俄罗斯国防工业技术“寓军于民”金融支持实践

俄罗斯大力推行国防科技工业企业一体化,并在许多领域,特别是在电子技术和信息技术领域都采取了许多有效的措施。同时国家政策倾向于对国防工业进行各种形式融资支持,其实践经验对中国有所启示。     

科技进步与保险公司发展关系的实证研究

运用Granger因果检验及脉冲响应函数在样本期(1995-2009年)内对科技进步与保险公司发展之间的相关关系进行实证分析,其结果显示:科技进步对保险公司发展的冲击作用波动较大,并在不同时期表现出正负相反的冲击效果,长期波动趋于平稳,表明科技进步对保险公司发展有较为明显的影响,但随着科技的进一步发展,其对保险公司发展的影响将趋于平稳;保险公司发展对科技进步的冲击波动性较大,表明保险公司的发展能够为科技进步分散风险,进一步支持科技进步的发展.     

恐惧控制理论综述

本文对恐惧控制理论(Terror Management Theory,TMT)进行系统地述评与展望.论文从恐惧控制理论的溯源,引述到可能采取的三种防御机制--世界观防御、自尊防御与归属感防御,并对这三者之间的逻辑关系进行梳理.接下来解析防御的认知加工过程,即防御的双重加工模型.最后综述了恐惧控制理论在社会各个的各个领域的应用、不足及展望,尤其是基于中国文化的研究基础.     

论物保与人保并存纠纷中债权实现之顺位——以近五年来类案实证研究为基础

当前,物保与人保并存纠纷不断涌现，相关裁判时常冲突，引发社会关注。围绕当前物保与人保并存纠纷债权实现条款模式、关于物保与人保并存债权实现顺位之理解、债权人是否放弃物保之认定等相关问题，对近五年来最为主要的类案进行实证分析与比较研究可见，处理物保与人保并存纠纷，应当根据物保相对优先的精神，对保证人是否就放弃物保优先抗辩权重点作出判断，据此就物保与人保提供者的责任顺位作出正确裁决。     

New evidence on the historical growth of government in Europe: The role of labor costs

We document a robust positive correlation between the size of government and the labor share of income in data from European countries covering the period 1869–1975. Following Facchini et al. (2017), we interpret this correlation as evidence that labor costs drive public spending. The long-term increase in the labor share observed over this period explains half of the overall growth of central government. The relationship holds when the labor share is instrumented with movements in technological change at the frontier. When decomposing public spending, transfers, not intensive in labor, are the only component not associated with the labor share.     

The making of public investments: The role of champions,co-ordination,and characteristics of nutrition programmes in Mozambique

This study examines governance and institutional factors that influence how public resources are allocated for nutrition interventions in the context of a developing country—Mozambique—with very high rates of malnutrition. Based on qualitative empirical analysis building on a political economy framework, we explore the importance of two agent-centred and two investment-centred factors that determine how decisions on budget allocation to nutrition are made. The analysis finds that public decisionmakers strongly favour highly visible nutrition investments and those with a short duration between the time that spending is incurred and outcomes or outputs are achieved. Co-ordination has been quite successful among donors, and mainly of a spatial nature. Co-ordination is significantly weaker among government agencies, given the absence of fiscal tools of the co-ordinating agency, and its placement in a sector ministry rather than at a supra-sectoral level. Champions as change agents have had a truly influential role in attracting more funding to nutrition and improving its allocation. But their influence is also fleeting and difficult to sustain.     

分析网络服务器木马入侵与防御技术

笔者从木马的概念入手,通过对网络木马入侵防御技术的分类,系统分析了网络服务器木马的入侵与防御技术。     

Local fiscal multipliers and spillover effects: Evidence from Philippine regions

Fiscal policy in developed countries has been a rich topic since the Great Recession. However, research has remained limited for developing countries despite their similar use of fiscal policy and concerns about the efficiency of public spending. To help address this research gap, this paper provides a case study of multiplier effects of local government spending in regions in the Philippines as well as spillover effects of local government spending across regions. An instrumental variable based on the country’s intergovernmental transfer system is used to identify regional public spending in panel regressions. The local fiscal multiplier is estimated to be above one, where a 1-peso rise in spending by local government units in a region corresponds to a 1.2-peso rise in regional output. Multiplier effects are highest for capital expenditures and appear to be primarily driven by the services sector. Spillover effects are comparatively large, at around 1.8–2.0, highlighting the important role of domestic trade when stimulating regional economic activity.     

Public and private healthcare services: What drives the choice?

This paper has explored patients' propensity to consume private healthcare services. We based our analysis on the typical tangible and intangible (for instance, responsiveness, reliability, assurance and staff empathy) domains of the SERVQUAL and SERVPERF methods. These variables may influence patients' decision-making when they choose between the public and private sectors. We combined factor analysis (to obtain a set of latent factors related to perceived quality) and a partial proportional ordered logit model to estimate the probability that a patient would access private healthcare services. To test the main hypotheses, we used data from a stratified sample in Sardinia, a peripheral region of Italy. Findings revealed that private and public healthcare are substitutes, especially for primary/specialised services. Patients who used public healthcare frequently and had a low income were unlikely to change to private healthcare or to recommend private services. ‘Responsiveness’ and perceptions on ‘tangibles’ were key in determining the probability that a patient would choose and recommend private services. This paper offers a multifaceted framework that can be used in future research to generalise these findings, especially in insular regions that are constrained by mobility.     

加强人防工程安全管理工作的探讨

国防工程发展建设至今,基本已经趋于健全,其包含万千,由众多部分组成。在国防工程的众多组成部分之中,对于城市以及民众具备有重要意义的人防工程就不可不提,其存在是将深埋地下的空间与资源进行最大化发掘及利用,从而做到与其他国防工程组成部分契合,实现立体化国防工程的建设发展。人防工程虽然不显于人前,但其重要性却无人可以忽略,其对于城市建设发展、民众生命利益保障奠定着坚实基础。