供应链管理的信息经济学分析

在信息化高度发达的21世纪，企业之间的竞争已经发展成为供应链与供应链之间的竞争。然而各供应链节点上的企业之间如何相互合作，达到整条供应链最优．已成为摆在企业面前最重要的问题。本文主要从信息经济学中的信息不对称、道德风险和逆向选择三方面来分析供应链中各企业之间应如何协调，以达到各方都赢的目的。     

全面风险管理框架与内部控制整体框架的比较分析

2004年美国COSO委员会在其1992年发布的《内部控制整体框架》基础上,吸收各方面风险管理研究成果,颁布了《全面风险管理框架》(Enterpris Reisk Management Framework),旨在为各国的企业风险管理提供一个统一术语与概念体系的全面的应用指南。本文首先回顾了《内部控制整体框架》的产生及其贡献与不足,其次阐述了风险管理与内部控制的关系,最后比较分析了《全面风险管理框架》与《全面风险管理框架》的联系与区别,以期对理解、掌握和执行《全面风险管理框架》有所裨益。     

公司发行可转换债券融资的动机分析

公司使用可转换债券筹集外部资金既是作为普通债券的替代,增加转换特性来降低利息率从而保持现金流量,也是转换条款建立“延迟股权”,通过转换,以高于现行股票的价格出售。本文研究发现,公司发行可转换债券是为了减少由于股东和管理者以及股东和债权人之间冲突所引起的代理成本;为了降低由发行普通债券带来的高额预期财务危机成本和普通股发行中经常出现的严重负面公告效应;以及在投资者和管理者对公司面临的风险认识不同时,使其价值不易受公司风险变化的影响。     

分红保险合同红利负债的确认与计量研究

近年来分红保险已成为我国保险市场的热销产品,它几乎占据了寿险市场的半壁江山,但分红保险负债的确认与计量问题,特别是分红保险红利负债的确认与计量问题在我国并未形成统一的规范,本文根据分红保险的不同红利分配方式对分红保险合同红利负债的确认与计量问题进行研究。     

企业技术创新风险的聚类分析:一项实证研究

技术创新已经成为许多企业在市场竞争中获得竞争优势的重要途径,但是各种风险因素的存在使得企业技术创新的成功率并不高。以问卷调查为基础,以有向聚类为工具,通过实证分析对各种技术创新风险因素进行了聚类,归纳出了相对重要的风险因素。对这些因素的提炼,有助于企业理解并缓解技术创新的风险。     

我国证券市场风险收益特征的行为基础

我国证券市场的风险收益具有以下特征:(1)资本资产定价模型所揭示的风险收益关系在我国股市并不显著。(2)我国证券市场系统性风险占整体风险的比例较高。(3)从趋势上看,无论个股还是行业系统性风险占整体风险的指标没有明显的下降趋势。这些特征根源于我国特定的投资者结构以及不同投资者的风险厌恶特性和对私人信息的偏好特性。因此,投资者应针对上述特征,在集中投资、反向交易和降低交易频率等方面调整交易策略,提高投资收益率。     

The Effect of Risk Characteristics on the Willingness to Pay for Mortality Risk Reductions from Electric Power Generation

The objective of this study is to estimate willingness to pay (WTP) for the reduction of mortality risks caused by fossil fuel (natural gas, coal and oil) versus nuclear electric power generation systems and to examine the influence of risk characteristics involved with electric power generation on WTP. A choice experiment was conducted to achieve these objectives. The attributes for nuclear risks in the experiment included the probability of disasters and the expected losses if a disaster occurs. We find evidence of (i) a baseline effect (where WTP is sensitive to hypothetical versus actual baseline expected mortality); (ii) a ‘labeling effect,’ where, surprisingly, the term ‘nuclear’ has no effect on WTP, but the term ‘fossil-fueled power generation’ results in lower WTP; and (iii) disaster aversion, meaning that people focus on the conditional loss from a nuclear disaster, not the probability. We also find that the WTP for reducing deaths from a nuclear disaster is about 60 times the WTP for routine reducing fossil-fuel generation-related deaths.     

Discrepancies between ex ante and ex post efficiency under identical subjective probabilities

Summary. Starr (1973) showed that, if people have different subjective probabilities, ex ante and ex post efficiency conflict. Conversely, under the simple preferences that he considered, the discrepancy between ex ante and ex post efficiency disappears when subjective probabilities are identical. Here I consider identical subjective probabilities, but more general preferences. First, risk attraction is admitted. Second, I dispense with the double requirement (dubbed IZU) of additive separability and state-independence of the utility of zero-date consumption, an unrealistic requirement when modeling the investment in durable goods. I find that, under IZU, and as long as ex post preferences satisfy the natural assumption of quasiconcavity (and satisfy some technical qualifications), an ex ante efficient allocation is indeed ex post efficient, but the converse is not necessarily true under risk attraction. If, on the other hand, IZU is violated, then one can have ex ante efficient allocations that are not ex post efficient, and vice-versa, even under risk aversion. Received: June 25, 1999; revised version: March 2001     

Evaluating flood risk management options in Scotland: A participant-led multi-criteria approach

The characteristics of flood risk management include complexity, large spatial scales, inter-temporal issues, plural values and conflicts of interests. It is argued that issues with such characteristics require public participation in the decision making process. This study builds on existing deliberative processes to develop a new participant-led multi-criteria method to evaluate flood risk management options in Scotland. The results show that participants preferred regeneration or planting of native woodland to other flood management options, and least preferred building flood walls and embankments. The design of the workshops allowed a rich dataset to reveal the thinking behind such results and provided a deeper understanding of why participants came to these conclusions.     

欠发达地区民间借贷的对策研究

近几年民间借贷案件数量不断上升,金融风险问题增多。从民间借贷风险防范的视角,以欠发达地区安徽省某地级市为例,介绍了欠发达地区民间借贷的现状,剖析了民间借贷存在的风险问题,如投资渠道不够畅通、民间借贷市场发展不规范、群众诚信意识不强、群众风险意识薄弱,提出风险防范建议,如加强政府对正规金融的支持、加强金融监管、加强诚信机制建设、增强民众金融素养。