交通运输投资宏观经济效应分析——基于乘数模型的应用

文章基于乘数理论及投资乘数模型对交通运输投资宏观经济效应进行分析,设置了边际交通消费倾向,并推导出交通最终消费需求模型;运用交通消费倾向,证明了交通运输发展对推动产业结构优化的作用和缩小地区差距的功能。     

ARE CONSUMERS MORE LOYAL TO NATIONAL BRANDS THAN TO PRIVATE LABELS?

The evolution of private labels (PLs) can be understood in terms of a strategy adopted by the retail industry with the aim of competing with national brands (NBs). In the 1990s, this strategy led to the development of ‘me too’ products, which currently represent the largest share of store brand products. Since the early 2000s, retailers have widened the range of their store brands by introducing high‐quality products. The aim of this study was to estimate consumers’ attachment to ‘me‐too’ and niche PLs respectively, as compared to NBs. We captured the degree of maturity of these PLs through their price‐elasticities, computed for three staple goods offered by three mass retail companies. It was found that price sensitivity does not differ much between the ‘me‐too’ PLs and the corresponding NBs. This result confirms that ‘me‐too’ products are now considered reliable quality brands. However, in the high quality segment, consumers remain more sensitive to the price of PLs than to that of NBs, a characteristic which may relate to their recent introduction on the market.     

我国居民消费增长的未来趋势与现实抑制

经济增速维持高位、就业形势趋好、收入分配格局改善等利好因素支撑着我国居民消费的长期增长趋势。但是,消费率偏低仍然是困扰我国经济发展方式转变的主要困难。收入分配差距大、公共服务不健全、消费环境不佳、通货膨胀、外部不确定性等矛盾同时制约着消费增长。必须长期制度创新与短期政策优化相结合,力促居民消费增长。     

Unveiling ways to reach organic purchase: Green perceived value,perceived knowledge,attitude, subjective norm,and trust

This paper aims to investigate organic food consumption based on the perspectives of an extended research model by integrating the theory of consumption value (TCV) and the theory of reasoned action (TRA). First, we tried to find out how five consumption values of functional, social, emotional, conditional, and epistemic in classic TCV influence consumption choice especially in the sustainable consumption domain of organic food, interpreted as green perceived value (GPV) in the reflective-reflective second-order latent. Second, as an attempt to extend the classic TRA, this study included trust and perceived knowledge in the research model in addition to the subjective norm, attitude, and behavioral intention. A partial least square structural equation method (PLS-SEM) was adopted to examine our research model with 251 samples. Our results revealed that GPV significantly affects consumer attitudes. Consumer attitudes and subjective norms also have a significantly positive effect on purchase intention. As an extended TRA, GPV has a significantly positive effect on trust while trust significantly impacts purchase intention. Further, perceived knowledge positively influences attitude and trust. By jointly considering TCV and TRA, this study proposes several implications emphasizing how GPV and perceived knowledge affects consumers’ organic food consumption choice based on the role of increased trust.     

商业年金消费决策的行为经济学分析

商业年金是我国养老保险体系的重要组成部分,虽然近年来我国在政策层面不断推动商业年金的发展,但是我国居民的商业年金需求仍然十分低,存在“年金谜题”现象。本文从行为经济学的视角展开对商业年金消费决策的分析,首先从理论层面阐述了行为因素对商业年金消费决策的影响机制,随后设计调查问卷收集个体数据,从实证层面进行了验证。结果发现,主观概率、心理账户、信息感知、金融素养等行为因素会显著影响个人的商业年金消费水平,其他客观因素如性别、年龄、婚姻状况、风险态度以及收入水平等也会显著影响个人的商业年金消费水平。基于本文研究结果,认为未来商业年金回归保障属性、弱化个人账户概念以及发展保险咨询服务等可以带来商业年金需求的提升。     

大连小南村乡村旅游发展路径研究

乡村旅游是以具有乡村性的自然和人文客体为旅游吸引物,依托农村区域的优美景观、自然环境等资源,在传统农村休闲游和农业体验游的基础上,拓展开发会务度假、休闲娱乐等项目的新兴旅游方式。大连小南村乡村旅游发展存在乡村旅游设施有待完善、乡村景区系统化规则缺乏、从业人员素质不高、乡村旅游景区管理体系不完善等相关问题,应该采取加大基础设施建设力度、完善景区系统化规则、积极推进景区工作人员能力培养、完善乡村旅游管理体系等解决方法,促进乡村旅游业的发展。     

最优能源强度与我国经济增长

本文通过一个内生增长模型对能源消费与经济增长的关系进行了分析,证实存在使经济增长率最大化的最优能源强度,并且最优能源强度与能源价格反方向变动.在此基础上,估计了近年来我国的最优能源强度,并测算了实际能源强度与最优值的差距.结果表明,近年来我国实际能源强度高于最优值达3万吨标准煤/亿元以上,且有不断上升的趋势.最后提出了在保持最优能源强度的前提下降低能源消耗的政策建议.     

积极财政政策与私人投资关系的区域差异——基于中国东、中、西部面板数据的检验与分析

本文利用面板数据模型分别考察了积极财政政策对我国东、中、西部私人投资增长和差异的影响.分析表明,积极财政政策对东、中、西部的私人投资具有一定的正向影响,从而证实了积极财政政策的有效性.本文通过地方财政各项支出对私人投资产生的影响分析,表明东、中、西部要根据自身的经济发展水平来安排财政支出的结构.     

充分发挥外汇政策作用支持阜新民营企业发展

国家外汇管理局阜新市中心支局适应新形势的需要,不断提高外汇管理和服务的水平,加大了对招商引资工作的支持力度,特别是大力支持民营企业的发展,千方百计支持出口创汇.一系列支持民营企业发展政策措施的实行,取得了较好的效果,促进了全市外向型经济的发展.