基于个体为本模型的中国碳排放核算模型构建

为合理测算中国碳排放总量, 提出了以单个人为基础的碳排放核算模型。个体碳排放量受其物质资本与人力资本、消费倾向与投资倾向影响,而计算中国碳排放总量还应考虑人口增长的影响。对个体资本投资倾向提出合理假设,进而构建人口增长模型。最后,根据各省GDP分布情况,赋予模型一个初始财富值,核算出中国碳排放总量。     

The Malaysian Real Trade Balance and the Real Exchange Rate

The cointegration technique is used to examine the long‐run and short‐run relationships between the real Malaysian trade balance with the real exchange rate, domestic and world incomes. The results suggest that a real ringgit exchange rate depreciation improves the trade balance in the long run. World and domestic incomes are also found to be important determinants of trade balance. The significance of world income on trade balance indicates that Malaysia is prone to external shocks. An error‐correction model is then estimated to study the short‐run dynamics of the effects of exchange rate. The impulse response analysis shows that the effect of exchange rate on the trade balance lasts for about three years. A devaluation of ringgit will initially improve the trade balance, albeit small, after which the trade balance starts to deteriorate, and then improves again suggesting that there exists a delayed J‐curve.     

技术性贸易壁垒内涵辨正

进入21世纪以来，技术性贸易壁垒替代反倾销成为我国面临的第一大非关税壁垒。但是对于技术性贸易壁垒，世界贸易组织框架下的相关协议，即《技术性贸易壁垒协议》和《实施卫生和植物卫生措施协议》，并没有做出明确的定义。因此，在分析世贸组织相关协议和判例的基础上，提炼出技术性贸易壁垒的内核，以对技术性贸易壁垒的含义加以澄清并重新认识，对于我国具有重大而深远的意义。     

加快广西经济增长的税收对策探讨

在概括广西经济发展和税收发展的基础上,从宏观税负、税收优惠政策、税收协调政策以及区别对待企业等方面剖析当前税收政策在促进广西经济增长中存在的不足,进而从宏观税负、重点支持对象、关税、税收优惠政策、税收协调措施和企业待遇等角度提出解决问题的对策。     

中越边境贸易存在问题与对策建议——以广西凭祥市为例

中越两国来往日趋密切,交往日益增多,促进了经贸合作发展。中国—东盟自由贸易区计划的启动和＂两廊一圈＂经济架构的提出和实施,为桂越边贸提供了新的发展契机。文章介绍凭祥与越南边境贸易的发展渊源,总结边境贸易取得的成效,探讨边境贸易面临的困境,提出边境贸易的发展对策。     

中国一东盟自由贸易区对广西北部湾经济的影响研究

中国一东盟自由贸易区的如期建成,给广西北部湾的经济发展带来了重大的发展机遇,同时也带来了严峻的挑战。广西应及时调整自己适应外在变化,认真分析与东盟国家在经济发展上存在的竞争性和经济互补性,加强与东盟国家的协调与合作,发挥自身竞争优势或通过分工获得相对优势,突出合作性,最终达成双赢或多赢。     

论跨国公司对华投资与我国低碳经济的发展

跨国公司对华投资促进了我国经济的增长,但同时所带来的环境污染等一系列问题对我国低碳经济的发展构成了挑战.1999-2009年间,随着跨国公司对华投资规模的不断加大,尤其是对第二产业的投资,使得我国环境污染严重,对发展低碳经济带来严重挑战.深入研究和妥善解决这些问题,对于促进新时期我国利用外资的进一步发展具有重要的意义.     

Capitalism's growth imperative

A capitalist firm operating in a competitive market is subjectto a growth imperative, because uncertainty about the profitrate under a no-growth policy makes the firm's prospects highlyunattractive in finite time and bankruptcy practically certainin the long run. A no-growth policy determines consumption andinvestment so that they and capital would remain constant overtime if the latter's expected return were realised with certainty.Simulation is used to arrive at the probability of bankruptcyby the end of t periods and the expected values of capital andmoney, for relevant combinations of time and uncertainty undersuccessively more realistic models of a no-growth firm in acompetitive market. The sensitivity of the results to variationin the parameters in each of the models is evaluated. Finally,we establish that a plausible growth policy may achieve growth,but the problem of bankruptcy is not resolved.     

The effect of exchange rate changes on trade balances in the short and long run

Using generalized impulse response functions, this study tests for the trade J‐curve for three transitional central European countries – the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland – in their bilateral trade with respect to Germany. Our findings suggest that for each country there are some characteristics associated with a J‐curve effect: after a (real or nominal) depreciation the export‐to‐import ratio briefly drops to below its initial value within a few months and then rises to a long run equilibrium value higher than the initial one.     

Extraordinary politics and durable reform: lessons from trade liberalisation in Estonia and Poland

This article analyses the significance of the period of extraordinary politics after the fall of communism for policy reform. It examines under what circumstances policy reforms enacted during such periods are durable by comparing trade liberalisation in Poland and Estonia in the early 1990s. The article relates this question to the historical institutionalist debate surrounding critical junctures, gradual change and the politics of stability and change. It argues that trade policy reform enacted during periods of extraordinary politics is most likely to be durable if it is associated with deeper changes in structural conditions, such as dominant ideas, interests and institutions.