Can media drive the electorate? The impact of media coverage on voting intentions

A growing literature uses media data to explain perception and behaviour in the economic and political context. In this paper, we investigate how media coverage affects political preferences, namely voting intention. For our empirical analysis, we merge 14 years of human-coded data obtained from leading media in Germany with results of the comprehensive German Politbarometer survey from February 1998 through December 2012. In contrast to the existing literature, we do not utilize access to certain media outlets, but use the tonality of articles and newscasts on political parties and politicians based on human coded media data. To account for endogeneity, we employ instrumental variable probit estimations. In addition, we control for a multitude of (internal) personal characteristics, such as age, and gender, as well as for (external) macroeconomic variables, such as business climate, unemployment, and inflation. The results show that media coverage of a political party has a positive and significant effect on the voting intention for this party. When media outlets cover a political party more positively, the electorate has a greater tendency to vote for it. Hence, we conclude that the electoral success or failure of political parties is at least partially caused by the media coverage on them. This hints on the special responsibility of media in democracies.     

2009年新加坡科技发展的政策调整与措施

新加坡面对金融危机和甲型流感（H1N1）的袭扰,及时调整应对政策和措施,本文介绍并探讨了新加坡加大科技投入,加强科技人才和企业人才的培养,利用高科技手段及时研制出防治甲流的防护用品、快速检测设备等举措,以上政策和措施对我国科技发展具有借鉴意义。     

新媒体冲击下纸媒体如何转型

文章从目前互联网迅速发展对传统媒体尤其是纸质媒体造成巨大冲击的现状出发,通过对目前报业面临现状的分析,提出了传统纸媒在新形势下的生存对策,保持自有优势。注重内容价值。切合受众的差异化需求,进行思维创新。     

应对不确定性：危机传播管理的博弈与创新

现代危机具有的不确定性让危机传播面临更大的挑战,不确定性越大,危机就越来越难以被预测,社会管理者就失去了观测和制定传播计划的主要依据,这令作为公共危机传播管理者的政府经常面临两难选择。危机的不确定性很大一部分来源于媒体融合环境的不确定性,这使现代危机传播的整个过程也变得不确定。政府作为现代危机传播者,必须对危机传播过程中的不确定性有充分的认识,在危机传播和应对的过程中灵活博弈,把握传播机会,创新传播方法。     

环境信息披露对上市公司企业价值的影响——“组织可见度”是否起到中介作用

我国现行企业环境信息披露政策下,企业对于信息披露的方式、时间等有很大的自由裁量权力。因此,企业这一社会责任的自觉履行需要企业价值最大化等动机支撑,但其作用机理是否有效,投资者的关注度及解读尤为重要,亦即“组织可见度”在环境信息披露对企业价值的影响中扮演重要角色。本文以我国化工行业上市公司2013-2017年样本,实证检验环境信息披露对企业价值的影响,并依次从分析师关注水平和媒体关注水平两个角度衡量组织可见度,检验其是否具有中介效应,并分析所有权性质差异下的不同结果。结果表明:环境信息披露能提升企业价值,组织可见度在环境信息披露对企业价值的影响过程中发挥了部分中介效应。进一步研究发现,当使用分析师关注水平衡量组织可见度时,该中介作用只体现在国有企业中;当使用媒体关注度衡量组织可见度时候,该中介作用在两种类型的企业中均只得到了部分体现。企业环境信息披露政策本意是通过其影响企业的市值表现促进企业更好地履行其环境社会责任,本文通过揭示其中组织可见度的中介作用,有助于启示企业对其市值管理、有关管理部门对企业履行环境社会责任引导时的操作思路。     

弧菌显色培养基（ChromID Vibrio）对霍乱弧菌检测效果的探讨

[目的]探讨梅里埃弧菌显色培养基（简称ChromID Vibrio）对霍乱弧菌的检测效果。[方法]通过ChromID Vibrio弧菌显色培养基同硫代硫酸盐-柠檬酸盐-胆盐-蔗糖（简称TCBS）琼脂培养基进行比对,采用阳性菌株直接平板计数、人工污染样品和实际样品检测的方法,对ChromID Vibrio的灵敏性、特异性和检测效果进行了评价。[结果]ChromID Vibrio弧菌显色培养基上霍乱弧菌典型菌落是蓝绿色。阳性菌株直接平板计数及人工污染试验均表明ChromID Vibrio平板的敏感性均比TCBS平板高。对采集的300份实际样品进行检测,都未检出霍乱弧菌。[结论]ChromID Vibrio具有较好的灵敏性、特异性,能提高霍乱弧菌检测效率。     

如何解决传媒人才短缺难题

当前,传媒业的激烈竞争实质上是人才的竞争。人才是传媒成败的“牛耳”。解决人才短缺问题是着眼向外,还是着手向内？不排除向外,但主要应下力激活内部人力资源。这样做,可以防止造成新的人才浪费,可以避免爆发恶性人才大战,从而有利于传媒业的和谐发展。那种过份“引进”、忽视“挖潜”的做法是不可取的。     

From the Eyes of an Exhibitor

Abstract

Conferences and conventions often depend on event/convention planners to produce spectacular tradeshows to support their programs. A study which focused on exhibitor needs and the perceived benefits of participation was conducted during the winter of 1999 at an International Arts Convention in the eastern United States. Exhibitors' interests in convention participation fell into four primary areas: making contacts, gaining information, gaining visibility, and booking/selling a product or service. Understanding the areas of importance to exhibitors and the services/products that are necessary for them to achieve success can go a long way toward providing a meaningful experience and an avenue for communication for both convention exhibitors and planners.