银行在社会利润分配结构中享有固定利润分配特征。其原因主要在于我国商业银行的准入门槛高、市场对社会资金供不应求以及利率市场化程度不高。保持我国商业银行合理利润区间,必须进一步推进商业银行利率市场化进程,推进商业银行与企业间利益共享、风险共担机制,推进金融自由化进程。     

货币政策透明度指数:理论方法与实证检验

文章通过建立货币政策透明度指数,并利用我国金融市场的利率数据进行检验,认为我国中央银行在基准利率调整和准备金率改变等重大政策决策上,货币当局更倾向于采用模糊的政策操作方式,由此可能会导致市场预期的混乱,并最终对政策实施效果产生负面影响。因此,我国有必要借鉴西方国家的政策操作经验,进一步有选择地增加货币政策操作的透明度,并借以最终建立一个简单透明、效率更高的政策调控框架。     

长沙大河西战略的正效应研究

为探索＂两型社会＂发展的新路子,2007年底长沙市委研究决定扩大岳麓区的版图,并将它打造成一个先导区,由点到面带动整个城市群的发展,这个战略被命名为＂大河西战略＂。大河西战略实施至今,对长株潭地区的经济增长产生了明显的正效应,也给湖南的区域经济发展注入了有力的支持。     

News-driven international credit cycles

How does news about future economic fundamentals affect within-country and cross-country credit allocation? How effective is unconventional policy when financial crises are driven by unfulfilled favorable news? I study these questions by employing a two-sector, two-country macroeconomic model with a banking sector in which financial crises are associated with occasionally binding leverage constraints. In response to positive news on the valuation of non-traded sector capital which turns out to be incorrect at a later date, the model captures the patterns of financial flows and current account dynamics in Spain between 2000–2010, including the changes in the sectoral allocation of bank credit and movements in cross-country borrowing during the boom and the bust. When there are unconventional policies by a common authority in response to unfulfilled favorable news, liquidity injections perform better in ameliorating the downturn than direct assets purchases from the non-traded sector.     

The effects of monetary policy changes on market interest rates in Greece: An event study approach

The operational procedures of the Bank of Greece underwent major changes during the 1990s. These shifts in operational strategy made interest rates the main tool of monetary policy for the first time in Greece. This paper examines the effects of changes in the bank's operational interest rates on market interest rates at eight maturities and for different operational regimes. A major feature of our study is the application of the event study methodology used in finance, which has not been employed in any previous study on this subject. We find that changes in official interest rates had a significant influence on short-term and intermediate-term rates and that this relationship was affected by the changes in the bank's operational procedure.     

物流银行金融服务创新解除中小企业融资障碍

通过对中国中小企业融资难和银行巨额存贷差的介绍,从分析中小企业融资困难的原因入手,研究物流银行在解决双重矛盾中的作用.根据逻辑论证法和案例分析法,对国内外物流银行业务发展实践作了理论总结.分析结果表明,物流银行业务对于解决中小企业融资难和提高银行效率具有重要意义,但成功开展物流银行业务对银行和物流公司的业务能力和风险防范能力提出了较高要求.     

中国上市银行信贷行为的周期性研究

文章基于中国上市银行1998-2013年的数据,采用固定效应模型,对16家中国上市银行信贷行为的周期性进行了研究。研究表明,中国上市银行的信贷行为表现为阶段顺周期性和阶段逆周期性;银行规模对其周期性也有较大影响,规模较小银行或同一银行在规模较小阶段其信贷的逆周期性更显著。由于当前我国政府对宏观经济及银行行为的干预程度较大,银行监管当局所制定监管政策的针对性及有效性将受到很大削弱,因此文章建议政府的宏观经济调控政策与银行的监管政策必须相互协调,这是未来防范经济危机与金融危机,促进中国经济健康持续发展,保持中国金融系统稳健经营的必然选择。     

群态融资机理与路径演绎——基于博弈分析的中小企业融资决策与理性突围

群态融资亦称供应链融资,是商业银行基于供应链管理的需要而进行的业务创新.本文针对供应链上的核心企业与核心环节,探讨金融供应链得以持续稳定的行为决策机制.基于非对称信息条件下信用模式的博弈分析和信息增益修正均衡的讨论,得出了企业面向不同决策的收益模式,据此分析了市场失灵、中小企业融资难和金融供应链的创新性与市场前景.应当加强企业、金融机构和政府的配合互动,保持供应链信息渠道传递畅通.