当前物价运行及其未来发展趋势

2011年8月以来,CPI同比涨幅持续回落,全年CPI上涨5．4％。从2012年物价走势看,受政策滞后效应和上年同期基数效应影响,上半年物价有望延续回落趋势,而随着政策微调和宏观经济回升,下半年物价重拾升势的可能性较大。预计2012年全年CPI涨幅为3．6％左右。综合考虑我国工业化发展阶段、刘易斯拐点与资源品价格市场化改革等因素来看,中长期内物价仍存在上涨压力。     

Pricing risky corporate bonds: An empirical study

This paper empirically studies a model for pricing risky corporate bonds proposed by Baaquie—based on the seminal Merton. The proposed model provides an exact solution for the price of a risky corporate bond with a finite maturity and explains the market price of corporate fixed coupon bonds as being the result of the market risk that is carried by the bond. Baaquie's model is empirically tested using 42 fixed coupon bonds issued by 23 US corporations, between 2011 and 2017. It is found that the proposed model estimates most bond prices quite accurately. Market time (similar to the concept of psychological time), which is distinct from calendar time, is quantified in the paper and is an exogenous behavioral parameter that plays a pivotal role in improving the accuracy of the pricing model for long-maturity risky bonds.     

Uniform pricing effect: The influence of uniform pricing on product value judgement and purchase intention

Uniform pricing, which is a pricing strategy that sets a unified price for all products in the store or all products in the same category, is becoming increasingly popular over the past decades. However, scarce attention has been paid to investigating its impact on consumer behaviour. This research investigates the influence of uniform pricing on product value judgements and purchase intentions. Four studies demonstrate that uniform pricing (vs. non-uniform pricing) could induce stronger promotion perception, which leads to more positive product value judgements and purchase intentions. Moreover, price sensitivity and product involvement moderate this effect, and this effect only exists for high price-sensitive consumers and low product involvement consumers.     

论资产评估与会计的关系

资产评估与会计是既有区别又有联系的专业服务活动,本文通过讨论两者之间的关系,使我们明确会计提供以事实判断为主要内容的服务,资产评估提供以价值判断为主要内容的服务,它们都是现代市场经济赖以正常运行的基础服务行业。使我们更深刻地认识资产评估,更好地利用会计信息为评估服务,从而提高资产评估质量。     

高管连锁网络与股价同步性

本文以2009—2018年中国A股上市公司为研究样本,考察了高管连锁网络对公司股价同步性的影响。研究发现：高管连锁网络会提高公司的股价同步性,处于高管连锁网络越中心位置的上市公司,其股价同步性越高;从趋同性和信息透明度两个方面进一步分析高管连锁网络对股价同步性的作用机制,发现高管连锁网络并非通过降低公司透明度这一途径对股价同步性产生影响,而是因为连锁高管加强了上市公司间的行为学习、信息和资源的共享,促使公司间基础特征趋同,进而提高了公司的股价同步性;根据联结类型的不同将高管连锁网络划分为董事网络、监事网络和高管网络,实证结果表明高管网络对股价同步性的提升效应最大,董事网络次之,监事网络对股价同步性无显著影响;区分产权性质和法治环境后发现,在国有企业和所处法治环境较差的企业中,高管连锁网络提高股价同步性的效应更显著。研究结论为提升资本市场信息效率提供了理论支撑。     

Quote inefficiency in options markets

In an arbitrage-free economy with non-zero bid-ask spreads the existence of payoffs whose price is lower than the price of a dominated payoff cannot be discarded in general. However, when the former price corresponds to trivial portfolios which involve buying or selling one unit of the basis assets, its presence, although not an arbitrage, is a severe market anomaly which we refer to as an inefficient quote. In an empirical study, we report evidence that indicates that in options markets both the frequency and the magnitude of these anomalies are substantial and we document puzzling patterns in their behavior.     

我国煤炭资源税从价计征的局限性研究——基于征税效果和效率的预评价

从征税效果和效率的视角,对资源税从价征收进行了预评价。评价结果表明,从价计征改革存在2大局限性,一方面无法达到"地方政府摆脱资源大省、财政小省困境"和"提高回采率、保护煤炭资源"等预期效果;另一方面,会造成征税的双重超额负担,导致征税低效率。在此基础上,建议应从整体而非局部推动煤炭资源税费改革,系统地进行煤炭资源税收体系再设计。     

上市动机、投资者情绪与首次公开募股市场收益

文章以发行人筹资收益最大化为假设,对市场热季周期下发行人、承销商与投资人三者之间的博弈过程以及投资者情绪对首次公开募股(IPO)市场定价的影响机制进行研究.研究结果表明,发行人最优发行数量小于市场需求数量、承销商定价低于市场需求价格的目的在于确保发行成功和获取日后收益;投资者高亢的投资情绪可以对IPO市场短期收益正偏和长期收益负偏成为普遍现象进行解释.