Australian momentum: performance,capacity and the GFC effect

This paper assesses the performance of momentum strategies in Australia, and how they were affected by the GFC. This paper is the first to address the issue of the dollar capacity of momentum strategies in the Australian market. We find evidence of a strong momentum effect in Australia amongst the S&P/ASX200 constituents. We find that momentum portfolios suffered during the GFC, but the effect was not persistent. Finally, we show that the capacity of the momentum effect in Australia is large enough in dollar terms to reject the assertion that momentum is more of a theoretical than a practical construct.     

The art of development: economic and cultural development through art in San Juan la Laguna,Guatemala

This paper examines how artisans experience economic and cultural changes through art sales to tourists in San Juan la Laguna, Guatemala; the aim is to analyse experiences from hosts and producers in art tourism. Using a life course approach, the artists in this area expressed how they do not copy the art of their ancestors, but draw on their past to create new art that reflects their experiences, and sell it to tourists at a price they set. Painting on canvas and murals is a way to overcome historical discrimination based on their cultural identity while they explore and communicate their new identities to themselves and outsiders. Therefore the encounter at the art market strengthens both their economic identities and cultural identities. This is contradiction because the two goals are not necessarily complementary. I argue that the painters in San Juan illustrate the art of development because the painters artfully use their new economic and cultural identities to craft a space to negotiate the terms of the encounter with globalization to struggle for a better life.     

中国企业“逆周期”跨国并购研究

"新常态"经济周期中,中国企业跨国并购有何特征?从经济政策频繁波动的现实出发,如何理解跨国并购的"逆周期"成因?文章基于2001-2016年中国企业对91个国家的跨国并购数据,实证检验了经济周期、经济政策不确定性对跨国并购的影响,得出以下结论：首先,中国企业的跨国并购具有显著的"逆周期"特征,下行经济周期加剧了并购规模提升;其次,经济政策不确定性与跨国并购正相关,并且在国有企业中和2008年金融危机后表现为更明显;最后,经济政策不确定性差距以及市场增长潜力差距均提升了并购规模。     

反经济周期相对价格变动与现金持有——基于中国制造业全行业和细分行业的实证数据

采用中国 A 股制造业上市公司1998~2011年数据,探讨制造业全行业及其细分行业下反经济周期相对价格变动现象的存在;并引入现金持有这一财务资源,比较在不同现金持有水平下企业产品市场反经济周期相对价格变动的差异。研究发现反经济周期相对价格变动现象在中国制造业中存在,而现金持有较少的企业其反经济周期相对价格变动现象更为明显。同时在不同制造业细分行业中,反经济周期相对价格变动程度有所差异,现金持有的影响也发生变化。     

经济欠发达地区农村金融效率与经济增长关系探析--基于甘肃省14个地州市面板数据

基于2005年-2014年甘肃省14个地州市面板数据,对帕加诺模型作适当变换后,建立随机效应变截距模型,分析欠发达地区农村金融效率与经济增长的关系。结果表明：欠发达地区农村金融效率与农村经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系。农村金融效率促进农村经济的增长,农村边际资本生产率、农村储蓄率和农村储蓄向投资的转化率对农村经济增长的作用力由高到低依次为：农村储蓄率、农村储蓄向投资的转化率、农村边际资本生产率。     

Why firm size matters: investigating the drivers of innovation and economic performance in New Zealand using the Business Operations Survey

The performance of the New Zealand (NZ) economy is something of an enigma. Although ranked one (of 144 countries) for four important ‘growth fundamentals’ NZ is ‘middle of the pack’ when it comes to economic growth, productivity and process innovation. Using four iterations (2005, 2007, 2009 and 2011) of the Business Operations Survey, this research seeks to shed some new light on this conundrum by using a multivariate probit regression (mvprobit) approach applied to pooled samples in excess of 22,000 unit record observations of NZ firms. The results suggest that factors including firm size, high perceived quality, investment/research and development (R&D) capability, major technology change, application of formal IP protection and new export markets are systematically and positively related to innovation; while many external issues, such as those related to geography, market structure, business environment, have little influence. At the firm level, innovations in NZ are highly dependent on the firms’ internal ability to develop new technologies and market demand. The (very small) size of firms does matter in NZ, which lacks a major ‘home market’ or a major trade block on its doorstep, such that ultimately, government may need to be involved to maintain a viable scale for domestic R&D.     

The effect of copayments on primary care utilization: results from a quasi-experiment

This article analyses how health-care utilization is affected by copayments in a tax-financed health-care system. The article utilizes a natural experiment in which a health-care region in Sweden changed the price of healthcare in such a way that primary care general physician prices increased by 33%. We use daily visit data in the treatment region and a neighbouring control region where no price change took place and analyse the effect using differences-in-differences as well as differences-in-differences-in-differences models. The results from the preferred models indicate no effect on health-care utilization due to the price change, a result that also holds across different socio-economic subregions in the treatment region.     

Economic integration and stock market dynamic linkages: evidence in the context of Australia and Asia

Countries are becoming economically integrated and it is contended that this will also lead to their financial markets becoming integrated. This contention is important since international financial market integration diminishes portfolio diversification benefits and creates contagion risk. We test this contention in this article in the context of the Australasian region. Australia and Asia have experienced very significant economic integration through a rapid growth in their bilateral trade. We utilize a battery of econometric techniques – cointegration, asymmetric generalized dynamic conditional correlations and panel regression models. As expected, we find that trade intensity significantly drives the interdependence between their stock markets in both the short run and the long run. Thus, given the ever increasing economic integration in this region, this finding implies that their stock markets face the risk of contagion, and that investors in these markets would also be confronted with the prospect of lower diversification benefits.     

三大技术创新主体科技成果与经济增长关系研究

在探讨技术创新主体构成、主体不同研究性质及对应经济效益的基础上,对产学研合作背景下的三大技术创新主体与经济增长关系进行了梳理。基于中国1986-2011年的时间序列数据,采用VAR模型,综合运用格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应函数和方差分解,对中国不同技术创新主体的科技成果与经济增长进行了动态分析。研究表明,企业科技成果对经济发展成效较好,其次是高校,而科研机构科技成果对经济增长的促进作用比企业和高校小得多。结合中国不同技术创新主体的科技成果产出效应进行实证分析,为不同技术创新主体协同实现科技成果对经济增长的正向影响提出了对策建议。