适度宽松的货币政策下中小物流企业融资问题的思考

随着我国经济的发展,物流业进入了一个高速增长的阶段,而这一行业以中小企业居多,和其他中小企业一样,资金的短缺严重制约了它们的发展。探索如何在适度宽松的货币政策下解决中小物流企业融资问题,推动我国中小物流企业快速健康发展具有现实的意义。     

当前我国公债政策方向选择

金融危机已经对中国经济以及全球经济的发展造成了极大负面影响。扩内需、保增长已成为当前我国经济的主导方针。作为宏观调控重要手段的公债政策,对促进经济增长有着非常重要的理论和实践意义。本文分析了公债政策对我国经济的影响,提出了对公债政策、公债规模选择和投资方向选择等方面的一些建议。     

中国改革开放三十年的四点反思

纪念改革开放三十年,我们最需要做的是反思。值得反思的地方很多,本文试从改革的过程与成就、改革的形势与问题、改革的任务与重点及深化改革的动力与阻力来自何方等方面进行初步的反思。     

Autonomy and Effectiveness of Chinese Monetary Policy under the De Facto Fixed Exchange Rate System

This paper uses monthly data to examine the autonomy and effectiveness of monetary policy in China under the de facto fixed exchange rate arrangement in place from 1998 to 2005. The results obtained from Granger causality tests in a vector autoregression framework indicate that： （i） China actually conducted independent monetary policy during the fixed exchange rate period; and （ii） market-oriented policy measures are impotent in influencing real output and prices. The framework of the investigation into the autonomy of monetary policy adapts to the Chinese economic condition that primary loan and deposit rates are set by the central bank. Based on the empirical results, the present paper provides alternative strategies to improve the effectiveness of monetary policy in China, including developing the financial system and solidifying microeconomic fundamentals instead of forcing the adaptation of a more flexible exchange rate regime.     

高职教育服务地方经济的政策支持研究

经济要发展教育必须先行。办好高职教育是为地区经济发展培养人才最有效的途径。大力发展高等职业教育应得到政府和社会的广泛重视和重点支持。要使高职院校人才培养健康有序地发展,更好地为地区经济发展服务,必须以改革的思路去办职业教育。     

A New Data Set on Monetary Policy: The Economic Forecasts of Individual Members of the FOMC

This paper describes a new data set of the forecasts of output growth, inflation, and unemployment prepared by individual members of the Federal Open Market Committee. The paper discusses the scope of the data set, possibilities for extending it, and some potential uses. It offers a preliminary examination of some of the cross‐sectional features of the data.     

The Political Economy of Policy Vacuums: The European Commission on Demographic Change

ABSTRACT

Supranational organisations can only confront politico-economic issues that are recognised as important. Typically, issues gain recognition either when they provide an external shock to the system, shaking political actors into action, or when they are framed as important in policy networks concerned with developing the appropriate scientific approach. Ideally political and scientific actors align in creating pressures to recognise the issue as salient and to mobilise organisational responses. Issues differ in their capacity to be driven by both political and scientific pressures, creating crisis management, technocratic, and reform agenda outcomes. Here we explore a further variation, where pressures around an issue are insufficient, creating a policy vacuum. We examine one such policy vacuum in Europe: demographic change. This issue belongs to no particular Directorate-General in the European Commission, but is subject to policy frames from DG EMPL and DG ECFIN. Without sufficient political and scientific pressures, no particular policy position is occupied and advocated despite recognition of the issue’s importance. We discuss the role of policy vacuums and the need for their identification in political economy research.     

央行货币政策使用的工具及其在我国的具体运用

2007年,经济“过热”,物价涨幅“过快”,通货膨胀“压力”等字眼频频见报,中央银行采取什么措施应对成为大家关注的焦点。从2007年初至今,中国人民银行已经多次调整了存款准备金率,多次上调人民币存贷款基准利率,这些都是为了控制经济过热。最明显的“过热”,恐怕是2007年大盘指数上扬步伐,在第四次加息声刚落,上证指数就轻松地突破5000点。人们一方面对股市充满了信心,经中报调整后的动态市盈率仍然高于国际平均水平的2倍。男一方面人们的信心改变不了殷价高悬、风险增大酌事实．     

资本外逃的经济效应与应对政策选择研究

资本外逃是一个复杂的经济问题,是由多种原因造成的,并会给一国经济发展带来不可估量的风险和损失。基于此,论文梳理了资本外逃的研究现状,提出了资本外逃所产生的经济效应,在此基础上,提出了资本外逃的政策选择,为一国在治理资本外逃时提供了政策选择和借鉴。     

青岛市产业结构与就业结构互动协调发展研究

以青岛市历年统计年鉴的数据资料为依据,通过对改革开放以来青岛市产业结构和就业结构变动趋势和相关性进行剖析,运用就业结构偏离度和就业弹性理论,对经济发展与就业拉动问题进行分析,提出了实现青岛市产业结构调整与充分就业目标协调发展的政策建议。