What Does the Corporate Bond Market Know?

Do related markets reflect new information simultaneously? For high‐yield bonds, a large abnormal price decline in a corporation's most liquid bond over a month is followed by an average abnormal stock price decline of ?1.42%. This effect is larger for stocks that have increased in value and for volatile stocks. It is also larger for bonds with high coupons and shorter maturities. These results support the view that high‐yield corporate bonds have an informational edge when news is negative and stock returns are noisy, and add to the growing literature on the substantial lags in price discovery between related markets.     

Corporate bond liquidity before and after the onset of the subprime crisis

We analyze liquidity components of corporate bond spreads during 2005-2009 using a new robust illiquidity measure. The spread contribution from illiquidity increases dramatically with the onset of the subprime crisis. The increase is slow and persistent for investment grade bonds while the effect is stronger but more short-lived for speculative grade bonds. Bonds become less liquid when financial distress hits a lead underwriter and the liquidity of bonds issued by financial firms dries up under crises. During the subprime crisis, flight-to-quality is confined to AAA-rated bonds.     

A NONZERO‐SUM GAME APPROACH TO CONVERTIBLE BONDS: TAX BENEFIT,BANKRUPTCY COST,AND EARLY/LATE CALLS

Convertible bonds are hybrid securities that embody the characteristics of both straight bonds and equities. The conflicts of interest between bondholders and shareholders affect the security prices significantly. In this paper, we investigate how to use a nonzero‐sum game framework to model the interaction between bondholders and shareholders and to evaluate the bond accordingly. Mathematically, this problem can be reduced to a system of variational inequalities and we explicitly derive the Nash equilibrium to the game. Our model shows that credit risk and tax benefit have considerable impacts on the optimal strategies of both parties. The shareholder may issue a call when the debt is in‐the‐money or out‐of‐the‐money. This is consistent with the empirical findings of “late and early calls.” In addition, the optimal call policy under our model offers an explanation for certain stylized patterns related to the returns of company assets and stocks on call.     

Index Volume XI – 1977

Abstract:

This essay adapts Commons’s model of the legal foundations of capitalism to the peculiar circumstances of the neoliberal era. So doing provides a lens for seeing the steady erosion of state capacity to protect the commonwealth, even in nations with hegemonic currency. Our focus here is on the links between the “triple crisis” of the 1980s and the subprime and foreclosure crisis of the 2000s. We show how Brady bonds, after being used to resolve the Latin American debt crisis in the 1980s, provided a governing contractual context for subprime lending, and as such constrained the capacity of the U.S. government to respond to a crisis that preyed on the vulnerable, undercut community life, and contracted the commonwealth.     

基于Wang两因素模型的台风巨灾债券定价研究

我国是世界上巨灾发生较频繁的国家之一,巨灾一旦发生将对我国产生巨大社会经济影响.因此,无论是从减轻国家财政负担还是从国内保险业发展考虑,我国都应该鼓励巨灾债券的发展.本文收集了1993年至2010年登陆我国台风的灾害数据,运用Wang两因素模型对其经验分布进行调整,从而得出一年期我国台风债券在各触发点时本金有保障型及本金无保障型的债券价格,以期对我国推出巨灾债券提供相应的理论支持.     

我国高收益债券信用评级问题的研究

从国外来看，信用评级对高收益债券的发展起到举足轻重的作用。我国高收益债券已经正式启动，但科学的信用评级体系还未建立。通过介绍国外高收益债券的评级方法，结合我国的实际情况，分析了建立科学的高收益债券信用评级方法所面临的困难，最后为我国高收益债券信用评级的发展提出相关建议，以促进我国高收益债券市场持续、快速、健康地发展。     

可转债双重属性对控制权利益影响的实证研究

控制权利益虽然在配股和增发中发挥着重要的作用,但本文研究发现,可转债债券属性的潜在约束和转换期权的不确定性对控制权利益起一定的抑制作用,控制权利益在上市公司可转债融资中不起主导作用。可转债债券属性对控制利益的潜在约束作用明显,我国可以适度发展可转债融资来抑制资本市场上较普遍的控制权利益。     

中国—东盟国家对外开放对金融发展的影响研究

由于国家（区域）间经济金融发展水平的差异,对外开放对金融发展的影响具有不确定性。利用1995—2013年中国—东盟10个样本国的面板数据进行实证分析,结果表明：贸易开放总体上有助于金融发展;金融开放会促进金融机构发展,但对股票市场发展、债券市场发展的影响不确定;银行集中度的下降能促进金融发展,经济增长显著促进金融发展,而制度质量对金融发展的影响存在不确定性。出现不确定性的原因不仅在于各国经济、金融发展水平差异较大,更在于其贸易开放与金融开放之间的不协调（结构不匹配）。因此,中国—东盟各国应积极推动贸易开放,适度金融开放并逐渐消减利益集团的阻挠,提高金融开放与贸易开放的协调性,并加强金融合作,以促进各国金融发展及区域金融协调发展。     

Does the Quality of Financial Advice Affect Prices?

Using a large data sample of 58,562 new municipal issues covering the period from 1984 to 2002, we examine whether the quality of advice provided by a financial advisor affects new issue interest costs. We find that higher‐quality financial advisors are associated with statistically significant decreases in new issue yields. The effect of advisor quality on yields is more pronounced for revenue, negotiated, and opaque bond issues than for general obligation and competitively sold issues. However, issuers of revenue or negotiated bonds are more likely to choose a low‐quality advisor.     

Risk Changes around Calls of Convertible Bonds

We examine changes in equity and asset betas around convertible bond calls and report two major findings. First, calling firms exhibit an increase in asset betas following the call. We argue that the finding is consistent with the implications of the sequential financing theory but not of the backdoor equity financing theory. Second, abnormal returns at call announcements are negative only for the subsample of firms that also exhibit an increase in equity beta. We conclude that risk changes help explain the market reaction to convertible bond calls.