中国的房价与地价:理论、实证和政策分析

本文采用四象限模型、格兰杰因果检验和误差修正模型等分析方法，从理论、实证和政策等方面对中国房价与地价关系以及市场结构和政府供地方式的转变对二者关系的影响进行系统、深入地研究，并对进一步规范房地产市场秩序，理顺地价和房价形成机制等提出政策建议。研究结果表明，短期内房价决定地价，长期内二者相互影响。与协议出让方式相比，土地招拍挂出让通过促进土地市场的买方竞争、降低房地产增量市场的垄断性，在显化土地价格的同时，降低了地价对房价的影响程度。     

上海A股市场股价波动相互影响能力实证研究

股票市场中股票价格的波动是相互影响的,但不同的股票其价格波动时对其他股票价格行为的影响能力是不同的。本文通过对我国上海A股市场的实证分析表明,有少数股票其价格波动时对其他股票价格行为有很强的影响能力,而大多数股票的这种影响能力很小。此外,单个股票价格波动时引起其他股票价格涨、跌的能力一般都有显著差异。     

The Dynamics of Capital Structure in Transition Economies

This paper uses a dynamic unrestricted capital structure model to examine the determinants of the private companies' target financial leverage and the speed of adjustment to it in two transition economies, the Czech Republic and Bulgaria. We explicitly model the adjustment of companies' leverage to a target leverage, and this target leverage is itself explained by a set of factors. The panel data methodology combines cross-section and time-series information. The results indicate that the Bulgarian corporate credit markets were less supply -constrained than those of the Czech Republic during the period under investigation. Bulgariancompanies adjusted much faster to the target leverage than Czech firms. The speed ofadjustment related positively to the distance between target and observed ratio for Bulgarian companies while the relationship was neutral for Czech companies. The conservative policies of Czech banks and the exposure control were likely responsible for the slower adjustment among the larger companies while the opposite were true for Bulgarian banks and companies.     

论西部大开发中重庆产业布局调整及发展战略

经济结构调整是区域经济可持续发展的重要保证，产业布局调整则是经济结构调整的重要方面。依据重庆市情、劳动地域分工、建设长江上游经济中心要求和重庆实施西部大开发战略基本思路，划分和界定重庆三大产业区，以此作为产业布局调整的一种地域形式，在综合评价三大产业区产业现状和发展优势基础上，对三大产业区产业发展战略进行初步探索。     

温州产业结构调整现状及政策取向

在区域经济发展中，正确解决产业提升及产业选择问题，对未来经济发展影响深远。改革开放以后，由于温州体制机制的先发优势，温州人的创业精神得到激发，温州三次产业发生了重大演变，从农业为主导经济迅速上升为以工业为主导的经济，并步入后工业化阶段。三次产业内部结构也出现了较大的变化，表现为工业经济继续成为对温州国民经济贡献最大的产业，行业结构不断改善，品牌经营迅速兴起，农业产业化进程稳步推进，第三产业得到明显提升，产业结构在全省处于领先位置。但是经分析研究，温州产业结构也出现不可回避的问题，如高增长行业的地位不突出和不稳定，可持续发展面临较大的压力，现代服务业发展水平较低，产业化程度较低，产业结构不合理，农业企业化发展进程缓慢。作者为此提出一系列温州产业结构调整的政策取向。     

论农业结构调整的生态基础

我国目前进行的新一轮农业结构调整，无论从形式、内容，还是手段、目标上都与以往有很大 的不同。从农业生产的本质特征出发，农业结构的调整应该在农业系统运作的规律范围内进行。在目前我国农业生态系统已经遭受破坏的状况下，农业结构调整的一项重大任务就是按照自然规律，重新整合农业生态系统，从而恢复系统内部被人为破坏的种种秩序。     

On strategic complementarity conditions in Bertrand oligopoly

Summary. For Bertrand duopoly with linear costs, we establish via a single (counter-)example that: (i) A new monotone transformation of the firms' profit functions may lead to the supermodularity of transformed profits when the standard log and identity transformations both fail to do so, and (ii) Topkis's notion of critical sufficient condition for monotonicity of a Bertrand firm's best-reply correspondence cannot be extended to rely only on positive unit costs. Received: January 16, 2001; revised version: March 20, 2002 RID="*" ID="*" This work was completed while the first author was visiting the Institute for Industrial Economics at the University of Copenhagen during Spring 2000. Their financial support and stimulating research environment are gratefully acknowledged. The views expressed here are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the European Commission. Correspondence to: R. Amir     

试析FDI对我国产业结构的影响

外商直接投资对一个国家产业结构优化有着重要的影响，它直接关系着产业结构优化的程度。就我国目前的情况来看，外商直接投资对中国的产业结构的调整和优化还需要有不小的改进。基于此．本文对外商直接投资对我国产业的利弊作分析，进而提出解决的对策。     

旅行社价格战的博弈分析

旅行社是旅游产品设计、组织和销售的渠道商以及消费者之间的桥梁.旅行社对旅游业具有重要影响，旅行社之间的价格竞争日益严重，盈利率低。随着我国加入世贸组织，越来越多的外国旅行社进入我国、针对我国旅行社如何走出困境，本文从博弈角度分析旅行社的价格竞争及其对策。     

Government as a discriminating monopolist in the financial market: the case of China

We show that the many unusual features of China’s financial markets are consistent with a government choosing regulations to maximize a standard type of social welfare function. Under certain conditions, these regulations are equivalent to imposing explicit taxes on business and interest income, yet should be much easier to enforce. The observed implicit tax rates are broadly in line with those observed in other countries. The theory also forecasts, however, that China will face increasing incentives over time to shift to explicit taxes.