Unconventional monetary policy and the stock market’s reaction to Federal Reserve policy actions

We examine the change in the effect of Federal Reserve’s policy actions on stock returns after the Fed started to use unconventional policy actions. We find that the response of stock returns to monetary policy actions are almost seven times higher after the federal funds rate hit the zero lower bound. We conduct additional analysis to examine the underlying causes of the increase in the impact of monetary policy actions of stock returns. We show that investors rebalance their portfolios towards equity after selling Treasury securities to the Federal Reserve during large scale asset purchases.     

HOW COOPERATIVE ARE SAVINGS AND CREDIT COOPERATIVES IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES?: AN ANALYSIS OF DATASETS FROM UGANDA

Building successful savings and credit cooperatives (SACCOs) that actually embody the cooperative principles is a challenge to development agencies. Although SACCOs form the majority of microfinance providers in many developing countries, the most recent literature on microfinance governance and performance has given little reference to the longstanding body of relevant cooperative literature. SACCO representation in microfinance datasets is biased. Drawing on so‐far unexploited datasets of Ugandan SACCOs and savings groups, this paper empirically analyses policy debate regarding SACCO‐ and savings group regulation. The findings point to the relevance of practically implementing the principle of ‘cooperation between cooperatives’ to ensure effective governance at SACCO level. Moreover, the paper introduces two new measures, based on members' savings and shares, which could become useful tools to track the application of cooperative principles in developing countries, and hence improve evidence‐based policy‐making for SACCOs.     

校企联合打造示范性高职精品专业

国家示范性高职院校建设的核心是建设高水平的专业,通过若干高水平的重点专业建设,形成若干个强势专业群,从而起到示范带动作用。共同打造精品专业是校企合作的切入点,是培养双师型队伍建设的有效途径,能够增强校企实训基地产学研结合工作的开展。     

浅谈校企合作对物联网专业建设的影响

随着近几年物联网的飞速发展,导致此方面人才奇缺。青岛农业大学以校企合作办学模式新增了物联网专业,以期为物联网的发展输送人才。本文阐述了校企合作办学模式在课程建设、师资建设、教材建设、实训和就业等方面给我校的物联网专业建设带来的积极影响以及对科研的促进。     

Comparing linear and nonlinear forecasts for stock returns

We compare the out-of-sample performance of monthly returns forecasts for two indices, namely the Dow Jones (DJ) and the Financial Times (FT) indices. A linear and a nonlinear artificial neural network (ANN) model are used to generate the out-of-sample competing forecasts for monthly returns. Stationary transformations of dividends and trading volume are considered as fundamental explanatory variables in the linear model and the input variables in the ANN model. The comparison of out-of-sample forecasts is done on the basis of forecast accuracy, using the Diebold and Mariano test [J. Bus. Econ. Stat. 13 (1995) 253.], and forecast encompassing, using the Clements and Hendry approach [J. Forecast. 5 (1998) 559.]. The results suggest that the out-of-sample ANN forecasts are significantly more accurate than linear forecasts of both indices. Furthermore, the ANN forecasts can explain the forecast errors of the linear model for both indices, while the linear model cannot explain the forecast errors of the ANN in either of the two indices. Overall, the results indicate that the inclusion of nonlinear terms in the relation between stock returns and fundamentals is important in out-of-sample forecasting. This conclusion is consistent with the view that the relation between stock returns and fundamentals is nonlinear.     

Equity returns,bond returns,and the equity premium in the German capital market

This article reviews the empirical evidence for equity returns, bond returns, and the equity premium in the German capital market for the period from 1870 to 1995. Taken together, the studies reviewed provide convincing evidence that over longer investment periods, average equity returns have been higher than average bond returns. These excess returns, however, have been highly volatile and negative in many years, illustrating the higher risk of equity investments. Moreover, market timing had a major positive or negative impact on overall returns. Despite the historical evidence of a substantial equity premium there is still little equity investment by German households.     

浅析宏观经济政策对金融市场的影响

近几年来,国内经济的发展可谓势头猛增,国家出台了一系列的宏观经济政策,这些宏观经济政策对我国金融市场的发展具有一定的影响。本文就国家的宏观经济政策对我国的金融市场产生的影响进行浅析评论。     

我国上市公司股票期权激励问题研究

本文首先阐述了股票期权的含义及理论基础;其次,在介绍了我国股票期权实施现状的基础上,系统地分析了我国公司所面临的相关法律法规、外部市场环境及内部治理结构等方面的问题;最后,针对以上存在的各项问题提出了相应的对策建议。     

深化漳台产业合作的几点思考

立足漳州市情，深化漳台产业对接，构建具有核心竞争力的现代产业体系，是落实“海西建设，漳州先行”发展战略的重要举措。比较分析漳台产业的互补性，运用经济学原理论证漳台产业对接的现实性与可行性，并提出深化漳台产业合作曲建议。     

大股东合作与竞争关系的一个博弈分析

公司治理文献对所有者与经营者和大股东与中小股东之间的利益冲突进行了广泛分析 ,但缺乏对大股东之间合作与竞争关系的研究。利用博弈理论 ,本文对大股东合作与竞争的可能性进行了理论分析。分析表明 :对于最大化自己收益的大股东而言 ,对长期收益和控制权潜在收益考虑得越多 ,则他们之间进行合作的可能性也越大 ,而相互竞争或不合作的可能性越小。所以 ,对于上市公司和宏观管理机构而言 ,鼓励大股东进行真诚合作并防止他们通过合谋而损害中小股东利益是十分必要的。