苏南率先基本实现现代化的重点与难点

苏南地区在率先进入全面小康社会后,又已不失时机地开启率先实现基本现代化的新征程。本文分析了苏南实现目标的体系,以此监测和评价现代化进程,并在此基础上提出了现代化进程中的重点和难点,以揭示前进中的问题和矛盾,从而推动和加快苏南地区向率先基本实现现代化目标迈进。     

The performance of fiscal policy under an inflation targeting regime: What can be learned by the Brazilian fiscal rules?

This paper aims at, on the one hand, analyzing the Brazilian fiscal performance since the implementation of inflation targeting regime (ITR), June 1994, and the usefulness of fiscal rules to reach fiscal discipline in Brazil. On the other hand, it tries to evaluate what would have happened to the Brazilian government deficit if the new fiscal regime, that was implemented in 2016, would have been applied after the implementation of the ITR. Into this direction, we present an empirical analysis to describe three different fiscal rule scenarios, which includes a restriction related to inflation, depending on the preferences of the fiscal authorities: the austere, the symmetric or indifferent or the growth‐promoting environment. The main result of our empirical analysis is that, even in a context of ITR, the use of proper fiscal rule (countercyclical fiscal policy) helps to rationalize fiscal consolidation efforts by promoting a favorable environment for economic growth.     

中国地区间小学教育投入差异影响因素的实证研究——基于财政能力和财政需求的视角

本文从财政能力和财政需求两方面考察影响小学教育投入的诸多因素,通过建立小学教育投入模型分析财政转移支付各种形式对小学教育投入的影响。研究发现,虽然财力性转移支付的均等化效应最强,但由于地方政府缺乏将财力性转移支付用于小学教育的动力,通过法律约束是促使地方政府加大对小学教育投入的有效方式。     

多元文化与初等教育本科专业课程文化建设

世界多元文化价值的冲突问题为高师院校的初等教育本科专业课程文化建设带来了新课题;适应多元化文化价值取向要求,初等教育本科专业课程文化建设的基本内涵应主要体现在宽基础、重技能、塑人格、贵创新、强素质等课程目标的价值取向上;应特别重视文化多元视野中课程文化价值选择存在的问题;重视初等教育本科专业课程文化建设研究的方法论问题.     

财政分权：转移支付、税收优惠与首位城市增长

中国的财政分权所带来的财权调整使得各省区地区间的经济发展差距发生一系列变化。本文基于中国27个省区2000-2012年的数据样本,通过构建空间面板模型研究了财政分权背景下转移支付和税收优惠对于首位城市规模增长的影响。结果显示,政府的转移支付政策对于抑制首位城市规模增加,平衡区域发展缺乏效率;对于中央政府财政依赖度越高的省区,其首位城市规模规模越大;省级政府对于外围城市偏向性的转移支付政策无法有效阻止首位城市的扩张。另外,首位城市能够借助相对优惠的税收政策进一步扩大规模范围。在此基础上,本文提出了相应的财政政策以及城市发展建议。     

提高出生人口素质的孕前—围孕保健模式的再讨论

随着人口再生产类型和疾病模式发生根本性的转变,我国政府已对提高出生人口素质和出生缺陷预防给予了高度重视。在过去十年中,随着对孕前保健和出生缺陷一级预防重要性认识的逐步加深,我国出生缺陷预防工作正努力从产前—围产保健模式逐步扩展到孕前—围孕保健模式。尽管如此,近几年的实践表明出生缺陷预防模式的转变依然面临诸多的挑战。对孕前—围孕保健预防模式相关的几个问题进行了讨论,包括计划怀孕的重要性、一级预防应采取何种策略、能力建设和发展。     

基于配额假设的林业碳汇初级市场交易特点分析

在碳排放配额假设的前提下,将林业碳汇初级市场的交易要素和交易过程分别与一般碳排放市场进行比较,根据对比得出林业碳汇市场交易要素的特征,详细分析了初级市场交易过程的产权问题明显化、交易成本增大化、环境影响多样化等特点,并提出林业碳汇初级市场的建立和发展可能存在的问题和风险。同时,根据问题和风险存在的可能性,建议政府有关部门和企业在林业碳汇市场中应发挥相应的作用。     

The determinants of the vote for Trump: an analysis of Texas 2016 primary results

This article analyses the 2016 primary vote for Donald Trump in Texas. Much of Trump’s campaign rhetoric has been anti-immigrant. A major Trump campaign theme was his proposal to build a wall along the Mexico-U.S. border and make Mexico pay for it (Trump 2016). The econometric model estimated below uses county-level data for Texas. The dependent variable is the percent of the 2016 republican primary vote for Mr Trump. The model examines the electoral effects of Trump’s anti-immigrant rhetoric in a heavily Hispanic border state.     

Public debts,deficits and interest rates in CEECs: are there spatial spillovers?

In this paper we extend the literature on the relationship between public debts, deficits and government bond yields in the following directions: we examine a set of 11 Central and Eastern European countries during the period 2006–2015; we apply a novel econometric technique that allows for spatial effects; and we test forward-looking instead of current values of explanatory variables thus addressing endogeneity problem. We find that there is overall a highly significant positive effect of both public debt and deficit on long-term interest rates. This effect is found to be larger in CEECs than in developed countries. Moreover, deficits are found to exert a large and significant indirect effect, and these spillovers amount to more than 50% of the overall effect.     

中小企业板的市场定位和风险

在目前市场环境下中小企业板与主板和创业板既有联系又有区别,从降低上市门槛、逐步推行全流通、建立退出机制方面中小企业板向创业板过渡;市场规模小、家族"一股独大"、股份不全流通以及上市圈钱和关联交易等市场风险及防范策略也应引起注意。