中国银行业不良资产证券化信用风险评价研究

本文首先论述了国际通用的各信用风险模型的适用条件，提出改进的KMV模型作为度量我国不良资产证券化信用风险的模型。同时，提出了计算其违约概率的方法。然后根据我国不良资产的实际情况，建立了一个具有普遍性的模拟的不良资产包，分析其证券化中各个不同发债规模下的信用风险，得出其资产变现收入在对数正态分布下和真实分布中的违约概率，为我国不良资产证券化的风险控制在一定程度上提供了理论依据和技术支持。     

JIT生产方式及其应用策略

简要介绍了JIT生方式的基本原理及本质特征,分析了JIT生产方式给予我们的启示及我国一些企业在应用中存在的主要问题,认为JIT的思想精髓就是持续改进,不断完善,彻底杜绝浪费。据此提出了我国企业学习借鉴的策略:关性是彻底转变观念,强调打好基础,坚持持续改善,依托工业工程开发企业自己的JIT生产模式。     

基于平衡计分卡的物流企业绩效评价指标体系研究

提出了物流企业绩效评价的基本原则，并以平衡计分卡的基本原理为依据，从财务、客户、内部业务流程、学习与发展等方面研究了物流企业绩效评价指标体系。     

政府采购供应商的信用管理分析

为了加强政府采购供应商的信用管理,政府采购中心除了对供应商进行严格的资格审查外,还要由专管员给各供应商进行信用评分和划分信用等级,并采取一定的措施进行有效的管理。本文对此进行了分析。     

The impact of credit constraints on the performance of Chinese agricultural wholesalers

This article evaluates the impact of credit constraints on the performance of Chinese agricultural wholesalers. We estimate a stochastic frontier function using transaction and credit data of agricultural wholesalers from across China to estimate the efficiency and productivity impacts of credit constraints on sales of affected agricultural wholesalers. Empirical results show that micro- and smaller wholesalers are disproportionally impacted by credit constraints and that eliminating these constraints would increase the sales of affected agricultural wholesalers by approximately 15%. Thus, policies aimed at providing credit access for these wholesalers would significantly boost the performance of smaller agricultural wholesalers while improving the overall performance of the Chinese food supply chain without requiring additional non-credit inputs.     

奠定市场信用的基石--法律和政府的微观管理

从经济学和财政学的角度，探讨和分析制度变迁中，法律(民法、合同法)以及政府市场微观管理，对建立市场信用机制所产生的决定性作用。     

逆向选择与信用配给:中小企业融资难根源分析

文章通过中美中小企业融资的渠道和结构对比,分析中国中小企业融资困难的原因,并进一步通过两个模型解释资金借贷市场上的逆向选择问题和银行被迫采用的信用配给制度.文章最后提出了解决中小企业融资困难的一些建议.     

Credit Risk in Two Institutional Regimes: Spanish Commercial and Savings Banks

Although credit risk is an important factor that financial institutions must cope with, the determinants of bank problem loans have been little studied. Using panel data, we compare the determinants of problem loans of Spanish commercial and savings banks in the period 1985–1997, taking into account both macroeconomic and individual bank level variables. The GDP growth rate, firms, and family indebtedness, rapid past credit or branch expansion, inefficiency, portfolio composition, size, net interest margin, capital ratio, and market power are variables that explain credit risk. However, there are significant differences between commercial and savings banks, which confirm the relevance of the institutional form in the management of credit risk. Our findings raise important bank supervisory policy issues: the use of bank level variables as early warning indicators, the advantages of bank mergers from different regions, and the role of banking competition and ownership in determining credit risk.     

关于构建我国社会信用体系的思考

本文从对我国信用体系不健全、信用环境恶化的现状出发 ,对信用体系不健全的表现进行了系统分析 ,认为信用体系不健全阻碍了我国经济的高效运行 ;并在对西方发达国家信用体系建设经验介绍的基础上 ,提出了建立和完善我国社会信用体系的政策建议。     

An integrated multi-model credit rating system for private firms

This paper presents a integrated credit risk modelling approach for private firms which fulfil 2001 Basel Accord requirements in the case of the adoption of the foundation approach. Our model comprises: (a) a bottom-up technique to initially assess the through-the-cycle one-year Probability of Default (PD) and (b) a top-down approach to refine and calibrate this historical PD in a forward-looking credit risk assessment based on next year’s economic outlook. We present findings from applying this model to a large sample of client firms of the Bank of Rome.