涉诉信访转送程序与机制初探

为了规范涉诉信访行为,保障司法独立和提高行政机关的工作效率,本文就法院外其它机关接受的涉诉信访应当严格遵守的转送程序及相关机制提出了若干建议与思考。     

China's macroeconomic stability – an empirical study based on survey data

A complete financial stability analysis should include investigation on macroeconomic stability since macroeconomic development and potential imbalance can increase the financial instability and trigger a financial crisis. Survey data of rating on China's macroeconomic stability is analyzed by estimating an ordered logit model with random effect. Among the candidate macroeconomic indicators, we found that inflation is the key variable that determines China's macroeconomic stability, followed by the change in budget balance and GDP growth gap.     

论“90后”高职院校学生体育兴趣的培养

本文阐述了体育兴趣的概念及体育兴趣在体育教学中的作用,分析了"90后"学生的生理和心理方面的特点,探讨了培养"90后"高职院校学生体育兴趣的有效方法,以期充分调动"90后"高职院校学生上体育课的积极性,提高体育课教学质量,改善学生的综合素质,培养他们终身体育锻炼的意识。     

学前幼儿英语游戏设计的几点思考

本文以语言认知理论及其监控理论为基础,探讨了幼儿英语游戏设计应以幼儿的语言发展特点为基础,注重幼儿对英语学习兴趣的培养,使英语游戏全方位、多角度、持续性的深入到幼儿的学习与生活中。     

小农体系的现代价值

小农经济虽饱受贬抑却广泛存在。在现代社会,小农经济的存在仍然根植于农业的自然特性之上,它是愈益重视的传统农业文化活态保护和传承的载体。在城市化工业化进程中,小农经济更突显了其社会功能、文化功能和生态功能。     

Asymptotics for Autocovariances and Integrated Periodograms for Linear Processes Observed at Lower Frequencies

One of the most frequently used class of processes in time series analysis is the one of linear processes. For many statistical quantities, among them sample autocovariances and sample autocorrelations, central limit theorems are available in the literature. We investigate classical linear processes under a nonstandard observation pattern; namely, we assume that we are only able to observe the linear process at a lower frequency. It is shown that such observation pattern destroys the linear structure of the observations and leads to substantially different asymptotic results for standard statistical quantities. Central limit theorems are given for sample autocovariances and sample autocorrelations as well as more general integrated periodograms and ratio statistics. Moreover, for specific autoregressive processes, the possibilities to estimate the parameters of the underlying autoregression from lower frequency observations are addressed. Finally, we suggest for autoregressions of order 2 a valid bootstrap procedure. A small simulation study demonstrates the performance of the bootstrap proposal for finite sample size.     

Afriat’s theorem for indivisible goods

We identify a natural counterpart of the standard GARP for demand data in which goods are all indivisible. We show that the new axiom (DARP, for “discrete axiom of revealed preference”) is necessary and sufficient for the rationalization of the data by a well-behaved utility function. Our results complement the main finding of Polisson and Quah (2013), who rather minimally modify the original consumer problem with indivisible goods so that the standard GARP still applies.     

Government intervention,sectoral productivity growth and structural transformation

This article examines the long-term impact of government intervention and sectoral productivity on structural transformation. We construct a multi-sector Dynamic General Equilibrium model that explicitly incorporates government intervention as a force of structural transformation. The government affects the economy through taxation and lump sum transfers. We show that in the steady state, a reduction in the tax rate and an increase in sectoral productivity will decrease the agricultural employment share, and when nonhomotheticity of preference is strong enough, these changes can also increase the share of services employment.     

改革开放以来影响广东省外贸出口因素的实证分析

本文分析了广东省外贸出口与进口、FDI、出口对象国的经济增长及人民币名义汇率等影响因素的长期均衡关系,然后分析了短期中广东省外贸出口量对各影响因素波动的反应。得出结论:长期中,广东省出口额与外国收入、进口额、人民币名义汇率之间存在着正相关关系,而短期内进口额和人民币名义汇率对出口影响较大。