The impact of the SARS outbreak on Taiwanese hotel stock performance: An event-study approach

The severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) outbreak in 2003 weakened the Taiwanese economy. The tourism industry suffered the most, experiencing the highest stock price decline (approximately 29 percent) within a month of the SARS outbreak. This research examined the effect of the SARS epidemic on Taiwanese hotel stock price movements using an event-study approach. Seven publicly traded hotel companies experienced steep declines in earnings and stock price during the SARS outbreak period. On and after the day of the SARS outbreak, Taiwanese hotel stocks showed significantly negative cumulative mean abnormal returns, indicating a significant impact of the SARS outbreak on hotel stock performance. Empirical findings could be used to prepare businesses for the similar epidemics, such as a deadly bird-flu epidemic.     

新冠肺炎疫情对旅游业的冲击与对策

2020年新冠肺炎疫情的爆发和蔓延对我国旅游业造成了巨大冲击,但这只是阶段性的,不会改变我国旅游业敏感却不脆弱的基本预期和判断,疫情过后我国旅游业仍将极具韧性地呈现快速复苏势头。与2003年非典型肺炎疫情相比,2020年新冠肺炎疫情对我国旅游业的影响更加严重,一定要在高于非典型肺炎疫情影响的预估下,客观吸取非典型肺炎疫情时期经验教训,更加充分地考虑应对之策。对政府而言,既要充分加强危机管理,引导企业自救,强化政策支持,又要分预案、分区域、分市场提早谋划;对旅游相关企业而言,既要积极担当,为疫情防控贡献力量,又要积极开展经营自救,对疫情结束后旅游市场的需求变动进行分析和预测,为在产业复苏中抢抓机遇做好准备。此外,还要重视新冠肺炎疫情在创新应用、供需对接、旅游管理等方面催生的改革机遇,化危为机,推动旅游业进一步改革升级。     

新冠肺炎疫情对我国中小微企业的影响及应对

新冠肺炎疫情爆发对我国经济社会及人民生活等各方面均造成了不容忽视的影响,特别是抗风险能力较低的中小微企业所受冲击巨大,生存危机加剧。以116家中小微企业所有者及实际负责人为调研对象,以损失评估、可维持时间、行业影响程度、企业所面临困难类型、自身对策及政策诉求等11个问题为调研内容,对我国中小微企业受新冠肺炎疫情影响情况及政策诉求进行调研发现,中小微企业受新冠肺炎疫情冲击严重,影响面广,但不同类型企业受影响程度不尽相同,其经营计划和政策诉求也存在差异。为应对新冠肺炎疫情对中小微企业的影响,应综合考虑企业实际情况以及疫情持续时间和影响程度,一方面,从政策层面着手,聚焦政策创新,在针对紧急而重要问题出台帮扶政策、纠正政策制定与执行中过激过度过当行为的同时,着力打通不同部门之间的政策屏障,推动跨部门协同,针对不同主体提供差异化策略;另一方面,从企业自身发展层面着手,关注现金流、供应链与扶持政策,积极开拓市场,加快企业转型,关注企业所有者与员工心理健康,确保企业运行和复工复产需要,弥补停工期订单损失。     

农业高质量发展、交易制度变迁与网购农产品消费促进——兼论新冠肺炎疫情对生鲜电商发展的影响

农业高质量发展和市场交易制度的日益完善,对解决农产品供需失衡、流通不畅等问题发挥了积极作用;新冠肺炎疫情使生鲜电商的产业特征和社会价值得到充分体现,也使网购农产品消费得到进一步提振。研究结果表明,网购农产品消费揭示了农业发展由高速增长向高质量发展的转型特征;尽管还存在一些制约因素,抗击疫情过程中也暴露出生鲜电商的一些短板和不足,但是在农业高质量发展和疫情驱动交易制度完善下,网购农产品消费将更加注重安全、品质和标准化,更加依赖信息化和农业现代化的融合发展,更加需要线上线下协同发力,更加突出与冷链物流紧密结合。未来应通过深化供给侧结构性改革,构建需求导向的现代农业生产体系等措施,进一步推动生鲜电商发展和网购农产品消费。     

产业园区应对突发疫情的对策分析

新冠肺炎疫情全面爆发以来,产业园区经济受到严重影响,特别是对产业链条不完整,基本盘尚未扎稳,抵抗风险能力相对较弱的中小产业园区来说更是如此。不明朗的市场前景,高涨的厂房租金和人工成本不仅增加了企业的生存压力,也间接影响了园区的可持续发展。新形势下,保护中小企业、重塑产业生态、优化政务服务是打赢肺炎阻击战,保证产业园区可持续发展的必然对策。     

The decision‐making process in viral marketing—A review and suggestions for further research

Viral marketing is used to widely distribute content. To achieve this goal, the basic decision‐making process from content reception to interaction must be clarified. This paper examines the decision‐making process of individuals in viral marketing using a new dynamic model. In addition, this work reviews the existing literature on viral marketing and structures to identify existing issues for further research. The decision‐making process is basically divided into two stages. In the first decision stage, individuals decide whether content should be considered. When individuals agree to view the content, they decide in the second stage whether they want to interact with it. These two decisions are influenced by three factors: the framework conditions, content, and interaction aims. With the help of the decision model, this paper summarizes the most important findings from viral marketing research over the last 20 years. In addition, this work provides new opportunities for further research in the field of viral marketing.     

炎琥宁注射液与鱼腥草注射液治疗小儿肺炎疗效对比分析

目的探讨炎琥宁注射液与鱼腥草注射液治疗小儿肺炎的临床疗效和安全性.方法将小儿肺炎患者150例,按照治疗方式分为炎琥宁组78例和鱼腥草组72例,炎琥宁组给予炎琥宁注射液治疗,鱼腥草组给予鱼腥草注射液治疗.两组患者治疗一个疗程后对临床症状和体征、疗效及不良反应进行评估.结果炎琥宁组患者症状和体征消失时间与鱼腥草组比较无统计学意义（P〉0.05）.炎琥宁组和鱼腥草组治疗有效率分别为92.31%和93.06%,两组比较无统计学意义（P〉0.05）.炎琥宁组不良反应发生率较鱼腥草组高,差异具有显著统计学意义（P〈0.05）.结论炎琥宁注射液与鱼腥草注射液治疗小儿肺炎的疗效相当,但鱼腥草注射液不良反应发生率较低,值得临床推广使用.     

Economic evaluation among Chinese patients with nosocomial pneumonia caused by methicillin-resistant staphylococcus aureus and treated with linezolid or vancomycin: a secondary,post-hoc analysis based on a Phase 4 clinical trial study

Objective:

To assess cost-effectiveness of linezolid vs vancomycin in treating nosocomial pneumonia caused by methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA-NP) in China and the impact of renal failure on healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and costs.

Methods:

Cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted based on data from the ZEPHyR trial, with efficacy measured by treatment success and costs calculated from HCRU. Confidence intervals (CI) for cost, efficacy and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) were calculated by non-parametric bootstrap. Chi-square test was used for renal failure rate and t-test for HCRU/cost comparisons. Impact of renal failure was assessed using regression model.

Results:

Data from 448 patients (1:1 linezolid:vancomycin) were analyzed. More patients treated with linezolid achieved success (55% [95% CI?=?48–62%]) than with vancomycin (45% [38–52%]). Treatment cost were ¥79,551 (95% CI?=?¥72,421–¥86,680) for linezolid vs ¥77,587 (¥70,656–¥84,519) for vancomycin in Beijing, ¥90,995 (¥82,598–¥99,393) vs ¥89,448 (¥81,295–¥97,601) in Guangzhou, ¥82,383 (¥74,956–¥89,810) vs ¥80,799 (¥73,545–¥88,054) in Nanjing and ¥59,413 (¥54,366–¥64,460) vs ¥57,804 (¥52,613–¥62,996) in Xi’an. Per successful treatment, the ICER of linezolid over vancomycin were ¥19,719

(?¥143,553 to ¥320,980) (Beijing), ¥15,532 (?¥185,411 to ¥349,693) (Guangzhou), ¥15,904 (?¥161,935 to ¥314,987) (Nanjing) and ¥16,145 (?¥100,738 to ¥234,412) (Xi’an). From simulations, the majority of linezolid cases had greater efficacy and higher costs and more than one third had greater efficacy and lower costs. More vancomycin patients developed renal failure (15% vs 4%, p?<?0.001). Patients with renal failure had higher cost (Nanjng: ¥100,449 (SD?=?¥65,080) vs ¥74,944 (SD?=?¥49,632), p?=?0.002).

Conclusion:

Linezolid was more cost-effective than vancomycin in treating MRSA-NP from a Chinese payer’s perspective, and associated with less renal failure, HCRU and cost.     

血必净注射液治疗重症急性胰腺炎的Meta分析

目的评价血必净注射液对重症急性胰腺炎（SAP）患者的影响,从而了解血必净用于辅助治疗重症急性胰腺炎的临床疗效。方法选择符合纳入标准的随机或临床对照试验（CRT、CCT）文献,对数据进行Meta分析。结果5项研究纳入421例患者,Meta分析显示,血必净＋乌司他丁＋基础治疗组与乌司他丁＋基础治疗组比较,腹痛缓解时间（WMD=-1.86,95%CI：-2.27～-1.45,P=0.00001）、血淀粉酶恢复正常时间（WMD=-1.80,95%CI：-2.68～-0.93,P〈0.0001）、尿淀粉酶恢复正常时间（WMD=-1.96,95%CI：-2.42～-1.50,P〈0.00001）、白细胞计数恢复正常时间（WMD=-2.49,95%CI：-3.56～-1.41,P〈0.00001）以及总有效率（RR=1.16,95%CI：1.07～1.25,P=0.0002）的差异有统计学意义。结论应用血必净的治疗组能明显缩短重症急性胰腺炎患者腹痛缓解时间、血（尿）淀粉酶以及白细胞计数恢复正常时间,且治疗组的总有效率明显高于对照组。     

新冠肺炎疫情对苹果产业影响及对策分析

为了有效应对新冠肺炎疫情冲击,推动苹果产业稳定健康发展,产业经济研究室基于987名苹果相产业者的调研数据,从生产、储藏和销售环节系统分析新冠肺炎疫情对苹果产业发展的影响。研究表明:在苹果生产环节对农资、劳动力、苗木供给和果园管理影响较大;在储藏环节涉果企业复工难,贮藏苹果出库率较去年同期大幅下降,贮藏企业、果农面临亏损风险;在苹果销售环节终端市场消费低迷、价格呈低走态势。