生态文明建设下风、光发电生态效益模拟与评估——以甘肃省为例

在我国生态文明建设日益受到重视的背景下,文章对风、光发电的生态影响进行了整体、全面的研究。首先,构建了分析风电和光伏发电对生态系统影响的系统动力学(system dynamics,SD)模型,并提出一种改进的耦合协调度模型;然后,以甘肃省为例进行SD情景模拟;最后,评估了多政策情景下甘肃省生态系统耦合协调度。结果表明,风电技改增效和光伏发电技改增效更有利于整个生态系统的发展。通过理论分析论证了甘肃省现行风、光发电政策的科学性,并为进一步发展风、光发电从而促进生态文明建设提出建议。     

What do we know about audit quality?

This paper reviews empirical research over the past 25 years, mainly from the United States, in order to assess what we currently know about audit quality with respect to publicly listed companies. The evidence indicates that outright audit failure rates are infrequent, far less than 1% annually, and audit fees are quite small, less than 0.1% of aggregate client sales. This suggests there may be an acceptable level of audit quality at a relatively low cost. There is also evidence of voluntary differential audit quality (above the legal minimum) along a number of dimensions such as firm size, industry specialization, office characteristics, and cross-country differences in legal systems and auditor liability exposure. The evidence is very positive although there is some indication that audit quality may have declined in the 1990s, in which case there could be merit in recent reforms such as the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 in the US. However, we do not know from research the optimal level of audit quality and therefore whether we currently have ‘too little’ or ‘too much’ auditing? Despite this lacuna we are entering an era of more mandated auditing in response to high-profile corporate governance failures including the Enron–Andersen affair. Finally, while recent reforms have scaled back the scope of non-audit services due to independence concerns, a case can be made that audit quality will always be somewhat suspect if other services are provided that are perceived to potentially compromise the auditor's objectivity and skepticism. For this reason public confidence in audit quality may be increased by proscribing all non-audit services for audit clients. Recommendations are also proposed with respect to legal liability reform and changes in partner compensation arrangements.     

浅析契约协调下的供应链利润分配方法

利润分配是供应链管理中的一个重要问题。文章通过分析协约协调条件下的供应链特点,总结契约协调下的供应链利润分配的思路和坚持的原则,最后概括了契约协调下供应链利润分配的简单模型。以期给供应链的合作企业提供合理利润分配方法的建议。     

钢铁厂行车上电子秤传感器安装的改进及其设计与计算

文章针对钢铁厂和铸造厂吊运钢（铁）水的起重机（行车）上的电子秤存在容易失灵的问题进行了实地观察分析,并提出了切实有效的改进措施。     

小蜂窝网络中基于速度估计的切换触发时间选择方案

在用户对系统带宽以及传输速率要求越来越严格的当下,小蜂窝技术成为解决室内和热点场景覆盖和容量问题的有效途径。为了缓解小蜂窝中切换失败率和乒乓切换率之间的矛盾,首先建立了小蜂窝网络场景下的切换模型,通过采用参考信号接收功率方案对用户终端（UE）的移动轨迹进行跟踪而达到速度估计的目的;之后,推导分析了该模型中切换失败概率、乒乓切换概率与切换触发时间、UE速度的关系;最后,采用遍历算法对切换触发时间进行优化选择。仿真结果表明,所提方案能够将切换失败概率降低到接近于零,同时将乒乓切换率降低了10%,很好地缓解了两者之间的矛盾,更适合于对乒乓切换敏感的高速移动UE。     

The Coordination Role of Stress Tests in Bank Risk‐Taking

We examine whether stress tests distort banks' risk‐taking decisions. We study a model in which a regulator may choose to rescue banks in the event of concurrent bank failures. Our analysis reveals a novel coordination role of stress tests. Disclosure of stress‐test results informs banks of the failure likelihood of other banks, which can reduce welfare by facilitating banks' coordination in risk‐taking. However, conducting stress tests also enables the regulator to more effectively intervene banks, coordinating them preemptively into taking lower risks. We find that, if the regulator has a strong incentive to bail out, stress tests improve welfare, whereas if the regulator's incentive to bail out is weak, stress tests impair welfare.     

我国金融机构的组织规模、空间分布与效率改进

金融机构的组织规模和网点分布密切相关,规模扩张通常意味着分支机构网点的空间扩张.金融业是关系密集型行业,关系在不同的金融产品和服务中的重要性是不一样的,其经营的经济规模也是不一样的.个人保险类金融产品关系性最低,其经营也最接近普通消费品的营销原则;公司类产品最具有关系性,其经营最依赖于银企双方的关系.金融产品和服务中关系型的经济规模较小,非关系型的经济规模较大.金融机构经营领域是不同关系类型的金融产品和服务的业务集合,这很容易使金融机构过度膨胀.通过机构专业化、组织集团化和配送一体化可以改变这一特征并提高金融机构运营效率.     

Orchestrating corporate social responsibility in the multinational enterprise

Research Summary: Multinational enterprises (MNEs) invest significant resources in corporate social responsibility (CSR), but their attempts to build a global “social brand” may clash with the execution of operational strategies at a subsidiary level. Using a game-theoretic model, this research addresses the complex interplay of different contingencies that shape the coordination and control challenges facing MNEs when they implement global CSR strategies, including brand spillovers, the risk of public scandals caused by irresponsible behavior, the size of the MNE network, as well as the roles played by nongovernmental organizations and altruistic managers. Challenging the view of CSR as insurance against lapses of responsible conduct, our model shows that investment in social brands helps avoid irresponsible practices across the MNE network, thereby inducing subsidiaries to “walk the talk.” Managerial Summary: Global social brands are increasingly valuable to multinational enterprises (MNEs), which makes the control and coordination of responsible behavior across their network of foreign subsidiaries a relevant managerial challenge. Indeed, lapses of responsible conduct at the subsidiary level often generate reputational damage at the multinational level. This research explores several mechanisms that help MNEs manage this coordination and control challenge. First, it shows under what conditions MNEs can leverage their investments in social brands to induce responsible practices across their global network. Second, it illustrates how MNEs can exploit collaborations with nongovernmental organizations to reduce the costs of coordinating and controlling their subsidiaries. Finally, it identifies conditions under which MNEs benefit from hiring altruistic managers to run their subsidiaries.     

供应链管理中的协调机制设计

本文首先指出协调问题是供应链管理中的核心问题,阐述了协调机制的理论背景,基于博弈论和机制设计理论给出了协调机制的形式化描述,在此基础上提出协调机制设计的思路和方法,并指出委托代理理论是协调机制设计中的一个重要理论工具。     

VaR准确性检验的贝叶斯方法

文章对VaR准确性检验的失败检验法进行了分析,提出了一种新的失败检验法,即贝叶斯检验法。并与传统的正态近似法和Kupiec检验法进行了比较,说明了贝叶斯检验法的合理之处。