中国产业发展环境的变化及其影响

进入“十二五”以来,中国产业发展环境出现若干重大标志性变化,突出地表现为城镇人口超过农村人口,城镇化对产业需求和产业布局的影响日益广泛而深刻;人口老龄化提速、劳动年龄人口数量和占比下降,对产业需求和产业成本（结构）的影响出现重大变化;投资和消费对经济增长的贡献出现转折性变化,培育产业发展新动力、拓展产业发展新空间的重要性迅速凸显;国际形势对中国产业发展的影响日趋复杂严峻,推进产业迈向中高端水平、培育对外经济新优势日趋紧迫。“十三五”期间,科学研判这些变化,有利于积极适应把握引领经济发展新常态。     

A Natural Resource Scarcity Typology: Theoretical Foundations and Strategic Implications for Supply Chain Management

World population growth and increased consumption stemming from economic leveling are leading to scarcity of a number of natural resources on a global scale. Scarcity of critical natural resources such as oil, water, food, and precious metals has the potential to greatly impact commercial activity as the twenty‐first century progresses. The challenge of continuing to provide needed goods and services in the face of these constraints falls to supply chain managers, who are ultimately responsible for delivering utility to customers. Unfortunately, there has been almost no research focused on supply chain strategies aimed at mitigating natural resource scarcity’s (NRS) potential effects. The current research positions NRS as a supply chain risk and proposes an NRS typology based on key resource attributes. Supply chain mitigation strategies to counter each resource status are offered, with an overall objective of improving supply chain performance. The study recommends future research aimed at further developing theory and methods for countering NRS based on resource, systems and behavioral theories. In addition, this study has critical implications for practitioners faced with the growing threat of NRS in their supply chains.     

Safety at play: let's all help to prevent drowning

The association between place of residence, population density, relief and type of event (collision or non-collision of the vehicle) has not been evaluated in developing countries. The main objective of this study is to determine the differential factors associated with the occurrence of deaths of collision and non-collision automobile users in Patagonia, Argentina. A multiple logistic regression analysis was performed using as the dependent variable death by car accident (collision or non-collision of the vehicle) and sex, age, place of residence of the victim, relief and population density as the independent variables. Collision fatalities were related to areas of high population density, while non-collision fatalities were related to areas of low population density, mountainous landscape and place of residence of the victims outside the Patagonian region. The results obtained in this study indicate the need to develop differential primary prevention policies by place of residence of car occupants, focusing on Patagonia non-resident drivers and by emphasising non-collision accidents.     

适度人口的三维动态建构

对适度人口作了全方位的阐明，分别包括三级内容（人口数量、人口质量和人口结构）、三个方向（人口与经济、人口与生态和人口与社会）和三个阶段（生存型、发展型和享受型人口），确定适度人口的方法，应是动态、优化和和逆向的综合过程。     

天津滨海新区房地产业发展和住房保障体系研究

住房是人的基本权利，各国政府均十分关注。住房保障是市场经济必不可少的补充，是房地产发展的重要组成部分。滨海新区人口规模的扩大、经济的高速发展对住宅需求持续增加。然而，滨海新区在房地产市场发展过程中也暴露出一些问题。本文研究了滨海新区房地产业和住房保障体系的经济背景和社会背景，剖析了深圳和浦东新区以及英国、日本、新加坡和我国香港地区的住宅经验。通过比较分析，提出完善滨海新区房地产业和住房保障体系的具体措施。     

我国大城市80后生育观的调查研究——基于杭州市的数据

调整人口政策,平衡人口结构对于现阶段全面做好人口工作具有十分重要的意义。文章首先简要的对生育观文献进行了述评,进而在此基础上运用问卷调查的方法分析了杭州市80后的生育观现象,主要表现为杭州市80后都有生儿育女的观念、孩子的数量为一至两个、女性偏好略大于男性、生育的动机主要为满足亲子感情及家庭完整等高层次的精神需要、晚婚晚育普遍等方面。最后上升到更宏观的角度,从整个国家的视角为我国经济发达的大城市的生育政策调整提出政策建议,主要有继续坚持实行计划生育基本国策不动摇;从人们的经济条件和生活质量方面影响人们的生育行为;鼓励大城市推行适度的"开放二胎"政策;完善并加大对计划生育家庭的扶助制度,以期能为政府相关部门建言献策。     

武汉市人口空间分布变化研究

在分析武汉市人口增长与空间分布的基础上 ,研究在市区总人口持续增加的情况下 ,城市内部不同地区人口增长与变化的规律     

新疆人口城市化问题研究

运用人口普查资料及其它人口统计数据 ,分析新疆城镇人口过去 50年的变化 ,探究新疆人口城镇化过程的特征和成因 ,并运用数学模型预测未来新疆城镇人口及人口城镇化水平。提出新疆城镇体系发展战略构想及对策     

性别与环境:研究环境问题的新视角

之所以把性别问题与环境问题纳入统一的研究框架 ,是因为 :社会分工的性别角色差异决定了在对资源环境的依存度上存在着显著的性别差异 ;获取资源的方式、数量和获得资源的结构决定了性别角色对环境的作用力存在显著差异 ;对资源控制方式的性别差异决定了对环境的破坏度存在着显著的性别差异 ,因而也决定了保护环境和实现可持续发展需要不同战略 ;性别角色所分享的由环境质量退化导致的环境负担、环境风险、生存风险等不同 ,决定了妇女在面对环境恶化时往往成为最容易受到伤害和最脆弱的人口群体。因此 ,研究性别分析视角的形成 ,探讨性别的人口统计模式与性别问题、性别与环境之间的关联性 ,总结性别与环境的研究方法和内容 ,具有重要的理论意义。     

统计推断中的Fuzzy信息

本文以一个正态总体均值的假设检验为例,说明统计推断中一般存在有 Fuzzy 信息,并揭示了 Fuzzy 信息的作用。首次指出了对统计推断结果进行Fuzzy 信息分析的必要性。