Retirement Age Considerations for Central Europe

The paper analyzes the arguments for and possible consequences of an increase in the statutory retirement age in central Europe, including the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia. The analysis reflects the current and projected demographic and economic developments, and discerns the long-term trends from the specific aspects of transition. As for the long-term trends, the paper offers a simple framework for calculation of the intergenerational transfers through pensions under different reform scenarios. The calculations confirm that, in the aging central European societies, down-sizing of the existing pay-as-you-go schemes, including an increase in the statutory retirement age, is necessary to sustain solvency and intergenerational fairness in the public provision for retirement. The paper argues, however, that proposals to increase the retirement age in central European countries need to enhance their assessment of the possible counter-productive effects, which may arise due to the low working ability, poor health status and high occupational and environmental risks faced by the population.     

Perceived Determinants of Well-Being and Enjoyment Level of Leisure Activities

Two facets of leisure, perceived determinants of well-being and enjoyment of common leisure activities, were investigated in 388 participants. For well-being, a principal components (PCA) analysis yielded five components: competence, relatedness and health, wealth, personal values, and freedom of choice. For the enjoyment of leisure activities, another PCA generated seven components: wellness, sedentary leisure, intellectual leisure, social leisure, routine activities, self-realization, and inner peace. Different leisure enjoyment of young adults (18–30 years old) in contrast to adults and seniors was attributed to social transformations as also predicted by several theories of social change. The relationship between the determinants of well-being and enjoyment of leisure activities was statistically significant but meaningfully debatable.     

基于Carol模型中国公司品牌资产影响因素实证研究

基于Carol模型，本文提出了一个测量品牌资产的定量方法，立足于公司财务层面，分解品牌资产的影响因素。以中国上证A股公司为实证研究的对象，检验本文构建的模型并得出结论，同时为中国企业的品牌建设提出了一些建议。     

The impact of cognitive age on Internet use of the elderly: an introduction to the public policy implications

Despite the growth of the Internet, one area that has not really been discussed is the elderly's use of the Internet. Given the rapid growth of this population as well as the potential the Internet holds for them, it is a subject worth consideration. However, seniors cannot be defined simply by their chronological age, but by their cognitive age. This paper discusses the impact of cognitive age of a national random sample of American elderly consumers on their Internet use. The results suggest that those seniors with a younger cognitive age use the Internet more than those seniors with an older cognitive age. Additionally, seniors with a younger cognitive age have more social contact off‐line (but not online) than those seniors with an older cognitive age. Finally, in terms of demographic variables, chronological age is positively associated with cognitive age and women report a younger cognitive age than men. These results suggest that for policy makers interested in increasing the participation of seniors, they can utilize the Internet to reach those who are younger in terms of cognitive age; however, they will not be able to reach all seniors in this manner and they need to utilize the Internet as a complementing media to their traditional communication sources.     

中西方老年消费者感知年龄维度属性的比较研究

从感觉、视觉、兴趣和行为等4个侧面,对中国老年人进行感知年龄维度属性的本土化检验发现,感知年龄与实足年龄之间差异为4岁,中西方有着较大差异.感知年龄反映文化和社会规范意涵,相对于实足年龄更适于预测老年人的消费行为.     

论信息时代个人信息权的私法规制

信息时代个人信息侵权行为迅速增加,影响个人生活安宁,损害个人人格尊严,影响社会安定和国家安全。立法者应当通过法律配置,在不侵犯信息主体人格尊严的前提下,促进信息资源的合理、畅通的流动,以合理回应信息社会的需求。虽然个人信息也承载着公共利益和公共安全,但其主要还是一种私益,只有对个人信息提供充分的私权保护,才有利于从根本上保护公共利益。个人信息权的私法规制通过人格权法、侵权责任法、合同法完成。通过人格权法确认个人信息权,侵权责任法和合同法保护个人信息权,有利于保护个人权利,同时促进信息的共享与自由流通,推进电子商务和电子政务的良性发展,并树立良好的国际形象,促进国际贸易的发展。     

中国城乡基本养老保险非均衡发展分析——基于2013年31省数据实证分析

从3个维度选取15个反映2013年城乡基本养老保险制度财务可持续和地区经济发展水平的指标,利用主成分分析法对2013年我国各省市城乡养老保险发展状况进行研究。结果表明,东部省份的地区 GDP 和城镇职工基本养老保险基金可持续性表现较好,西部省份在城乡居民养老保障水平和城乡居民社会养老保险财务可持续上表现良好。西部与中东部省份的差距在缩小,西部省份内部差距明显。研究发现,地区经济发展水平、地区人口结构老化和财政支持力度是影响制度财务可持续的直接原因,而地区发展失衡的根本原因在于统筹层次过低,因此,解决地区非均衡发展的牛鼻子在于打破利益藩篱,尽快提高统筹层次。     

Semiparametric Model of Hedonic Housing Prices in Japan

We propose a semiparametric hedonic model of housing prices with nonlinearity in age and cohort effects. The model avoids the simultaneity problem among age, cohort and year effects, which is a common problem in linear hedonic models. Applying the model to housing prices in Tokyo between 1990 and 2008 revealed significant nonlinearities in both the age and cohort effects, and significant interactions between these effects, with the shape of the age effect differing across housing cohorts. Estimates of the year effect indicated a declining trend in prices that was more pronounced compared with those of conventional linear hedonic models.     

人口老龄化对积极财政政策有效性的影响——兼析延迟退休的宏观经济效应

人口老龄化不但影响到宏观经济的稳定,也会对财政政策的有效性产生影响。将人口老龄化引入动态随机一般均衡模型,分析人口老龄化对4种积极财政政策工具（扩大政府支出、提高劳动所得税起征点、提高劳动所得税累进性和增加公共投资）有效性产生的影响以及延迟退休的动态宏观经济效应,结果表明：人口老龄化扩大了政府支出和政府公共投资对消费产生的挤出效应,降低了4种积极财政政策工具对产出、消费、就业的促进效应,也强化了其对通胀和工资膨胀的提升效应;延迟退休未对私人消费产生挤出效应,有利于就业、产出和消费增长,并有助于稳定通胀和工资膨胀;与财政政策工具相比延迟退休引致的整体社会福利损失较小。人口老龄化降低了积极财政政策的有效性,基于稳定宏观经济和降低社会福利损失的考虑,延迟退休是一个较优的政策选择。     

后配额时代我国纺织品的出口环境与对策

后配额时代对于我国纺织业而言,是面向扩大的世界市场、获得新的发展机遇的时代,但在机遇面前,我们也面临着更大的挑战。设限、反倾销以及由此引发的连锁反应,使我国的纺织品出口面临着严峻和复杂的国际贸易环境;我国为维护贸易新秩序出台的相关政策措施以及纺织业本身存在的问题,也对我国的纺织品出口产生了一定的影响。在这种态势下,我们的政府、行业协会和企业都要立即行动起来,保证我国纺织品出口的顺利进行。