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121.
按揭贷款发展至今已经基本形成了风险控制体系.按揭贷款的风险控制体系包括外部监管与内部风控,具体又可分为三个层面:基础业务制度、表外业务制度与系统性风控制度,两者之间的联系在于信息不对称性,而最终的目标是确定政府与企业在各自市场中的职能.  相似文献   
122.
存款保险制度的建立和实行对我国银行业的发展具有极其重要的作用.主要结论有:一、现行银行制度在其承担流动性保险功能时有其固有的脆弱性,存款保险制度则可以为类型存款人取款提供一种有效的制度保障;二、我国隐性\"超级\"存款保险制度的现状加剧了道德风险,亟待出台显性存款保险制度;三、风险预警机制替代市场监控能较好地解决存款保险制度无法解决的信息不对称问题,为存款保险降低道德风险创造条件.  相似文献   
123.
    
The number and severity of extreme weather events have been increasing globally. Given the vulnerabilities of second homes to natural disasters, it is important to learn how their owners consider the related risks. This paper investigates the extreme weather-event risk perceptions and their preconditions between second-home owners and local people in the Little Beskid mountains in Poland. The results show that, despite significant differences in social, demographic and presence–absence terms, the two populations were very similar with respect to risk perception. It then lays the ground for community preparedness and successful recovery from extreme weather hazards.  相似文献   
124.
    
With COVID-19 spreading around the world, many countries are exposed to the imported case risk from inbound international flights. Several governments issued restrictions on inbound flights to mitigate such risk. But with the pandemic controlled in many countries, some decide to reopen the economy by relaxing the international air travel bans. As the virus has still been prevailing in many regions, this relaxation raises the alarm to import overseas cases and results in the revival of local pandemic. This study proposes a risk index to measure one country's imported case risk from inbound international flights. The index combines both daily dynamic international air connectivity data and the updated global COVID-19 data. It can measure the risk at the country, province and even specific route level. The proposed index was applied to China, which is the first country to experience and control COVID-19 pandemic while later becoming exposed to high imported case risk after the epidemic centers switched to Europe and the US afterward. The calculated risk indexes for each Chinese province or region show both spatial and temporal patterns from January to April 2020. It is found that China's strict restriction on inbound flights since March 26 was very effective to cut the imported case risk by half than doing nothing. But the overall index level kept rising because of the deteriorating pandemic conditions around the world. Hong Kong and Taiwan are the regions facing the highest imported case risk due to their superior international air connectivity and looser restriction on inbound flights. Shandong Province had the highest risk in February and early March due to its well-developed air connectivity with South Korea and Japan when the pandemic peaked in these two countries. Since mid-March, the imported case risk from Europe and the US dramatically increased. Last, we discuss policy implications for the relevant stakeholders to use our index to dynamically adjust the international air travel restrictions. This risk index can also be applied to other contexts and countries to relax restrictions on particular low-risk routes while still restricting the high-risk ones. This would balance the essential air travels need and the requirement to minimize the imported case risk.  相似文献   
125.
针对孤立使用传统的历史模拟法及GARCH类模型进行风险分析的不足,把EGARCH参数模型与Boostrap非参数方法结合起来,给出了基于EGARCH模型和Bootstrap的VaR测度的半参数方法。实证结果表明,基于EGARCH模型和Bootstrap的VaR度量方法比传统的历史模拟法计算的效果更好。  相似文献   
126.
本文在分析石家庄市及邻近地区活动性构造及地震活动特征的基础上,运用数理统计的方法,对市区的地震危险性进行了评价。认为未来百年内市区可能发生的最大地震为5级左右,其地震危险性主要来自河北平原地震带的影响。  相似文献   
127.
本文从交易费用理论角度对信用证风险的影响因素进行了分析,认为买卖双方的信息不对称和信用证本身的制度缺陷引起的机会主义行为是引起风险的因素,提出了出口商可以通过事前防范和事后救济手段来降低交易费用.  相似文献   
128.
利率风险控制是利率风险管理的重要环节,也是识别、衡量利率风险工作的归结。按照是否涉及到资产负债表表内的项目,可将利率风险控制分为资产负债表内控制和资产负债表外控制。本文主要对资产负债表外控制策略进行分析,希望能为有效控制商业银行利率风险提供借鉴作用。  相似文献   
129.
本文以非寿险业务保险风险最低资本要求为考察对象,研究了欧盟Solvency Ⅱ与中国C-ROSS的差异,并利用中国保险市场60家财险公司的经验数据,对两者之间的差异进行了实证和模拟分析。研究结果表明,Solvency Ⅱ和C-ROSS对中国财险公司保险风险最低资本要求存在差异。对于拥有传统业务结构的财险公司,Solvency Ⅱ对保险风险最低资本要求更高,但是这种差距随着公司业务规模的缩小而减弱;对于以经营某些专业险种为主的财险公司,主营业务险种对两者差异具有决定性影响。本文的研究结论详细解释了Solvency Ⅱ与C-ROSS在非寿险保险风险最低资本计算上的异同,对C-ROSS下一步的修订工作提供了一定的支持与参考。  相似文献   
130.
  总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
The international ski tourism industry is highly vulnerable to inter-annual climate variability and climate change. Accordingly, there is a strong need to advance our understanding of climate risk for this multi-billion tourism market that is so important to mountain regions around the world. This study addressed major limitations in the ski tourism literature, while concurrently supporting priority information needs of ski tourism stakeholders. An improved version of SkiSim 2.0 is applied to all 34 alpine ski areas in southern Ontario (Canada) to examine potential changes in the capacity of this regional marketplace. Model improvements include differential snowmaking capacities of individual ski areas, updated snowmaking decision rules, as well as a new indicator, termed ‘terrain-days’, to estimate changes in system capacity. The results project two fundamentally different futures for this ski tourism marketplace under climate change. If the international community succeeds in achieving the?+?2°C Paris Agreement policy goal, then losses in system capacity can be limited to less than 10% in the mid- and late-century. In contrast, a high-end emission scenario (RCP 8.5) would severely disrupt this ski tourism market by mid-century, with system capacity losses between 28% and 73%.  相似文献   
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