回首走过的坚实足迹——-萧红作品赏析

萧红作品中绝大多数篇章是写自己的回忆,回忆美丽的呼兰河,回忆自己挚爱的亲人,回忆记忆中痛苦得如草芥一般活着的乡亲.她的回忆是悲伤的,痛苦的,但坚强的萧红勇敢地将回忆转化为文字.她的文字在带给千千万万的读者力量的同时也使她自己获得了力量.     

道家的主体性思想初探

随着科学技术的飞速发展和现代化进程的日益加快,人的主体性问题遇到了前所未有的质疑和挑战,人到底应当高扬主体性还是消解主体性?主体性能够消解吗?本文探讨了道家的主体性思想并分析了这一思想的缺陷及现实意义。     

Exchange Rate Regime and Demand for Reserves: Evidence from Kenya,Mexico and Philippines

This paper empirically investigates the demand for international reserves (and foreign exchange reserves) during fixed and floating exchange rates periods in three developing countries: Kenya, Mexico and Philippines. Based on theoretical models, three factors are identified as important for the demand of international reserves and foreign reserves: average propensity to import, volume of imports and variability of reserves. The paper employs the cointegration methodology and error correction method to investigate the relationships. Cointegration tests results indicate a reliable long-run stationary relationship between the international reserves (and foreign exchange reserves) and the stated explanatory variables across countries and sub-periods of fixed and clean float. The error correction results indicate causality from the explanatory variables to the reserves during both the short and long run. This is true during both the fixed and the floating periods.

论中国智库产业与国际接轨的挑战

现代意义的智库是一种以政策研究为核心的非营利性社会机构,有一定的社会公共属性,且与是否官办机构无关。在当今快速变化的世界中,智库具有前瞻性的科学决策方案,可为一个国家、社会、民族发展提供决策储备,实现与国际接轨的科学化功能系统。中国下一阶段的改革,需要智库产业独立性的涵养与真正确立。     

Involuntary excess reserve and bankers’ remuneration: evidence from Chinese banks

This article analyses the effects of involuntary excess reserves (IER) on bankers’ remuneration and the penalty associated with bank risk-taking if discovered. The study finds that IER help conceal tail risks, improves bankers’ performance and remuneration. However, the risks once discovered result in heavy penalties on bankers’ remuneration. The study extends the agency theory to the context where banks hold large IER.     

商业银行流动性过剩问题的再认识

最近,学术界对商业银行流动性问题议论颇多,议论的焦点是银行的流动性过剩及由此引发的种种后果.本文基于既往研究中值得深思的四个问题,从商业银行超额储备构成出发对流动性过剩的内涵、判断标准及影响因素进行界定,以商业银行保持流动性成因的微观视角管窥我国商业银行流动性过剩问题.在此基础上,本文认为商业银行流动性过剩问题的解决与资本市场的发展并无必然的直接联系,并针对流动性过剩问题的不同形成原因提出了相应的几点看法.     

The new exchange rate policy in the Asian emerging economies – goodbye trouble,hello comfort?

In this paper, we discuss new aspects of exchange rate policy that can be observed in the Asian emerging economies. In the first place, we show the alternative regimes they may choose and their respective pros and cons. Secondly, we concentrate on the recent strategy of systematic undervaluation of one's currency – figuring prominently among ‘big’ Asian players such as China and India – and the most likely implications of such a strategy for domestic allocation, distribution and stabilization goals. With the background of Germany's experiences in 1969, almost on the eve of the Bretton Woods' system collapse, we model a speculative attack on an undervalued currency in the vein of the Flood–Garber seminal paper from 1984. Now, however, the country in concern (just like India and China) possesses strong rather than weak fundamentals. The continuous accumulation of international reserves, in addition, leads to the question of an ‘optimal management’ of foreign exchange reserves in Asian emerging economies with regard to size and composition. We finally propose a sequence of reforms/policies that should be implemented in those Asian emerging economies on their still long journey to a regime featured by autonomous monetary policy, flexible exchange rate and capital mobility. A brief summary and an outlook for future research close the paper.     

探索云南生态省建设与生物资源开发

云南气候类型复杂多样,多样化的气候孕育了种类繁多的生物种群。在这个“生物资源王国”和“生物基因宝库”建设生态省,根本目的就是要通过这样一个载体把自然和人力资源整合在一起,将生态产业开发、生态人居和生态文化建设结合起来,积极促进经济、社会与环境之间的协调发展,统筹规划,并逐步走上生产发展、生活富裕和生态良好的文明发展道路,实现可持续发展。     

中央银行票据:终将消逝的政策工具

本文对我国2002年以来发行中央银行票据的背景和调控原理进行了分析.从我国货币政策和汇率政策协调的角度看,中央银行票据的发行是这两大政策冲突的表现,是货币当局试图同时实现人民币内外币值稳定的无奈之举.作者解释了中央银行票据无力承担主流政策工具的理由,并认为国债在未来将最终代替中央银行票据成为货币当局操作的主要政策工具.     

中国古代的和谐思想与构建和谐社会

中国传统文化源远流长、博大精深,其中有关"和谐"的思想非常丰富,如保合太和,以和为贵,天人合一,致虚静、道中庸,等等.这些思想既是中国传统文化的精髓和被认同的人文精神,又是今天我们实现社会和谐,构建和谐社会的重要思想资源.本文主要是从人总是生活于人与社会、人与人、人与自然、人与自身的四维空间之中,以及目前我国在现代化建设方面遇到的种种挑战的角度来梳理、审视中国古代和谐思想的,这无疑具有一定的历史和现实意义.