Manufacturing growth and local employment multipliers in China

We study the impact of employment growth in manufacturing on job creation in the non-tradable sector for prefecture-level cities in China. Using the 2000 and 2010 Censuses of Population, we apply the shift-share approach to isolate the exogenous change of employment growth in manufacturing. For every hundred new manufacturing jobs, we find that 34 additional jobs are created in the non-tradable sector. We also show that the effect is heterogeneous along a number of dimensions. More specifically, one new job in high-technology manufacturing creates more jobs in the non-tradable sector while low-technology manufacturing employment growth has no significant multiplier effect. Among the non-tradable industries, the multiplier is the largest for wholesale, retail, and catering. Finally, the effect is also geographically heterogeneous, with the multiplier being greater for inland regions.     

Growth,Convergence, and Social Cohesion in the European Union

The aim of this paper is to analyze the economic and social cohesion in the European Union. There are different factors to explain the convergence process and besides, empirical findings are not conclusive. To the European Union, GDP per head interregional differences have decreased for certain periods but it has remained unchanged or even increased for others periods. The second report on the economic and social cohesion indicates that some decades are necessary to eliminate regional differences. These differences in regional GDP are mainly explained by differences in their productive structures, degree of innovate activity, communications structures, which depend on the relative level of transport infrastructures, and manpower qualifications. This analysis allows us to obtain some conclusions to the economic policies and the social cohesion. A preliminary version of this paper was presented in the 57th International Atlantic Conference, held in Lisbon, Portugal, March 10–14, 2004.     

REGIONAL GDP IN BRITAIN, 1871–1911: SOME ESTIMATES

The paper builds on a method proposed by Geary and Stark for estimating regional incomes in Victorian Britain. This is modified by using tax data to allocate non‐wage income across regions. The results suggest that the coefficient of variation of regional GDP per head was rising rapidly prior to World War I in similar fashion to the late 20th century such that its level in 1901 and 2001 was about the same. In both episodes of globalization there were big winners and big losers among British regions.     

基于4R理论的海外旅游专业硕士课程设置的思考

现代旅游业的国际化需要大批具有丰富行业管理经验的应用型、外向型人才．美国教育专家多尔的建构性4R理论为解决我国高等旅游教育课程设置中存在的问题提供了理论依据．在分析4R理论的基础上,对10多个国家及地区旅游专业硕士课程进行比较研究,并以西安外国语大学为例,结合其办学特色,从国际化、应用性、职业化人才培养视角,探索旅游管理专业硕士课程建设问题,以期使课程结构体系及内容符合市场要求．并随着旅游教育目标群体及教育者群体多样化拓宽,使高等旅游教育大众化走向完善,实现就业意义上的“供给创造需求”。     

资源配置、R&D投入与标杆水平——来自中国制造业的实证检验

RD资源的投入是企业实现产业升级的重要保障,但关键是RD资源投入多少合适和各企业RD投入的标杆水平如何确定。文章作者将标杆管理运用于RD的资源配置领域,通过建模、评价、及测度分析,确立了最适合企业发展的RD投资的标杆水平,从而为企业在充分利用稀缺资源时,如何达到资源效用最大化,提供了一个学习的标杆。文章以上市公司制造类企业为例,首先构建了评价RD投资标杆水平的模型,进而通过结构方程模型对之进行了测度分析,找出了各行业RD资源投入的标杆水平,最后再进一步利用特征偏离法测算出各企业RD资源投入现状距离标杆水平的差距。     

Racial Harassment,Ethnic Concentration,and Economic Conditions*

In this paper, we analyse the association between the spatial concentration of ethnic minorities and racial harassment. Ethnic concentration relates to racial harassment through at least three channels: hostility in the attitudes of majority individuals that finds expression in harassment behaviour, the probability that minority individuals meet majority individuals, and the cost of expressing hostility aggressively. Thus, harassment cannot simply be modelled as a stronger form of hostility. Using unique data for Britain, we show that, in areas of higher local ethnic concentration, experience of harassment is lower, even though hostility on the side of the majority population is not.     

PRICING,CAPACITY, AND CONSTRUCTION BOUNDARY OF A CONGESTIBLE HIGHWAY WITH AN ELASTIC DEMAND: SOCIAL OPTIMUM,SECOND BEST,PRIVATIZATION, AND VERTICAL DISINTEGRATION*

This paper uses a spatial model to analyse first‐ and second‐best policies, impacts of privatization and vertical disintegration of a congestible highway with elastic demand. The paper also uses simulation methods to analyse the welfare cost of a uniform‐toll constraint. Results show, inter alia, that the social optimum requires the marginal cost of highway extension to be equal to the net consumer benefit at the boundary, while in the second‐best case the aggregate user cost must be measured in terms of the shadow price. In turn, a profit‐maximizing firm equates the marginal extension cost to the markup revenue at the boundary.     

Congestion pricing of Canadian airports

Abstract Under congestion pricing, Canadian airports would annually save between $72 and $105 million. Social costs per landing and takeoff decrease about $300 at Toronto and Vancouver and $50 at Calgary and Montreal. Slot constraints fail to eliminate this airport congestion. Congestion prices are lower on average than existing weight‐based prices. Current airport capacity accommodates at least five more years of traffic growth before congestion reaches current levels. Substantial welfare gains occur even if dominant airlines already internalize their self‐imposed delays. This article calculates equilibrium congestion pricing schedules, traffic rates, queuing delays, layover times, and connection times by time of day.     

Geographic Concentration in Indian Manufacturing and Service Industries: Evidence from 1998 to 2013

This paper uses a comprehensive new data source to document basic facts about geographic concentration among industries in India from 1998 to 2013. Unlike previous studies, our data allow us to accurately measure industrial concentration at the district level and cover manufacturing and services, as well as the formal and informal sectors. Our most striking finding is that average levels of industrial concentration fell dramatically between 1998 and 2013, driven by steep reductions in capital‐intensive manufacturing industries. We provide suggestive evidence that this increasing dispersion may be due to improvements in interregional transportation coupled with inefficient land management policies and limited labor mobility.     

Time to default in the UK mortgage market

This paper employs duration analysis to investigate the timing of default in the UK mortgage market. Our analysis is performed on an ex ante basis, in that our explanatory variables are available to mortgage lenders when the loan is first made. We estimate both standard Weibull distributions and generalizations of the Weibull that permit non-monotonic hazard functions. The models fit the data well, suggesting that we have captured the major sources of variation in duration. We find that ‘cash flow’ variables, such as salary and interest rate paid, play the largest role. Surprisingly, loan-to-value ratios are either insignificant or influence default times in a counter-intuitive direction.