Bayesian analysis of the ordered probit model with endogenous selection

This paper presents a Bayesian analysis of an ordered probit model with endogenous selection. The model can be applied when analyzing ordered outcomes that depend on endogenous covariates that are discrete choice indicators modeled by a multinomial probit model. The model is illustrated by analyzing the effects of different types of medical insurance plans on the level of hospital utilization, allowing for potential endogeneity of insurance status. The estimation is performed using the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods to approximate the posterior distribution of the parameters in the model.     

一座人行天桥的病害成因分析及处治技术

全面分析厦门市疏港路1#人行天桥病害产生原因及工程处治方法。同时对业界旧桥病害成因分析及处治提供一种借鉴。     

日本劳动市场雇佣形态的多样化及其存在的问题

20世纪90年代以来,随着社会经济环境的剧烈变化,日本的雇佣体制和劳动力市场发生了很大变化。终身雇佣理念被淡化,企业为了节约劳动成本,大规模缩减正式员工,并积极雇佣临时工。于是劳动力市场上出现了前所未有的多样化和流动化。这对企业来说,增加了雇佣的灵活性,但不利于长期发展;对劳动者来说,扩大了择业范围,但出现了和正式员工之间的待遇差距问题。     

试论学生习得性失助感及其防治

习得性失助感是一种消极的心理状态。本文介绍了习得性失助感的含义及产生，并联系学生实际，对习得性失助感的产生进行了归因，提出了相应的防治策略。     

复杂砂砾石层坝基帷幕灌浆探索

砂砾石层是困扰水利工程施工的一大难题.砂砾石坝基垂直防渗处理中帷幕灌浆技术的使用取得了良好的效果.文章通过对帷幕灌浆中遇到的问题进行分析,提出了有针对性的技术措施.     

基于前景理论的慢性病患者就医行为分析

文章分析了慢性病患者行为模型参照点的选择,认为锚定心理、社会因素和经济因素都是患者行为模型参照点的影响因素。文章应用行为经济学中的前景理论,对慢性病患者的就医行为进行了分析。建立了模型,通过计算得到患者达到效用最大化的条件。     

西部大开发中的“国民待遇”问题探讨

改革开放以来,我国制定了许多优惠政策吸引外资,这些优惠超出了我国国民所享有的待遇。东部地区在优惠政策的带动下率先发展。我国已经全面开放,这些优惠政策将加剧对西部地区企业、个人的不公平待遇,不利于西部地区经济发展,应该实行国民待遇。     

National treatment,institutions and IP uncertainties: An analytics of compliance,change and comparability

This paper addresses national treatment for IP uncertainties (NTIPU) as to whether it is upheld, its changing nature, and differences between patents and trademarks. Based on the institutional theory, empirical evidence in the US and China, the lagged regression modeling of longitudinal data, and multiple comparison, we find that NTIPU is upheld in the past 12 years for trademarks due to equal or favorable treatment for foreigners in granting for both countries, and in pendency for China, but not upheld against pendency due to shorter duration for US locals. Both countries show progress (pendency and foreign granting in China, US granting) or remain unchanged (local granting in China, and US pendency) when compared with pre-2002 eras. Consistently, patents demonstrate shorter pendency but lower granting than trademarks for both countries. The findings address theoretical and empirical voids of NTIPU and provide implications to handle IP uncertainties in bilateral collaboration.     

不公平对待对努力水平的影响——基于三阶段锦标模型的研究

行为经济学研究认为,人们在自利偏好之外还存在公平偏好,不公平对待将导致额外效用;而心理学实验又表明,不公平对待会使人们产生相对剥夺感并增加努力成本。基于公平偏好理论及相对剥夺观点,构建了三阶段晋升锦标模型,研究不公平对待对代理人努力水平的影响。结果表明,代理人的努力水平选择取决于对未来的预期,并且工资差距、努力成本、嫉妒和自豪心理以及监管精度都会影响代理人的努力水平。这一结论有利于预测代理人的行为规律,为建立最优激励机制提供更符合现实情况的理论依据。