浅议绿色会计

传统的会计核算体系和国民经济核算体系 ,未考虑和核算资源及环境的价值 ,也未将环境污染和资源耗竭所造成的损失从国内生产总值和企业利润中扣除 ,已不适应今天的情况 ,此乃绿色会计产生的原因。绿色会计计算出来的是经过环境调整的国内生产总值和企业利润 ,是符合可持续发展战略和科学发展观要求的。文章从分析资源环境问题和传统会计体系的缺陷入手 ,阐述了绿色会计的任务和核算内容 ,并提出了在我国建立绿色会计的设想。     

基于GDP与波浪理论的上证综指预测

我国证券市场的发展变化,可以通过指数的走势来反应．而上证综合指数的走势,短期很难判断其变化方向,让广大投资者无所适从。本文试图通过分析我国经济的发展速度．来分析GDP与股票价格的关系,以及运用波浪理论对上证综合指数进行分析和预测．力图从宏观上给广大中小投资者一个正确的判断。通过分析,到2020年,上证综合指数将达到10000点左右。这一结论指明了中国证券市场的发展方向。对广大中小投资者的投资与决策,具有十分重要的现实意义和深远的历史意义。     

A look into the factor model black box: Publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP

We derive forecast weights and uncertainty measures for assessing the roles of individual series in a dynamic factor model (DFM) for forecasting the euro area GDP from monthly indicators. The use of the Kalman smoother allows us to deal with publication lags when calculating the above measures. We find that surveys and financial data contain important information for the GDP forecasts beyond the monthly real activity measures. However, this is discovered only if their more timely publication is taken into account properly. Differences in publication lags play a very important role and should be considered in forecast evaluation.     

A SURVEY OF MEASUREMENT BIASES IN PRICE INDEXES

Abstract. This paper reviews the literature on measurement error in the major US price indexes—the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the Producer Price Index (RPI), and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) deflators. We take as our point of departure Triplett's, 1975, survey and focus on the studies of measurement error that have appeared since then. We review the problems of substitution bias, quality bias, new goods bias, and outlet substitution bias that are generally considered to be the main sources of error in price indexes. The bulk of the paper is devoted to problems in the CPI and PPI, as the GDP deflators tend to be based mainly on the components of these series. We find that there has been surprisingly little work on the problem of overall measurement error in any of these price indexes, and we conclude that there is very little scientific basis for the commonly accepted notion that measured inflation at 2 to 3 percent a year is consistent with price stability.     

论绿色GDP与企业环境会计核算不同视角的差异及相互借鉴

绿色GDP与企业环境会计核算是科学发展观指导下宏观与微观不同角度的经济核算。微观绿色核算是宏观绿色核算可靠性的基础，二者具有内容和目标的明显依存性。通过对绿色GDP核算与企业环境会计核算的不同视角比较，可从提高相关信息可靠性和有用性的角度，探索宏观与微观绿色核算信息一体化的途径。     

税收与GDP等主要经济指标的影响关系

经济决定税收,税收反作用于经济,二者协调发展,才能既发挥税收宏观调控作用,又促进经济的持续稳定增长。而税收与经济的关系具体反映在税收与GDP等主要指标的密切联系之中。本文通过GDP、投资、消费、进出口等对税收的影响分析,从实证分析角度探讨税收与经济的关系问题。     

Integration of U.S. Macroeconomic Accounts: A Progress Report

This article reviews the results of this joint agency effort to provide complete and integrated U.S. accounts. It discusses the new data prepared as a result of this effort and the proposed work plan to eliminate some of the major differences within the U.S. accounts and between the U.S. accounts and the new international guidelines.JEL Classification E010     

洛阳房地产市场的泡沫危害及其对策

随着洛阳房地产市场的全面升温,关于洛阳房地产是否存在泡沫的讨论也日益受到各界关注。通过罗列和分析洛阳房地产泡沫的主要体现,文中认为目前存在泡沫,并已经膨胀,正处于警戒区。针对非合理性泡沫,结合洛阳房地产的发展展望,文中提供了相关对策。     

GDP核算理论的研究

作为生产总量指标理论基础的生产性劳动的概念和内涵有一个演变过程,本文从不同的角度论述了这一演变,并从该演变中归纳出GDP的发展变化。     

2012年国家财政性教育经费支出占GDP4%的目标如何实现

温家宝总理在2010年全国教育工作会议上,阐述了中央制定《教育规划纲要》的主要考虑和确定的教育工作方针,他特别强调《教育规划纲要》提出到2012年实现教育财政性支出占GDP4%的目标。2012年国家财政性教育经费支出达到占GDP4%的时间表,意味着党和政府推动教育改革和发展的坚定决心;意味着教育经费投入总量将有一个大的增加,落实科教兴国战略、建设人力资源强国有了重要经济保障。然而,从历史经验看,它也意味着实现这个目标是一个艰巨的任务,我们还面临着许多要解决的新难题。