Connecting National Safety Nets: The Dialectics of the Basel II Contracting Process

Basel II consists of supervisory guidelines negotiated by representatives of central banks and national regulatory commissions that were members of the Basel committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS). The BCBS is itself a regulatory response to globalization, which is connecting national safety nets in market-driven ways. A country’s financial safety net is a social contract established by short-lived agents for principals in long-lived economic sectors. Restraints placed on the authority of the BCBS members to contract for their principals by domestic politics explains: why Basel II authorizes individual countries to implement the agreement in markedly different ways; why US implementation of Basel II ran into so much doubt, controversy, and delay; and how the implementation debate set small and large banks and the Federal Reserve and other federal regulators against one another.

我国房地产泡沫与银行信贷规模的相关性研究

本文首先从理论上深刻剖析了房地产泡沫与银行信贷规模相互之间的作用与传导机制,在此基础上选取2006年-2018年相关指标的年度数据,对房地产泡沫与银行信贷规模进行了图形拟合与周期性波动规律分析,分析发现二者存在极高的契合度。建立房地产泡沫的函数,构建协整方程实证发现银行信贷规模对房地产泡沫的长期弹性系数为0.51,从长期来看银行信贷规模每增加1%,房地产泡沫也相应增加0.51%,进一步建立VAR模型实证发现房地产泡沫与银行信贷规模互为格兰杰因果关系,二者相互影响、相互促进。通过方差分解实证发现银行信贷规模对房地产泡沫的变动具有重要的影响,另一方面,房地产泡沫是影响银行信贷规模变动最主要的因素。     

关于区域软实力的研究

从区域合作的本质上看,区域合作不仅仅是追求经济的发展,也是为了建设＂一个‘好的治理’体系,这个体系应该具备合法性、透明性、责任性、法治、回应的基本要素。＂这＂五个基本要素＂为完善有关区域合作的研究指出了一个基本方向。本文研究的是如何构建、提升区域软实力以促使区域合作更为健康、持久的进行。具体而言,就是研究通过文化、社会政策及其工具、价值观等非物质要素的构建,不断增强区域合作公信力、社会凝聚力、特色文化的感召力、人才资源的创造力,充分发挥其对社会经济运作系统的协调、扩张和倍增效应,从而提高区域竞争力。本文的基本论点是构建区域软实力可使区域合作持久的进行,促进区域内社会经济均衡协调发展,提升区域认同感和区域内居民的福祉。     

商业银行市场营销体制依赖及理论模型——基于不同体制条件下的我国商业银行市场营销研究

银行市场营销活动总是在一定的体制背景下并依赖于一定的体制运行的,体制（或制度）是解释商业银行市场营销行为的重要变量。本文首先阐述了体制与制度的内涵及二者间的逻辑联系,阐明体制是制度的一部分;论证了市场营销对体制的依赖,体制要素结构为市场营销提供了资源配置的机制或方式;分析了体制或制度对银行市场营销的重要作用,指出体制是确保银行市场营销活动规范有序并持续获得高效益的根本保障;其后建立了商业银行市场营销的一般理论模型;最后分别以不同体制条件下商业银行市场营销的市场营销目标、营销变量特征、营销体制约束与激励条件的分析为依托,构建并比对了相应的经济转轨时期、市场体制下以及开放经济下商业银行市场营销的理论模型。     

金融生态环境、银行结构与银企关系的贷款效应——基于中小企业的实证研究

以深交所中小企业板上市公司在上市前的数据作为研究样本,本文实证考察了中小企业与银行之间的银企关系对其信贷融资可获性的影响,并在此基础上分析了银行规模与金融生态环境对中小企业的银企关系贷款效应的影响。实证结果显示,银企关系的密切程度对中小企业的信贷融资具有＂正＂向效应;金融生态环境的改善对银企关系的正向贷款效应具有促进作用;但不同规模的银行对银企关系的贷款效应无显著影响。本文的研究结果表明,在我国转轨经济条件下,广泛开展建立在银企关系基础上的关系融资技术有助于缓解中小企业融资难的问题,而金融生态环境的改善有助于此技术的开展,但银行业的市场结构对中小企业信贷融资无显著的影响。本文的研究结论为缓解中小企业融资难的问题提供了经验证据的支持。     

谈实施素质教育中教师应必备的素质

实施素质教育培养了学生的能力和个性,促进了学生主动发展,保证了学生的身心健康。作为实施素质教育主体的教师,应具备哪些方面的素质呢?本文从五个方面阐述了这一问题。     

商业银行持续创新动力、能力和机遇的耦合机制

本文基于现有持续创新理论归纳了银行持续创新理论框架,构建了一个银行持续创新初步测评表,并以现实案例进行修改、完善和验证,结果证明测评表用来测度银行持续创新是适用的,创新动力、能力和机遇同银行持续创新正相关,三者耦合度越高,银行持续创新越可能实现。本文的研究意义在于:(1)从深度访谈的规范案例研究方法中形成一个适用的银行持续创新测评表;(2)深化持续创新理论研究,构建了动力、能力和机遇耦合度分析模型。     

Valuing customers for social network services

In the current Internet environment, many online service companies based on community factors (networks) produce and sell new types of digital products. For example, SNS (social network service) companies now sell customers digital decorative products for the adornment of online avatars. Not only do individual customers consume these digital products, but they also exchange them as gifts in their local neighborhoods. While previous studies on customer valuation (e.g. CLTV, RFM, etc.) focus on some important issues for identifying valuable customers, the literature does not resolve issues related to the effects on customer value of products purchased as gifts for another person. This study attempts to verify empirically the effects of two representative social network properties (tie strength and the number of ties) on customer monetary value.This study selects 2615 customers from a South Korean SNS website who enrolled on the site on the same day. Data include diverse purchase-related information, social network properties in terms of gift-giving for six months, and demographic information. The primary results of this study are as follows. First, the proposed model, which includes social network properties, has a great deal more explanatory power than the baseline model — the RFM-based customer value model. Second, tie strength and the number of ties in a gift-giving network increase customer value. Third, tie strength has a more profound impact on customer value than does the number of ties. The results of this study theoretically expand the domain of customer valuation studies due to the inclusion of social network properties, and suggest important practical implications for some online SNS companies in their efforts to find valuable customers and improve customer value.     

伪满洲中央银行发行的纸币考证

1931年九一八事变后,日本帝国主义扶植建立了以满清逊帝溥仪为头子的傀儡政权伪满洲国。为全面控制东北经济,又策划建立了伪满洲中央银行,并强行发行伪币,收缴旧币,以统一东北币制。伪满洲中央银行发行的纸币数额巨大,种类繁多,先后发行改造券及甲、乙、丙、丁等多套票券。这些伪币不断变换票面图案,其用意无非是麻痹中国人民的反满抗日情绪,以利于扩大发行,垄断和独霸东北金融市场。     

抗战时期中国通商银行的内迁和战后的复员

抗战时期,由于战火的摧毁及日伪对资产的劫夺,中国通商银行难以在东南沿海一带发展,遂将重心内移,包括将总行内迁重庆,在大后方广设分支机构,并将部分资金和人员内调。该行战时在后方不仅使自身获得了长足发展,而且联合其他内迁金融机构,对抗战时期大后方的经济金融建设以及促进东西部金融格局趋于平衡做出了自己的一份贡献。但是,战后该行又将重点放在东南沿海发展,在内地的金融机构逐渐萎缩。