Analysts’ stock recommendations,earnings growth and risk

A key output of sell‐side analysts is their recommendations to investors as to whether they should, buy, hold or sell a company's shares. However, relatively little is known regarding the determinants of those recommendations. This study considers this question, presenting results that suggest that recommendations are dependent on analysts’ short‐term and long‐term earnings growth forecasts, as well as on proxies for the analysts’ unobservable views on earnings growth in the more distant future and risk. Furthermore, analysts who appear to incorporate earnings growth beyond the long‐term growth forecast horizons and risk into their recommendation decisions make more profitable stock recommendations.     

Are analyst stock recommendation revisions more informative in the post‐IFRS period?

This paper investigates whether the mandatory IFRS adoption has affected the informativeness of analyst recommendation revisions in Europe. Although prior studies document that IFRS adoption improved analyst forecast attributes, the impact of IFRS cannot be completely assessed without examining how the market reacts to information‐rich events in an environment with enhanced disclosure. To examine this question we utilize a difference‐in‐differences design using as main control sample firms that had voluntarily adopted IFRS before the EU's mandated switch. Overall, our evidence suggests that after the mandatory adoption of IFRS, both analyst upgrades and downgrades are more informative. These results hold after controlling for a number of variables that capture analyst, firm and information environment characteristics and are robust to a number of sensitivity analyses including the use of a US control sample. Finally, we examine whether our results are sensitive to the level of accounting enforcement. We find that analyst downgrades are more informative in the post‐IFRS period for firms in both high and low enforcement environments. Analyst upgrades, however, are more informative only if they are issued for firms in high enforcement countries.     

董事高管责任保险与企业财务困境风险——基于A股上市公司的经验证据

以2006-2015年A股上市公司为样本,检验董事高管责任保险对企业财务困境风险的影响及其作用机制。研究发现：购买董事高管责任保险有助于降低企业的财务困境风险,保险公司的监督作用是企业财务困境风险降低的主要原因;高质量的内部控制或较多的分析师跟踪能减弱董事高管责任保险对企业财务困境风险的治理效用;产权性质则未产生显著的影响。     

The Reaction by Industry Insiders to M&;As in the European Financial Industry

This paper looks at the reaction by industry insiders, industry analysts and competing firms, to the announcement of M&As that took place in the European Union financial industry in the period 1998–2006. Analysts covering firms involved in an M&A transaction do not significantly alter their recommendation. This is consistent with the hypothesis that the transaction on average is “fairly priced” and that stock market prices reflect all relevant information on the assets. We also find that the correlation between excess returns for merging and competing firms is positive and, in some cases, significantly higher for domestic mergers than for international deals. This is consistent with the idea that domestic deals are more likely to have a negative impact on industry competition.

北京市农村集体经济组织产权制度改革模式与政策建议

近几年来,北京市大力推进以“资产变股权、农民当股东”为基本方向,以发育社区股份合作制为主要形式的农村集体经济组织产权制度改革,形成了“近郊全面推开,远郊扩大试点”的局面。本文总结了北京市农村集体经济组织产权制度改革的四种模式,分析了在改革的实践过程中出现的各种矛盾和问题,提出了进一步推进北京市农村集体经济组织产权制度改革应坚持的基本原则和政策建议。     

应关注从紧货币政策背景下外汇流入问题

实施从紧货币政策使总需求规模得以控制,有利于保持经济又好又快发展。在该政策背景下,江苏省外汇资金流入总体呈现快速增长的态势,文章着重分析了当前境外资金流入需要关注的五类问题,并提出相应的政策建议。     

融资性担保公司经营问题探析

融资性担保公司为缓解中小企业融资难,帮助中小企业走出资金周转困境起到了快捷有效的重要作用。但与此同时,由于监管的缺失、机构内部管理落后、程序运作不规范、风险识别和控制力达不到要求等导致部分融资性担保公司发展困难。本文主要对融资性担保公司自身经营发展的误区进行分析,提出合法经营、强化企业团队力量和实行项目评审委员会制度等12个方面的对策建议。     

增值税转型对建筑安装企业的影响分析及建议

增值税是以商品生产流通和劳务各个流转环节的增值额为征税对象所课征的一种具有税负转嫁性质的间接税。本文从增值税转型改革出发分析了建筑安装企业所面临的财务风险、如何解决这些问题,并提出了未来进一步增值税改革的建议。     

解决县域小型微型企业融资难的几点建议

县域小型微型企业受自身经营管理水平低、金融体系不健全、融资渠道单一、政策支持不到位等多种因素影响，融资存在一定困难。本文首先介绍了小微企业资金供需现状，然后分析了小微企业融资难的原因，最好给出了相关政策建议。     

虱内外燃料油期货市场不完善程度测度和实证检验

论文使用一个包含了价格期望因素以及套利机制不完全性的期货市场不完善程度测度模型，分别对上海和新加坡燃料油期货市场的不完善程度进行了检验。检验结果发现上海燃料油期货市场的不完善程度要比新加坡高很多，可见上海燃料油期货市场有待于进一步完善。最后，论文通过上海与新加坡燃料油期货市场的不同点进行分析，探讨了上海燃料油期货市场不完善程度的可能原因，对实证结果作了进一步解释，并提出了相应的政策建议。