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21.
许宝红 《福建行政学院福建经济管理干部学院学报》2003,(3):22-26
以分析公司普通股所具有的看涨期权特性为出发点,以Black—Scholes看涨期权定价模型为基础,根据不同企业资本结构和资产回报风险的差别,构造了一个商业银行基本贷款利率模型。从期权角度来设计贷款利率模型,除考虑了企业的经营风险因责外,还同时考虑了企业融资结构所带来的财务风险,能更加全面地反映出商业银行贷款的保障程度。 相似文献
22.
小麦期货收益时间序列分析 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
危慧惠 《山西财经大学学报》2004,(1):109-112
本文研究了我国郑州商品期货交易所小麦期货近三年来的收益时间序列,对其进行了基本的统计学分析,结果发现分布是非正态的,较正态分布有尖峰厚尾,具有长记忆效应。进一步对其中具有ARCH效应的序列合约进行了分析,采用GARCH和EGARCH类模型进行了描述,分析了期货收益的波动集群性和杠杆效应。 相似文献
23.
高职教育实践性教学初探 总被引:3,自引:1,他引:3
赵敬明 《广东农工商职业技术学院学报》2004,(3)
加强高等职业教育的实践性教学,是高等职业教育教学改革的一个关键的突破口。只有加强实践性教学的探讨和创新,才能突出高职教育的特色。要积极探讨建立实践性教学为主的模式和运行机制,如实践性教学导师制、学生模拟实习公司等。同时,要处理好理论教学与实践教学的关系,处理好培养人才"宽"与"窄"的关系。 相似文献
24.
Anthony Bellotti Damiano Brigo Paolo Gambetti Frédéric Vrins 《International Journal of Forecasting》2021,37(1):428-444
We compare the performance of a wide set of regression techniques and machine-learning algorithms for predicting recovery rates on non-performing loans, using a private database from a European debt collection agency. We find that rule-based algorithms such as Cubist, boosted trees, and random forests perform significantly better than other approaches. In addition to loan contract specificities, predictors that refer to the bank recovery process — prior to the portfolio’s sale to a debt collector — are also shown to enhance forecasting performance. These variables, derived from the time series of contacts to defaulted clients and client reimbursements to the bank, help all algorithms better identify debtors with different repayment ability and/or commitment, and in general those with different recovery potential. 相似文献
25.
We analyse a disregarded environmental policy instrument: a switch in government expenditure away from energy (or other natural
resources) and toward a composite good which includes energy-saving expenditure. We first develop two variants of an analytical
general equilibrium model. A composite good is produced with constant returns to scale, and energy is imported or produced
domestically with diminishing returns, yielding a differential rent to its owners. The government purchases energy and composite
goods from private firms. Such a policy unambiguously increases employment. It also raises private consumption and welfare
under two conditions: (i) it is not too costly and (ii) the initial share of the resource is smaller in public spending than
in private consumption, or the difference is small enough. We then run numerically a model featuring both importation and
domestic production of energy (oil, gas and electricity), for the OECD as a whole. Simulations show that employment, welfare
and private consumption rise. We provide magnitudes for different parameter values.
Earlier versions of this paper have benefited from conference participants at the European Council for an Energy-Efficient
Economy, International Society for Ecological Economics World Congress, CIRED seminar and EUREQua environmental economics
seminar. We especially thank Michèle Sadoun and two anonymous referees. The usual disclaimer applies. 相似文献
26.
This paper presents the theoretical development of a new threshold autoregressive model based on trended time series. The theoretical arguments underlying the model are outlined and a nonlinear economic model is used to derive the specification of the empirical econometric model. Estimation and testing issues are considered and analysed. Additionally we apply the model to the empirical investigation of U.S. GDP.This paper is the result of work carried out for the author's Ph.D. thesis. I would like to thank Hashem Pesaran for his help, encouragement and insights during the preparation of this paper. I also thank Gary Koop and Sean Holly for helpful comments. Financial assistance from the Economic and Social Research Council is gratefully acknowledged. 相似文献
27.
Hedonic models and air pollution: Twenty-five years and counting 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2
This paper reports a meta analysis of how effectively hedonic property models have detected the influence of air pollution on housing prices. Probit estimates are reported describing how data, model specification, and local property market conditions in cities represented in thirty-seven studies influence the ability of hedonic models to uncover negative, statistically significant relationships between housing prices and air pollution measures.Partial support for this research was provided by the Russell Sage Foundation. Thanks are due David Cordray, Heidi Hartman, and Larry Hedges of the Foundation's Meta-Analysis Panel for constructive comments, to Ray Palmquist for suggestions and assistance in assembling the results from his studies, to Rick Freeman and Tom Tietenberg and two anonymous referees for comments on the research, and to Barbara Scott for constructive editing of earlier drafts of this paper. 相似文献
28.
Samuel Cameron 《Journal of Bioeconomics》2002,4(3):195-222
This paper derives a model of participation in what is commonly known as ‘adultery’. Arguably the best sex survey in the world
is used to produce estimates of participation functions. The results show a great deal of support for bioeconomic models and
reveal some interesting similarities and differences between the male and female equations.
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
29.
Synopsis Maximization of the net profit from harvesting in a one-species age-structured population is analyzed. One of the control functions is the age of harvested individuals. The constructed mathematical model is similar to vintage capital models used in economics for optimal capital replacement. The optimization technique developed by authors for the capital replacement is disseminated to the formulated problem. A qualitative analysis of the problem is provided and the interpretation of results is given. Such economic topics as a zero-investment period, optimal balanced growth, and turnpike properties are discussed. 相似文献
30.
Several countries have introduced taxes on fossil fuels with the aim of reducing atmospheric emissions, partly because of
local environmental goals (SO2, NOx) and partly to participate in a global effort to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases. Many macroeconomic studies, based
on both global and national models, have been made of how emissions can be reduced with the help of taxes and the consequent
reduction in GDP following the introduction of such taxes. Norway has had a CO2 tax for five years, thereby providing a unique opportunity to evaluate the effects of this tax on emissions. The paper provides
a counterfactual analysis of energy consumption and emissions if no CO2 taxes had been introduced, compared with the actual situation in which such taxes exist. The effect of a CO2 tax on oil consumption, and thus CO2 emissions is studied on the basis of partial economic models for various sectors of the Norwegian economy. The study indicates
that the CO2 tax has had an impact on CO2 emissions in Norway. 相似文献