信贷配给理论及其对中国银行业改革的启示

在商业银行占据主导地位的发展中国家中 ,由于现存金融市场的种种结构缺陷以及银行体系内外部建设的不完善 ,在发育成熟的金融市场出现以前 ,政府将被迫肩负着维持对银行部门部分控制的义务。     

银行业联合授信制度制约企业的非效率投资了吗——基于沪深A股公司的分析

中国银保监会出台联合授信管理制度旨在抑制企业过度融资行为,提高资金使用效率。为检验该制度是否达到预期效果,采用2014—2018年沪深A股上市公司样本,运用非平衡面板数据回归实证考察联合授信机制对企业非效率投资的影响,发现联合授信对企业的非效率投资（包含投资不足和投资过度）呈现显著抑制效应,其中联合授信对投资过度的抑制效应最大。进一步研究发现,相较于国有、大规模、低负债、高盈利等异质属性的企业,联合授信对非国有、小规模、高负债、低盈利等属性企业的非效率投资（尤其是投资过度）抑制效应更为显著。     

Discount rates and credit markets: Theory and evidence from rural india

Three models of credit markets - (1) the permanent income model, (2) upward sloping credit supply to individual borrowers, and (3) constrained credit due to imperfect enforcement - are tested using credit market data and an experimental study of individuals' discount rates in south India. The permanent income model is rejected by both the discount rate and the credit market data. The discount rate data are consistent with either of the other two models, while the credit market data are consistent with a combination of these two models. Other explanations are found to be insufficient to explain the results of this study.     

科技金融与中小高新技术企业发展的实证分析

科技和金融是现代经济发展的重要构成要素。分别选取政策性科技金融和金融机构科技贷款表示科技金融指标,构建生产函数为基础检验模型,并以1999--2011年大连相关数据对二者的关系检验。结果表明,中小高新技术企业的发展约13％可以归因于政策性科技金融,约56％归于高层次科技人员的投入,但是金融机构科技贷款的波动不利于中小高新技术企业的发展。在因果关系上,只存在金融机构科技贷款与中小型高科技企业发展的单方向Granger因果关系。     

中西信用文化的比较与接点

中西信用文化有同有异.相同点在于中西方信用地位同样凸显,传统内涵基本相同,对信用同样重视;不同点在于观念、性质、范围和手段差异.中西现代信用文化有道德、经济、法律、技术四个方面的接点.借鉴西方社会信用建设经验,有助于我国更好地完善现代社会信用管理,建立与国际接轨的信用体系.     

A Note on Capital IQ's Credit Line Data

Empirical work in finance is increasingly using Capital IQ's detailed data on capital structure. We compare the Capital IQ credit line data to hand‐collected data for a random sample of firms. Missing values in Capital IQ are prevalent, so the data set underreports the importance of corporate credit lines. When data are reported, Capital IQ often differs from hand‐collected credit line activity. We suggest methods for correcting the errors in the Capital IQ data, note which portions of the data are most reliable, and quantify the effects of Capital IQ's underreporting by examining the tradeoff between cash and lines of credit.     

金融信用发展演变研究

由信用风险引发的美国金融危机引起了我们对金融信用的反思。随着金融信用发展,金融信用的内涵和外延在不断变化。本文研究了金融信用的演进历程,根据不同发展时期的特征,将金融信用的发展划分为五个阶段:道德化、法制化、商业化、证券化及风险的市场化阶段。每一发展阶段,金融信用的作用和蕴含的风险是不同的,而目前的金融信用蕴含的信用风险,成为金融危机的重要诱因。     

钢结构资产的抵押潜能:枣庄案例

枣庄市创新开办钢结构资产抵押贷款新业务,挖掘和提高了中小企业自身抵押担保能力,突破了钢结构厂房资产动产性质认定的瓶颈,符合政银企各方利益诉求,具有较强的可操作性、易复制性,对破解中小企业融资困局具有推广价值。     

Bias in estimates of discrimination and default in mortgage lending: The effects of simultaneity and self-selection

The common practices of estimating single-equation models of mortgage rejection to test for discrimination in mortgage markets or single-equation ex ante mortgage default equations to validate underwriting criteria produce biased and inconsistent parameter estimates. This is due to problems of simultaneous equations bias which arise because, in a world of imperfect information, mortgage terms are not exogenous to the rejection or default decision. In addition, mortgage default estimates are also subject to selection bias. Monte Carlo experiments are used to study the nature and extent of likely bias in single-equation estimation results. We find that rejection equation estimates indicate discrimination when none exists and that estimated coefficients of mortgage terms, such as the loan-to-value ratio, are also subject to significant bias in both rejection and default equations.     

博弈视角下大学生互联网消费信贷决策行为研究

基于博弈论视角,从理论上构建了金融机构与大学生消费信贷决策的动态博弈模型,并引入信誉机制,比较分析了传统金融机构退出大学生信用卡市场而互联网金融大举进入校园信贷市场的深刻原因,同时借助大学生消费信贷调查一手数据实证检验了信誉机制的有效性,研究结果表明:在单次和有限次重复博弈中,“囚徒困境”普遍存在,而在无限次重复博弈中,尽管利率和交易成本下降有利于促进交易,但信息不对称问题却使博弈只能进行有限次,因此要达成长期合作,必须引入具有“社会性惩罚”的信誉机制来抑制大学生的短期投机行为,然信誉机制对于促进传统金融机构与大学生合作的作用有限,更多的是促进互联网金融机构与大学生消费信贷关系的达成,实证结果验证了该结论。由此得到的启示是,充分利用互联网大数据优势、强化互联网金融市场监管、引导大学生树立正确的消费观和责任意识,有助于破解“一放就乱,一管就死”的监管困局,这对于规范互联网金融校园消费信贷市场具有重要现实意义。