Dissecting Foreign Bank Lending Behavior During the 2008–2009 Crisis

This paper analyzes the lending behavior of foreign‐owned banks during the recent global crisis. Using bank‐level panel data for 51 countries, the paper explores the role of affiliate and parent financial characteristics, host location, as well as the impact of parent geographic origin and reach on foreign banks’ credit growth. Overall, the analysis finds robust evidence that foreign banks curtailed the growth of credit relative to other banks, independent of the host region in which they operate. Banks from the United States reduced loan growth less than other parent banks. Neither the global nor regional reach of parent banks influenced the lending growth of foreign affiliates. Parent capitalization and not parent funding explained the behavior of foreign bank credit growth during the global crisis. However, funding did affect the lending behavior of domestic and foreign banks in host countries, with those relying more heavily on deposits suffering a smaller decline in bank lending. Although not the focus of the paper, we also find that government‐owned banks played a countercyclical role in all regions.     

Effect of Foreign Shareholdings and Originating Countries on Banking Sector Efficiency

We analyze how foreign shareholdings affect the ASEAN-5’s banking sector efficiency using stochastic frontier analysis. Unlike most extant studies, which compare the performance of local and foreign banks, we assess how foreign shareholdings affect bank efficiencies. We also apply resource-based theory to analyze whether the foreign shareholdings’ countries of origin matter. We find that foreign shareholders from more developed countries enhance the bank’s resource base. Those from Asia have the greatest effect, perhaps because of their proximity and familiarity. Moreover, excessive regulation stifles the host countries’ profit efficiency potential. Finally, foreign shareholding concentration potentially enhances efficiencies by reducing agency costs.     

外资并购对目标企业生产率的提升效应研究

利用我国A股上市公司2004-2010年的数据,使用基于DEA的Malmquist指数,考量外资并购对目标企业全要素生产率的影响,结果发现：外资并购有助于提高我国目标企业的全要素生产率,提升效应主要来自于对技术进步的推动;主并方来自于亚洲的并购比来自于欧美的并购对我国目标企业生产率的提升作用更好。相对于非国有企业,外资并购对国有企业生产率的提升效应更强。     

外商直接投资、政府支出对中国技术进步效应的经验分析

本文将外商直接投资和政府支出结合起来,主要通过建立时变参数模型,利用我国2000～2014 年的数据,对比分析外商直接投资、政府支出对我国技术进步的影响。根据分析结果提出对 策建议,加快我国技术进步的速度必须依靠政府的力量,增加教育投入,调整政府科技投入 结构和加强对科技资金的管理以及提高利用外商直接投资的质量。     

践行新保守主义的美国新智库：外交政策创议

新保守主义是影响当代美国外交的一股重要力量,它依据＂美国例外论＂而鼓噪美国积极介入世界事务,建立美国的全球领导权。在借助智库＂新美国世纪计划＂而推动小布什政府发动伊拉克战争以后,新保守主义不甘寂寞,于2009年又创立了智库＂外交政策创议＂,积极开展各种活动,争取国会共和党议员的支持,培训和拉拢国家安全领域的青年精英,试图再次左右美国的外交决策。     

How would Capital Account Liberalization Affect China＇s Capital Flows and the Renminbi Real Exchange Rates？

In this paper we study the determinants of gross capital flows, project the size of China's international investment position in 2020, and analyze the implications for the renminbi real exchange rate if China liberalizes the capital account. We assume in this exercise that the renminbi will have largely achieved capital account convertibility by the end of the current decade, a timetable consistent with recent proposals by the People's Bank of China. Our analysis shows that if the capital account were liberalized, China's gross international investment position would grow significantly, and inflows and outflows would become much more balanced. The private sector would turn its net liability position into a balanced position, and the official sector would reduce its net asset position significantly, relative to the country's GDP. Because of the increasing importance of private sector foreign claims and the decreasing importance of official foreign reserves, China would be able to earn higher net investment income from abroad. Overall, China would continue to be a net creditor, with the net foreign asset position as a share of GDP remaining largely stable through this decade. These findings suggest that the renminbi real exchange rate would not be particularly sensitive to capital account liberalization as capital flows are expected to be two‐sided. The renminbi real exchange rate would likely be on a path of moderate appreciation as China is expected to maintain a sizeable growth differential with its trading partners.     

从外贸业务实践需求研究专业外语训练方式

上世纪90年代起,全国各地许多高等院校纷纷开展国际贸易专业,但培养出来的人才特色与针对性不够明显。外贸企业抱怨国际经贸人才数量之少,同时,国际经济与贸易专业日益增加且逐渐成为就业高危专业。是什么造成现今尴尬的局面,致使外贸业务的实践需求与教学目标不相吻合结合调查,本文对当前我国高校国际贸易专业的外语教学中存在的一些问题进行了较深入的分析,对如何改进这些问题和提高人才培养质量提出了粗浅的建议。     

外汇管理局监管新政对商业银行的影响及对策探析

2013年5月,国家外汇管理局为了应对外汇储备迅速增长的压力,防范外汇收支风险,出台了加强外汇资金流入的四项管理措施。本文分析了外汇局新政对商业银行的影响,认为新政的推出会降低外汇存、贷款规模,增大银行外汇敞口规模和汇率风险,同时会造成境内对公外汇存贷款利率上升。在此基础上,本文提出了商业银行应对外汇局监管新政的具体对策。