Accounting for the business cycle: Nominal rigidities, factor heterogeneity, and Austrian capital theory

An Austrian interpretation of the New Keynesian small menu cost model of the business cycle is proposed. Austrian and New Keynesian business cycle theories share the feature that the cycle is generated by rigidities which prevent the economy from adapting instantaneously to changing conditions. Austrian business cycle theory is capital-based, focusing on credit expansion which artificially lowers interest rates and causes an investment boom and unsustainable business expansion. In contrast, the New Keynesian small menu cost model of the business cycle is based on nominal rigidities which prevent markets from clearing. Small menu costs introduce dichotomous behavior, where firms find it locally optimal to avoid instantaneous output price adjustments in the face of the cost, but this local optimum results in economy-wide output and employment fluctuations which are much greater in relative magnitude. The small menu cost model of the business cycle is extended and reinterpreted in light of Austrian business cycle theory with heterogeneous, multiply-specific capital, thus providing a rigorous formalization of the Austrian business cycle. The Austrian interpretation of this New Keynesian model fortuitously addresses several of its shortcomings. JEL classification B53, E12, E23, E32     

论商业银行零售业务发展趋势和对策

文章从商业银行零售业务性质和发展历程入手,分析了当今国际上商业银行零售业务发展趋势,结合我国商业银行零售业务发展现状和存在的问题,有针对性的提出几点建议。     

网络出版的电子商务智能模型的研究

文章首先介绍了网络出版的概念和相对于传统出版业的优势,并对网络出版的电子商务的特点、运行情况以及所面临的问题进行了分析,引入了商务智能的概念。最后给出了一种网络出版的电子商务智能模型,并对模型的效能进行了论证。     

多元化战略在中国旅游企业中的实施效率分析

文章对我国旅游企业的多元化战略管理进行了调查分析,从中总结出旅游企业的多元化战略实施的效率与非效率性的原因。     

多元化企业品牌延伸的相关利益者组合比较研究

从多元化的角度来说，企业的品牌延伸行为就是一种新产品的推出模式。在相关多元化和非相关多元化模式下，企业通过品牌延伸推出新产品会形成不同的相关利益者组合。而现有产品市场企业、延伸产品市场企业、行业内潜在进入者和行业外潜在进入者是构成相关利益者组合的基本企业类型，其中的现有产品市场企业和延伸产品市场企业是延伸企业的现实利益相关者，其行为模式对延伸效果有重要影响。     

企业集团母子公司财务控制系统构建研究

企业集团是以产权关系为纽带 ,由众多企业法人共同组成的联合体。企业集团母子公司财务控制系统是企业集团核心管理内容之一。笔者通过自身的工作经验并结合理论研究认为 :企业集团母子公司财务控制系统是由财务人员控制系统、财务制度控制系统、财务目标控制系统和财务信息控制系统等构建的有机整体 ,企业集团管理当局应提供良好的人文环境和机制环境 ,保证其高效、及时、完整、良好地运行 ,保持企业集团的可持续发展 ,才能实现企业集团价值最大化     

论风险投资中的尽职调查

通过对20多位风险投资家的调研,对他们尽职调查所必备的条件、策略及过程进行了系统分析,总结出其内在规律,以期对我国风险投资项目的筛选有所启示.     

导致企业“短寿”的四大战略管理陷阱

企业"短寿"的原因很多,简直不胜枚举。我们这里探讨的是在企业战略管理中有可能危及企业生存的四种倾向:追逐利润、追求规模、人才匮乏和盲目多元化。实践证明,绝大多数"短寿"的企业在其"生存期"都可找到以上管理行为的影子。尤其悲哀的是:这些"短寿"陷阱在当初是作为企业的战略目标而被追求之,殊不知,其追求力度越大、追求时间越久,企业离"寿终正寝"就越近。本文的目的是提醒企业经营者时刻警惕这些可能造成企业"短寿"的战略管理陷阱。     

An international comparison of the determinants of retail gross margins

In this paper we compare the results of applying a new economic framework for the analysis of retail gross margins to 1982 interindustry retail data for France, Germany, and the U.S. Use of the same theoretical framework and econometric methodology separately for each of the three bodies of data yields robust empirical regularities with respect to functional form and the role of distribution services in explaining retail gross margins. An interesting feature of these results is that they arise despite substantial differences in classification and in the retail environment of the three countries.We thank E. Hoffnar and P. MacNeill for excellent research assistance. We acknowledge the financial support of INSEAD's R&D department for project R2135. We also thank the CSC at Maryland for support. Earlier versions of this paper were presented at the MIT Northeast Marketing Colloquium, the Simon Graduate School of Management at the University of Rochester, the Graduate School of Business at the University of Chicago, the Yale School of Organization and Management, the School of Business Administration at the University of Washington, and the Bureau of Economics of the Federal Trade Commission. We thank the participants in these seminars for their constructive criticisms. We are especially indebted to Peter Rossi of the University of Chicago, who provided us with helpful written comments, and to Herr Krockow of the Statistisches Bundesamt Wiesbaden, who provided us with unpublished data.     

Pro-cyclical effect of sovereign rating changes on stock returns: a fact or factoid?

This article examines the effect of changes in sovereign credit ratings and their outlook on the stock market returns of European countries at different phases of business cycle. Using standard four-factor model, it records a significant average marginal effect of credit rating announcements on stock market returns. Both magnitude and significance of the effect vary with business cycle and across announcement types. However, we do not find evidence of pro-cyclical effect of sovereign rating and outlook changes on stock returns. Our results show that stock markets react more negatively to rating downgrades in recovery phases and more positively to rating upgrades in contractionary period. Both results are statistically significant and robust to various sensitivity tests.