FDI对区域经济增长、就业影响研究——基于丝绸之路经济带我国西北段省区

本文基于丝绸之路经济带我国西北段区域1985～2014年的时间序列数据,采用VAR模型分析FDI 、经济增长与就业三者之间的动态关系。结果表明：FDI是经济增长和就业的格兰杰原因, 但经济增长不是FDI的格兰杰原因;FDI对经济增长有明显的促进作用,对就业的促进作用不 明显,经济增长未明显带动FDI流入。丝绸之路经济带我国西北段区域应牢牢抓住“丝绸之 路经济带”战略机遇,因地制宜地制定符合科学发展的引资策略,优化投资环境以吸引跨国 公司进驻该区域,并鼓励企业加大对研发、设计等价值链高端的投资。     

古诺纳什均衡下商品出口与绕过反倾销的FDI比较研究

该文章运用微观经济学、博弈论等理论和方法探讨了在国内外企业处于完全信息且同时决策（即古诺纳什博弈）的假设条件下,面对进口国政府的反倾销国外企业对商品出口或对外直接投资决策如何抉择问题;建立了绕过反倾销的可能引起对外直接投资的最小反倾销税率模型;得出了该反倾销税率与国外企业在国内外生产产品的单位边际成本及进口国市场所用收入税率有关以及进口国政府不能确定过高的反倾销税率等结论,并以彩电行业进行案例分析。     

Bridging Africa’s income inequality gap: How relevant is China’s outward FDI to Africa?

This study examines whether: (i) the remarkable inflow of Chinese FDI to Africa matters for bridging the continent’s marked income inequality gap, (ii) Africa’s institutional fabric is effective in propelling Chinese FDI towards the equalisation of incomes in Africa and (iii) there exist relevant thresholds required for the various governance dynamics to cause Chinese FDI to equalise incomes in Africa. Our results, which are based on the dynamic GMM estimator and macrodata for 48 African countries, reveal the following. First, although Chinese FDI contributes to fairer income distribution in Africa, the effect is weak. Second, although Africa’s institutional fabric matters for propelling Chinese FDI towards the equalisation of incomes across the continent, governance mechanisms for ensuring political stability, low corruption, and voice and accountability are critical. Finally, the critical masses required for these three key governance dynamics to cause Chinese FDI and other income inequality-reducing modules to reduce income inequality are 0.8, 0.5 and 0.1, respectively. These critical masses are thresholds at which governance is necessary but no longer sufficient to complement Chinese FDI to mitigate income inequality. Hence, at the attendant thresholds, complementary policies are worthwhile. Policy recommendations are provided in the conclusion.     

FDI与对外贸易互动发展的实证分析——以江苏省为例

进入21世纪以来,经济全球化的投资和贸易互动给世界贸易带来了巨大的推动力。以江苏省为例,分析了FDI与对外贸易的情况,构建了进出口贸易与外商直接投资的回归模型,在此基础上提出了促进江苏FDI与对外贸易互动发展的对策建议。     

FDI与中国汽车业集中度实证研究:基于灰色关联分析

文章采用灰色关联分析的方法,对FDI与中国汽车业集中度的关系做了实证分析,结果表明二者呈较高的灰色关联度。这意味着伴随FDI的增多,汽车产业集中度呈上升趋势。然而,与汽车进口量、国内市场需求量、汽车整车厂数量这几个指标相比,FDI并不是影响产业集中度的主要因素,这种结果与政府的产业政策导向有关。最后,本文对如何利用FDI促进中国汽车业的发展提出政策建议。     

FDI对我国中部地区技术进步影响的实证研究

梳理了中部地区吸收利用FDI的现状和特征,计算出了中部的TFP(全要素生产率),并以此作为技术进步的衡量指标,构建VAR模型对FDI和TFP的相关性进行实证分析.结果表明,短期内FDI对中部地区的技术进步有一定的促进作用,但长期来看促进作用并不十分显著.中部地区在吸收利用FDI过程中要引导技术引进,加强自主创新;创造公平环境,扶持本土企业;鼓励中外合资,强化技术合作.     

FDI performance: a stochastic frontier analysis of location and variance determinants

The opening up process of the eastern European countries was marked by greater integration of FDI with their western neighbouring countries. Using the single-step ML approach to stochastic frontier analysis, the location and variance determinants of FDI are estimated using the knowledge capital (KK) model framework. The findings, based on a panel of bilateral FDI stocks from 10 western to 10 eastern European countries over the 1996–2007 period, suggest FDI is determined by both horizontal and vertical motives while the process of liberalization and infrastructural developments significantly reduces the variance of FDI. In using a stochastic frontier specification of the KK model, the efficiency of FDI performance is identified relative to maximum levels. The bilateral efficiency scores suggest a mixed performance, indicating scope to improve the efficiency of FDI.     

Does R&D,human capital and FDI matter for TFP in OECD countries?

ABSTRACT

This study investigates the interplay between research and development (R&D), human capital (HC), foreign direct investment (FDI) and total factor productivity (TFP) in OECD countries. We divide the sample into two sub-groups; the European and the non-European states so as to account for underlying country heterogeneity. The analysis follows a panel data approach over the period 1995–2015, taking into account the modelling on non-stationarity, long-run relationships and short-run dynamics with a panel VAR. Both R&D and HC have a positive effect on TFP, whilst FDI has a positive and significant effect only in the case of non-European countries. Moreover, the contribution of R&D is higher than that of HC and FDI in all cases. Thus, based on these findings, policymakers should design and implement policies to increase resources invested in R&D, with a consistent ongoing spending review, to attract foreign direct investment, especially for the majority of the European and some of the non-European countries and to improve education system on a more productive innovation and research base.     

河北省经济增长与FDI的实证研究

以FDI对河北省经济增长的影响为研究对象,基于历史数据资料就FDI与河北省GDP增长之间的关系作了经济计量分析。构建短期模型用于考虑FDI的需求拉动作用,长期模型用于分析FDI对河北经济增长的长期供给效应。由此来探索FDI对河北省经济增长的贡献情况,最后提出了政策建议。