新型农业产业化组织模式的实证研究——以巢湖为例

文章利用问卷调查资料，分析了巢湖地区“企业＋农户”型和“农村合作经济组织＋农户”型农业产业化组织模式的基本状况，指出他们的不足之处，提出建立新型的农业产业化组织模式的构想并证明了其存在的可能性。最后，提出几点建议。     

西部民族地区农村合作医疗制度创新

建立新型农村合作医疗是改变西部民族地区贫穷落后状况的一项必要措施。西部民族地区实施新型农村合作医疗虽然取得了一定成效,但还存在很多问题。本文认为,问题产生的原因在于制度本身的不健全、政策执行不力等。因此,强化政府职责并适度引入市场机制是解决问题的根本途径。     

农信社银行间市场业务的发展状况与思考

近年来，我国银行间市场发展迅速，农村信用社改革试点工作也取得重大进展，但农村信用社银行间市场参与度普遍较低。文章以山东省内7个市地65家农村信用社为研究对象，深入分析影响其银行间市场业务发展的各种制约性因素，并在转变观念、完善体制和机制、加强政策指导和推动业务协作等方面提出了改进建议。     

新农村建设中农业生产资料监管模式的比较研究

建设和谐发展的新农村必须加大对农业生产资料的监管。通过对农业生产资料监管模式的比较,分析政府主导型监管行为与收益的“弱相关、不规则相关”、第三部门监管行为与收益的“强相关、正相关”和市场监管行为与收益的“强相关、负相关”;结合新农村建设的背景,构建政府主导下的多元监管模式,实现监管行为与收益的“协调、可持续的正相关”。     

Targeted poverty investments and economic growth in China

In the mid-1980s, the Chinese government launched its ambitious poor area development policy, which was centered around a series of grant, credit, and Food-for-Work programs. Ironically, for the remainder of the 1980s rural poverty remained at about 90 to 100 million, or approximately 10% of the rural population. The lack of progress cannot necessarily be blamed on ineffective poor area policies, since much of the agricultural economy was mired in a deep recession between the mid-1980s and the early 1990s. By the mid-1990s substantial additional poverty reduction had been achieved. Even in the late-1980s, farmers in many poor counties did better than the national average in terms of income growth. After accounting for the effects of macroeconomic elements, what factors can help explain the differences in performance among poor regions and between poor areas and rich ones? Can part of these differences be accounted for by poor area policies, in general, or by the way local and regional officials allocate their poor area investment funds, in particular?The overall objective of this paper is to analyze the effectiveness of Chinese poor area policy. Specifically, the paper seeks to meet three objectives. First, we want to understand the evolution of poor area policy since the mid-1980s, trying to deduce the true goals of central and regional poor area officials, as well as how these policies have been implemented in the provinces. Next, we want to understand the magnitude and scope of investment into poor areas, and examine if changes in these policies have affected the uses of the investment funds. Finally, we want to determine the effectiveness of the investment of poor area funds, analyzing which types of investments have generated growth, and which ones have not.     

Financial Markets for Unknown Risks if Beliefs Differ

We consider a general equilibrium model with individual and collective risks. The article builds on a contribution by Chichilnisky and Heal, who show that contingent Arrow–Debreu equilibria can also be supported in economies with Arrow securities and mutual insurance contracts. However, they show this to be true in general only if beliefs are identical, a very restrictive assumption in the context of unknown risks. Moreover, they claim complete insurance in equilibrium to be impossible if beliefs are different. We show that even with different beliefs, firstly, complete insurance is possible in each statistical state, and secondly, contingent equilibrium can still be supported in economies with insurance and securities.     

The Effective Duration and Convexity of Liabilities for Property-Liability Insurers Under Stochastic Interest Rates

Managing interest rate risk for property-liability insurers requires appropriate measurement of the sensitivity of liabilities to movements in interest rates. Most prior studies have assumed that interest rates shift in a parallel fashion and that the cash flows from liabilities are unaffected by interest rate changes. This article recognizes that unpaid property-liability (P-L) insurance losses are inflation-sensitive, that movements in interest rates will affect future claim payouts due to the correlation between interest rates and inflation and that interest rates are stochastic. The effective duration and convexity of P-L insurance liabilities calculated based on this approach are substantially lower than those measured using traditional approaches, which has important implications for asset-liability management by P-L insurers.     

对新农村建设的理性思考及政策建议

改革开放以来，我国经济建设取得了巨大的成就，人民生活水平日益提高。但我国城乡差距在扩大，农村的发展明显落后于整个经济的发展。党的十六届五中全会指出：“建设社会主义新农村是我国现代化进程中的重大历史任务。”文章分析了新农村建设中的问题，继而提出了政策建议。     

农村劳动力流动“节约型”成本模式的构建

我国正处于工业化进程中，农村劳动力大量涌入城市，一方面解决了农村剩余劳动力问题，另一方面又加速我国现代化进程。但农村劳动力流动过程中所涉及的流动费用与流动成本问题，如果解决不好，会造成劳动力流动自然性与人为性损耗，并制约城乡经济发展，影响我国现代化进程。     

欠发达地区农村城镇化建设中的产业发展探析

产业发展是欠发达地区农村城镇化建设的重要依托.文章分析了当前欠发达地区在推进农村城镇化建设的过程中,城镇产业发展存在的现实问题,指出应认真落实科学发展观,开拓创新,积极采取切实可行的应对之策,促进欠发达地区城镇产业的发展,从而加快欠发达地区农村经济腾飞的步伐.