Open economy and financial burden of corruption: theory and application to Asia

We discuss why corruption remains high and show that corruption contributes to the Banking distress and to the rapid transmission across international stock and currency markets. Undeveloped ‘derivative securities’ markets make the risk from stress-induced volatility difficult to manage. Vinod’s (1999) closed economy model is extended to indicate the asymmetry of ‘home bias’ and the effect of corruption on the value at risk (VaR). Our theory predicts that capital flight controls will be many, foreign direct investment (FDI) will be low and cost of capital will be high in corrupt developing countries, which is supported by Asian data. We include some policy recommendations regarding financial institutions and markets.     

The Multilevel Approach to Repeated Measures for Complete and Incomplete Data

Repeated measurements often are analyzed by multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA). An alternative approach is provided by multilevel analysis, also called the hierarchical linear model (HLM), which makes use of random coefficient models. This paper is a tutorial which indicates that the HLM can be specified in many different ways, corresponding to different sets of assumptions about the covariance matrix of the repeated measurements. The possible assumptions range from the very restrictive compound symmetry model to the unrestricted multivariate model. Thus, the HLM can be used to steer a useful middle road between the two traditional methods for analyzing repeated measurements. Another important advantage of the multilevel approach to analyzing repeated measures is the fact that it can be easily used also if the data are incomplete. Thus it provides a way to achieve a fully multivariate analysis of repeated measures with incomplete data. This revised version was published online in June 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

把握基层管理者执行力提升的关节点

基层管理者的执行力大小直接关系到组织的成败得失,并反映了组织人力资源管理的绩效情况.基层管理者要提高执行力,必须明确目标并制定行动计划,充分认识本组织的资源优势并加以优化配置,协调好本组织与相关组织、上级组织和下级组织之间的关系,让员工拥有梦想,努力将"中游水平"整体提升.     

对新疆财政工作的现实思考

在市场经济条件下,财政具有优化资源配置、调节收入分配和协调经济发展等重要功能。因此,做好财政工作对经济快速发展和社会全面进步具有重要的推动作用。本文主要对新疆财政收支的基本状况、财政工作中存在的问题及新疆财政工作的特殊性进行了分析,在此基础上提出了今后新疆财政工作的基本思路。     

万历初年李贽文学思想论——从“宇宙有五大部文章”说起

一般认为,李贽的文学思想与其心学思想同步,而心学思想成熟于万历十九年前后,文学思想也成熟于此时,其《童心说》是最好的证明。然而,在万历初年,李贽在南京刑部任上初步接触了王阳明的心学,对文学提出了自己看法,“宇宙有五大部文章”说就是其文学思想的表现。本文联系李贽对司马迁、杜甫、苏轼、《水浒传》、《李献吉集》的评价加以分析,发现此时李贽文学思想的内涵是:为己、自然、真率、快乐。从而表明万历初年李贽已具有了后来文学思想的基础。     

推进党建与业务工作深度融合,引领企业高质量发展

新时期国有企业基层党建工作应以党的十九大精神,尤其是习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想及国企党的建设工作会议精神为指导,加强组织建设,发挥党员先锋模范作用,推进基层党建工作与业务工作深度融合,形成以党建促业务发展的新常态,努力实现以党建引领推动工程项目建设,以高质量党建引领企业高质量发展。     

基层财政解困:一个财政体制变迁的分析框架

基层财政困难已影响到部分地方经济发展与社会稳定,是迫切需要解决的问题.基层财政陷入困境的最直接根源是财政体制不规范,事权与财权高度不对称.解困的根本出路在于规范政府间财政关系,进行财政体制创新.但财政体制变迁不能局限于边际微调,须考虑政府财政级次问题.本文提出推行"省管县"体制与撤消乡镇级政府两项改革,将政府层级由五级简化为三级,对应形成三级财政.并以这三级财政为架构,重新设计财政体制,合理配置政府间事权财权,以推动基层财政彻底解困.     

A brief technology assessment of the Carbon Dioxide effect

Significant increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide are occuring as a result of fossil fuel combustion. More than a four-fold increase over preindustrial levels may occur by the year 2100. Heating of the atmosphere, changes in precipitation patterns and global storm paths, and other resulting effects are sure to cause significant social changes. This article is essentially a methodological case study demonstrating a useful but inexpensive type of technology assessment. It summarizes current research findings on “the CO₂ effect,” and presents hitherto unpublished findings that resulted from a brief but systems-oriented approach. These findings suggest that most published forecasts of phenomena associated with a CO₂ buildup may be systematically low because various positive feedback relationships are not reflected.     

The new logic of Japan's young generations

Through daily use of computer games and advanced cartoonized learning, the lower teen generation in Japan has developed an unprecedented ability for instantaneous contextual gestalt-based decision making and high-speed multidimensional simultaneous thinking. This is a radical departure from the sequential logic of older generations. This is a conclusion we can reach after examining the voluminous data available from a new research institute in Japan. The data also indicate that the young adult generation has developed unique strategies of life, which are fascinating but difficult to understand in the framework of our traditional logic but make sense as a transition to the logic of the lower teen generation.     

县级财政的现状与创新

县级财政是按照“一级政权、一级财政”的原则构建起来的,在基层政权建设,为保证经济发展和社会稳定提供财力支持方面发挥着重要的作用。目前,随着改革的深入,县级财政也面临着一些困难,诸如收入总额偏低,赤字面大,负债多,风险大,部分地区存在财政空转现象等。造成这些困难的因素有很多,既有体制上的,又有管理上的,还有历史原因。为解决县级财政的困难,要理顺机制,培养财源,加强支出管理,构建符合公共财政要求的框架体系。