失业风险预警系统研究

基于我国29年的历史数据,采用BP神经网络模型对我国的失业风险预警问题进行研究。结果表明,神经网络方法在失业风险系统中具有优良的预警效果,其对失业风险综合警情值的预测误差小于3％。相对于景气分析预测法、时间序列分析、灰色预测模型以及回归预测模型等技术,神经网络方法不仅具有良好的预测精度,同时还具备较强的容错能力和泛化能力。因此,在构建我国的失业风险预警系统中,神经网络模型应该是一种被优先考虑的方法。     

研发服务价值共创研究

以价值网络理论为基础,以研发服务所处价值网络为研究视角,以研发服务价值共创为研究对象,基于价值星座和服务价值网络观点,探讨了企业如何构建自身的研发服务价值网络。通过网络内部的连接点与网络间的连接点,实现研发服务价值共创,以期为研发服务业提高价值创造效率和效果提供理论指导。     

分式布朗运动模型下的金融市场风险度量--以上证指数为例

金融市场风险度量在金融风险度量乃至于整个金融风险管理过程中都具有十分重要的地位。本文基于2013年至2014年上证指数的收盘数据,通过对分式布朗运动驱动的随机微分方程进行离散化处理,用其解（分式几何布朗运动）模拟上证指数的未来走势。在此基础上,采用Monte Carlo模拟法模拟出上证指数的价值分布与损益分布。最后,在95％的置信水平下计算出上证指数的在险价值（ VaR）。相对于传统股票价格预测模型---布朗运动模型,分式布朗运动模型更符合金融问题本身;利用Monte Carlo模拟法不再借助于股票价格历史数据。故而本模型对市场金融风险的预测精度更高。     

价值理论研究中的热点难点问题探讨（下）

马克思的政治经济学的任务，主要是研究资本主义的生产关系。而当代马克思主义的经济学，不仅要研究包括社会主义社会的生产劳动在内的经济问题，也要研究当代资本主义的经济关系、经济运行和发展的新特点。因此，马克思主义理论工作者，需要在继承与坚持劳动价值论的前提下，对这一理论进行创新和发展。     

论法治统一性：价值、要义及实现

法治由于自身的消极价值而必须从内部实现协调统一才能真正确保法治内在的＂良法之治＂的效果状态存在。由是,法治统一性的命题也自然被提到政治日程上,它意即可被视为系统的法治实现内外部要素和谐平衡的要义。法治统一性与国家法律制度、权法关系及政民互动有密切联系,以从静态意义（法律体系化）与动态意义（制度有效运作）上实现统一协调,最终突破当下法治困境,实现法治中制度运作符合其内在价值导向的要求。因此,法治统一性实现从根本上决定了我国百年法治梦的最终实现。     

When value co-creation fails: Reasons that lead to value co-destruction

Value co-destruction is a possible outcome of business, public and consumer collaboration. We examine reasons that lead to value co-destruction and when these reasons emerge. Since previous research on the topic is limited, our research approach is abductive qualitative research. The empirical data emerges from 19 semi-structured interviews conducted in seven organizations operating in Finland. Results indicate that value co-destruction emerges due to eight reasons. Our empirically grounded framework for value co-destruction demonstrates when these reasons emerge (before or after the collaboration or interaction) or they are time-independent. Results provide important insights for academics and managers into how value co-creation efforts can have negative outcomes and at what stage each reason is more likely to happen.     

Restaurant's decision to purchase local foods: Influence of value chain activities

In this paper we investigate how restaurant managements’ attitudes and behaviors influence decisions to purchase local foods as inputs to their products. An enhanced investigation of chefs’ and managers’ decision-making criteria could improve understanding of local food systems linkages with the restaurant industry. We apply a value chain framework to investigate activities that influence restaurants’ decision to purchase local foods. Results indicate that attitudes and behaviors associated with sourcing and product characteristics play an important role in local food purchase decisions in the restaurant value chain. Order processing time and uniqueness of products are the most significant reasons in restaurant managements’ decisions to purchase local foods. The implications of these findings for restaurants and producers are discussed. Our study contributes to the literature by expanding upon the criteria used by restaurants to make local food purchasing decisions.     

Measuring festival quality and value affecting visitors’ satisfaction and loyalty using a structural approach

Perceived value is understood to be a precursor of customer satisfaction and loyalty and is itself impacted by product quality. The linkages between quality, value, satisfaction, and loyalty have been gaining increasing attention in the marketing field. Accordingly, this study examines whether quality dimensions have an impact on perceived value, which, in turn, affects satisfaction and loyalty, in the context of the Punggi Ginseng festival.     

Creating a model of customer equity for chain restaurant brand formation

The purpose of this research was to create and test a model of customer equity for chain restaurant brand formation. It has long been acknowledged that managing and enhancing customer equity influences a company's shareholder value, which is a reflection of long-term financial performance. A review of the current literature revealed three key determinants of customer equity: (1) value equity, (2) brand equity, and (3) relationship equity. Six hypotheses were derived and, based on data analysis, all six were supported. Value, brand, and relationship management were all confirmed to be important factors in enhancing customer equity in the chain restaurant industry. Further, brand equity has the strongest impact on the development of customer equity in this particular industry. Relationships among value equity, brand equity, and relationship equity were also identified. Managerial implications are discussed.     

创新生态系统视角下价值共创如何影响企业创新绩效——一个有调节的中介模型

以创新生态系统为视角,引入创新资源互动与生态系统规范机制为中介变量和调节变量,探究价值共创如何影响企业创新绩效。基于307家企业样本数据,运用结构方程模型、Bootstrap和层级回归方法对数据进行分析。研究发现：创新生态系统中,价值共创不完全直接影响企业创新绩效;创新资源互动部分中介价值共创对企业创新绩效的影响;生态系统规范机制部分正向调节价值共创对创新资源互动的影响。最后提出,创新生态系统调控方与企业要差异化地制定提升创新绩效的实施方案,营造活跃的创新资源互动氛围,形成并完善系统内生态规范机制。