中国经济增长的减贫效果评估

本文采用Kakwani等人提出的测度方法--减贫经济增长率,定量分析了我国20世纪80年代以来经济增长对于城乡贫困的影响.结论显示,经济增长对高阶贫困指数的影响大于低阶贫困指数,表明反贫困成本(转移支付金额)相对于贫困人口而言,对经济增长更加敏感.同时,减贫经济增长率的波动幅度要明显高于实际收入增长率,这意味着贫困人口更易受宏观经济波动的冲击.因此,保持宏观经济的稳定以及改善收入分配、加强社会保障等有利于社会公正.     

Detecting food emergencies: Lessons from the 1979 Bangladesh crisis

Much of the work done on Bangladesh's vulnerability to food emergencies has focused on the famine of 1974. However, it is also instructive to consider the experience of 1979, when outright famine was narrowly averted, although there were certainly excess deaths from starvation in some localities. This paper outlines the main features of the crisis and considers the degrees of usefulness of available macroeconomic indicators of stress which might be taken as a basis for government action in the future. The paper concludes by briefly outlining the kinds of action which are likely to be most appropriate to arresting a developing food emergency in Bangladesh.     

Private Car Ownersip Jumps 16% in 6 Months

More than 13 million cars in China were privately owned by the end ＆June up 16% over the end of last year, according to the Ministry of Public Security.     

转型期下岗失业群体的社会保障问题探析

社会保障对于下岗失业群体具有极为重要的意义,但现行的社会保障制度在设置和实践过程中还存在着一些亟待解决的问题。本文主要解析了下岗失业群体的生存困境,并对今后社会保障制度的改革方向进行了探讨。     

The Economics of State Subsidies in Early Stage Financing

We analyze the effect of state subsidies on early stage investments. In a two‐period investment model with incomplete stage financing contracts, we describe optimal and second‐best investment levels. Optimality depends on external effects: given that private early stage financing generates positive external effects, the subsidies might be designed to use scarce state money most efficiently to mobilize private investment capital. However, a subsidy might also contribute to greater efficiency of the contractual relationship itself without regard to external effects. Refinancing subsidies can be optimal under both perspectives and are always optimal under last of the two approaches. The comparison of the main types of subsidies, i.e. refinancing subsidies, guarantees and direct investments, speaks against the use of guarantees. Finally, we show that our results do also hold if some investors (e.g. venture capitalists) have a superior screening capability.     

我国留地安置的制度困境与法律保障

一些地方政府推行的留地安置制度存在着留地权属不清、留地比例的标准不统一、留地用途难以确定等困境。要提高立法层级,完善留地安置相关立法;改革土地征收补偿制度和土地增值利益分配制度;完善农村土地使用权的流转制度;加强地方政府财政收入体制配套改革。     

西南民族地区城镇适度社会保障水平研究——以贵州省为个案的实证分析

社会保障制度作为社会的最后"安全网"和"自动稳定器"功能已经早在诸多国家的实践中得到充分证明,但是其前提条件是需要建立适度的社会保障水平,社会保障水平过高将导致财政负担过高和个人、企业负担较重;而社会保障水平过低又不能实现其"保基本"的目标。所以,研究社会保障水平的适度性是社会保障研究的重要课题之一。西南民族地区城镇社会保障制度发展缓慢,通过对贵州城镇社会保障水平的适度性进行测度,发现城镇社会保障水平低于理论上适度社会保障水平。需要从经济发展、扩大覆盖面、提高资金使用效率和适度提高社会保障绝对水平等方面入手,以实现西南民族地区城镇社会保障水平与社会经济发展相一致。     

社保基金与资本市场互动关系探索

在界定社保基金基本概念的基础上,深入剖析社保基金与资本市场的互动关系,揭示制约二者互动的主要因素,并提出相应的对策建议。认为,制约我国社保基金与资本市场良性互动的主要因素是社保基金缺乏专业的经营管理机构以及有效的监管机制;而且,资本市场不够成熟,投资风险大。因此,促进我国社保基金与资本市场良性互动的根本措施是推动制度和金融创新。     

基于数据包络分析：决策树的企业财务评价与预警--以西部四省上市企业为例

目前,对于企业财务状况评价与预警的研究主要依据ST与非ST两类企业进行分组,类别过于笼统,从而评价结果较为单一,难以衡量企业财务状况的变化过程。本文首先依据数据包络分析理论对上市公司的财务状况进行评估,将其划分为五个层次,进而引用C5.0决策树算法学习企业财务状况等级的划分规则,从而得到更加连续的企业财务评估方法,也适用于财务决策的检验与修正,使得对企业财务状况的研究更加贴近实际,评价与预警效果更加准确、实用。     

新中国初期中国共产党对城市基层社会组织重构的历史启示

新中国初期,中国共产党对城市基层社会组织进行了大规模的重构,并且取得了巨大成功.通过对新中国初期城市各类基层社会组织重构进程的历史考察,我们可以得到以下几方面的启示:强势政权的建立、政权组织的下移与城市基层政权组织的强化是当时成功实现城市基层社会组织重构的基础与前提；城市基层社会的全面组织化是当时实现城市社会整合的强大...